{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.048Z", "seo": { "title": "The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia exports to the United Arab Emirates: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia to the United Arab Emirates, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MKD", "country_name": "The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ARE", "country_name": "United Arab Emirates" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "all_history_lane_count": 54, "current_lane_count": 11, "current_product_count": 11, "first_observed_last_year": 1999, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 3433507.7178880344, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 608667.2368713162, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 834022.2555538769, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 202984.22069292935, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 4, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9826003789216804, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 14.668654184291736, "product_concentration_hhi": 1682.2472854694895, "top1_product_share_pct": 23.917126053734048, "top3_product_share_pct": 63.474821017820815, "top_product_hs6": "854442", "top_product_trade_usd": 821196.3689519684, "top_product_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts, fitted with connectors", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 3601.21142578125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.14965622142857, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.14965622142857, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3.8, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 358868.765175, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 36285, "buyer_population_latest": 9991.083, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.943547237156554, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.819807045643529, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0679101465127756, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.395999999999997, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 61.2, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 358868.765175, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 36285, "buyer_population_2024": 9991.083 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1528432.9999999995, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1585809, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.7539100503587886, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 2348171.999999999, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.07407449446932, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1284243.8717998117, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.30878181837564, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.637298581632222 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1607381.2206810173, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.161681202211426, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.4514023139013279 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1109115.4432765953, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.998606366280434, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.12185188599367 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 688033.2552085865, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.9655869567581, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.7816848510714 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1682704.4633765097, "yoy_growth_pct": 144.56731569847966, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5382448767771173 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 2107688.414838391, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.256006667332986, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.863463203228406 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1470516.487438099, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.230840712247677, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.811159466017333 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1200001.5477710217, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.39591340715685, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.657523517782119 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 354229.98130387365, "yoy_growth_pct": -70.48087296538503, "cagr_3y_pct": -44.81433216098595 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 169608.6123992001, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.11906914968257, "cagr_3y_pct": -51.322753810253644 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1969255.2437068443, "yoy_growth_pct": 1061.0585192878634, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.952387182460193 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 269209.1431091145, "yoy_growth_pct": -86.32939310587456, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.742584879521475 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 3672212.4099000515, "yoy_growth_pct": 1264.0741794611517, "cagr_3y_pct": 178.7147573398958 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 6005831.148964293, "yoy_growth_pct": 63.54803259127806, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.018598107267074 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 6758451.707410464, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.531497136344916, "cagr_3y_pct": 192.8099315488057 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 3231653.810742054, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.18351849435232, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.170546296921939 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 5620022.834206525, "yoy_growth_pct": 73.90547265692584, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.1888600001973124 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 3071436.2732015504, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.34833106892175, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.116803489924663 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 2667488.959748543, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.151740017446233, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.195011789631333 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 3110562.913166264, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.610151348461024, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.89549826527057 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 2688254.278884103, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.576598386569527, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.344573536694596 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 9259835.331642786, "yoy_growth_pct": 244.4553368473221, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.414294616755306 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 2728794.1216057497, "yoy_growth_pct": -70.53085693348248, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.270910765332914 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 6609308.949108824, "yoy_growth_pct": 142.20621470774785, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.96730285557228 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 5296711.466145054, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.8598294174273, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.9892475187016 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 4003006.274139825, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.42468690760662, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.624460279686756 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 6280240.692892436, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.88810515896452, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.6879515801642042 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "854442", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts, fitted with connectors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 244974615.66094726, "current_below_peak_pct": 57.32370112920293, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9996253426049335, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "871639", "hs_description": "Trailers and semi-trailers: (other than tanker type)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 47977920.00040637, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9980785962411173, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "680221", "hs_description": "Marble, travertine and alabaster: simply cut or sawn, with a flat or even surface", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 141141558.64950928, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8792109041020484, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "200599", "hs_description": "Vegetable preparations: vegetables and mixtures of vegetables n.e.c. in heading no. 2005, prepared or preserved otherwise than by vinegar or acetic acid, not frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23217817.84563166, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.066922986132493, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "200989", "hs_description": "Juice: of any single fruit or vegetable n.e.c. in heading no. 2009, unfermented, not containing added spirit, whether or not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38310008.478309944, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9095660633528125, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "853649", "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: relays, for a voltage exceeding 60 volts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 58629106.89484403, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.693649491465441, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "200990", "hs_description": "Juices: mixtures of fruits or vegetables (but not nut juice), unfermented, not containing added spirit, whether or not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 50175221.09140866, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.540703079261887, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "190420", "hs_description": "Food preparations: obtained from unroasted cereal flakes or from mixtures of unroasted cereal flakes and roasted cereal flakes or swelled cereals", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11253472.35294291, "current_below_peak_pct": 45.37331091777775, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7590143402334407, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "870990", "hs_description": "Vehicles: parts of the vehicles of heading no. 8709", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32468231.170493115, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9860229744545969, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "940140", "hs_description": "Seats: convertible into beds, other than garden seats or camping equipment", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12440870.269622033, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.406618290963796, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "distance_km": 3615, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 358868.765175, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35918.90540545004, "importer_population": 9991.083, "importer_biz_entry_days": 3.8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 13879.269152, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6720.896285492366, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.14965622142857, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.14965622142857, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-ARE/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-ARE/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-ARE/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-ARE/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-ARE/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }