{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.160Z", "seo": { "title": "The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia exports to Brazil: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia to Brazil, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MKD", "country_name": "The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "BRA", "country_name": "Brazil" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "all_history_lane_count": 22, "current_lane_count": 11, "current_product_count": 11, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 17664339.68039715, "attention_trade_usd": 9994481.761128025, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 8429327.847402591, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 943730.9816439283, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 3942475.5809340607, "access_friction_trade_usd": 17664339.68039715, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 4, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 5, "access_friction_lane_count": 11, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9180468251692318, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 8.52272462512966, "product_concentration_hhi": 2188.8563205046867, "top1_product_share_pct": 32.63567849066719, "top3_product_share_pct": 73.50136787000675, "top_product_hs6": "381512", "top_product_trade_usd": 5764877.105593761, "top_product_description": "Catalysts, supported: reaction initiators, reaction accelerators and catalytic preparations, with precious metal or precious metal compounds as the active substance, n.e.c. or included", "top_attention_product_hs6": "381512", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 10099.595703125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.00009999999747378752, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.601498227777778, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.601498227777778, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.6, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1608981.220812, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7519, "buyer_population_latest": 213993.439, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.134039194863969, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.688169663595019, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.43419756407150345, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.334000000000003, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 16.486, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 56.579990772139176, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1608981.220812, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7519, "buyer_population_2024": 213993.439 }, "history": [ { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 100432.28200831442, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 806605.9793811373, "yoy_growth_pct": 703.1341748406766, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 410609.40889603226, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.09417740604039, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 13452.189744142528, "yoy_growth_pct": -96.72384766332797, "cagr_3y_pct": -48.83497179313032 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 12218.794747594344, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.168730296011773, "cagr_3y_pct": -75.2568126149035 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 13232.391007819964, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.295386584058772, "cagr_3y_pct": -68.17734018303261 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 25044.16912236424, "yoy_growth_pct": 89.26412548997271, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.01872299509227 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 982971.1383382212, "yoy_growth_pct": 3824.9500893221325, "cagr_3y_pct": 331.68881764916154 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 1138567.957669688, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.829235799793029, "cagr_3y_pct": 341.4757746874288 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 1167301.8591557762, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.5236878740991564, "cagr_3y_pct": 259.88094298314167 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 469665.53665768105, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.7648600510792, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.822344447642074 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 1342975.4725889438, "yoy_growth_pct": 185.94294615399485, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.6581594789955725 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 1472073.6770950018, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.612849016310543, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.039389944742314 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 2043517.313061695, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.818956201593345, "cagr_3y_pct": 63.25376630123334 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 2970217.8617257774, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.34830915015129, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.28869720799321 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 5823758.533084008, "yoy_growth_pct": 96.07176322413757, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.15803879221042 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 6767148.106679081, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.198981606737316, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.05359438237515 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 7335626.10868489, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.400555049840408, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.17082382967101 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 2961716.10784388, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.62558527434479, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.179699976459897 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 3875760.6626679064, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.861990870875466, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.95431157411842 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 4574120.671927637, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.018656724252157, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.567428892460432 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 6990227.2961135665, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.82122614329121, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.14226987840148 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 4086234.4804182504, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.54361071076874, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.7783590463807952 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 10375497.583853062, "yoy_growth_pct": 153.91341670610808, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.39144996070118 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 13057733.397712752, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.851635472730838, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.156923974944355 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 15336317.285409119, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.450072063008214, "cagr_3y_pct": 55.40533847400384 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 18607495.517403238, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.32962021531921, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.495351868090083 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "hs_code": "381512", "hs_description": "Catalysts, supported: reaction initiators, reaction accelerators and catalytic preparations, with precious metal or precious metal compounds as the active substance, n.e.c. or included", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 148739271.1771981, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1155529454692408, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "hs_code": "870895", "hs_description": "Vehicle parts: safety airbags with inflater system: parts thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 288997216.15849715, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3943226567198476, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "hs_code": "240110", "hs_description": "Tobacco, (not stemmed or stripped)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18424762.517755575, "current_below_peak_pct": 37.04046435534942, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7465531103769495, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "hs_code": "850110", "hs_description": "Electric motors: of an output not exceeding 37.5W", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 214622834.7750356, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.715675544222283, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "hs_code": "381519", "hs_description": "Catalysts, supported: reaction initiators, reaction accelerators and catalytic preparations, with an active substance other than nickel or precious metals or their compounds, n.e.c. or included", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 91862310.27749564, "current_below_peak_pct": 69.56622489015645, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7470776846438236, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "hs_code": "854430", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: ignition wiring sets and other wiring sets of a kind used in vehicles, aircraft or ships", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 505294604.428265, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9676940585790892, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "hs_code": "870893", "hs_description": "Vehicle parts: clutches and parts thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 181565587.85620874, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.898648876642945, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "hs_code": "841290", "hs_description": "Engines: parts, for engines and motors of heading no. 8412", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 166719793.2613214, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.2818006270002843, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "hs_code": "190531", "hs_description": "Food preparations: sweet biscuits, whether or not containing cocoa", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26786415.241924446, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9185591637439945, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "hs_code": "251512", "hs_description": "Marble and travertine: merely cut, by sawing or otherwise, into blocks or slabs of a rectangular (including square) shape, having a specific gravity of 2.5 or more", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13867372.356650364, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5938832096693298, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "distance_km": 10074, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1608981.2208119999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7518.834354599067, "importer_population": 213993.439, "importer_biz_entry_days": 16.6, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 4.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 13879.269152, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6720.896285492366, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.601498227777778, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.601498227777778, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-BRA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-BRA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-BRA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-BRA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-BRA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }