{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.168Z", "seo": { "title": "The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia exports to Albania: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia to Albania, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MKD", "country_name": "The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ALB", "country_name": "Albania" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "all_history_lane_count": 116, "current_lane_count": 95, "current_product_count": 95, "first_observed_last_year": 2017, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 92099630.58990142, "attention_trade_usd": 41614818.1938923, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 55650456.325639986, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 18646333.77217477, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 51333424.56837288, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 4, "high_volatility_lane_count": 76, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 40, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 43, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2641375847291927, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 20.58846910017634, "product_concentration_hhi": 819.0464262696066, "top1_product_share_pct": 18.495809061292064, "top3_product_share_pct": 42.352489565789, "top_product_hs6": "271600", "top_product_trade_usd": 17034571.820063505, "top_product_description": "Electrical energy", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271600", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 155.96279907226562, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.23749999701976776, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.500139375079366, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.946351589880953, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 8.946351589880953, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 18260.0435, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 6494, "buyer_population_latest": 2811.666, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 11.655470011361224, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 13.391829726828464, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -1.5312917338491494, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 32.452, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 8.120000000000001, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 45.18456580916547, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 18260.0435, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 6494, "buyer_population_2024": 2811.666 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 20700458.725381553, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 25860883.81394399, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.929037356235305, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 18816207.22247718, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.24066448057114, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 12691247.706409017, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.551509683372856, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.047769980865288 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 18576481.515357964, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.37238154272991, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.441523130129482 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 21797770.309964176, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.340683120983048, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.025154290511158 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 14121019.625091346, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.21805476298482, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.6224632756290287 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 16356491.354130495, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.830809590172844, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.153653516142941 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 13107816.747148028, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.861683882234814, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.594108154936205 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 23836660.789096296, "yoy_growth_pct": 81.85073264991006, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.067468421044985 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 30413697.314756043, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.592105219151787, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.968258824534082 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 45067025.946052626, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.1800304634028, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.930211051900656 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 77515749.10627082, "yoy_growth_pct": 72.00103064058601, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.154498943250054 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 110910910.4800346, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.0817759730096, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.9223494257941 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 81431527.45564547, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.57933551965188, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.799235027491726 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 71144491.93851465, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.632742917335083, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.818459755955327 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 85636168.18166758, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.369357975986535, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.25952481336577 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 75036359.19945191, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.37772451440069, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.6894954900900103 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 78493486.35699956, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.607269321740892, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.3310348732636053 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 76107838.21666309, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.039294406527193, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.8555867637915853 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 65957770.897547096, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.336428358693986, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.2075225592077325 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 63401815.89711518, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.8751385403883787, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.870052267483107 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 75396759.42378636, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.918927410747788, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.31240974342162664 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 86711660.98435561, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.007145727538518, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.547846644747837 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 77822702.22890043, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.251168821525535, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.070098774144884 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 81775498.95466167, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.079233453157217, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.7440878381751688 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 106909712.64169726, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.735628652013002, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.229237797771404 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 198486810.29706675, "yoy_growth_pct": 85.65835169933129, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.62865151046142 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 115814042.54820028, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.65151710843338, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.299892232687636 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "export_value_usd": 158853007.660238, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.16213005355156, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.110627414859312 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "hs_code": "271600", "hs_description": "Electrical energy", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 168050849.9355193, "current_below_peak_pct": 17.646650648633333, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.141623444801021, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "hs_code": "680911", "hs_description": "Plaster, or plaster compositions: boards, sheets, panels, tiles and similar articles, faced or reinforced with paper or paperboard only, not ornamented", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16368368.951670974, "current_below_peak_pct": 1.983369429217832, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9433773381797917, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "hs_code": "854449", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 93643626.92872012, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.51137375944057, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "hs_code": "720449", "hs_description": "Ferrous waste and scrap: n.e.s. in heading no. 7204", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23098997.923940748, "current_below_peak_pct": 66.59982845006458, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9626418349590423, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "hs_code": "151219", "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33564873.03611834, "current_below_peak_pct": 54.312383431218095, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9655937651251326, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "hs_code": "220210", "hs_description": "Waters: including mineral and aerated, containing added sugar or other sweetening matter or flavoured", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 61597949.343901455, "current_below_peak_pct": 9.53237904173974, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1515380009060496, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "hs_code": "760200", "hs_description": "Aluminium: waste and scrap", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27445588.230271533, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6843179772327315, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 213581856.1243969, "current_below_peak_pct": 29.551838577269525, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6672916837177023, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "hs_code": "010229", "hs_description": "Cattle: live, other than pure-bred breeding animals", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26942448.240619984, "current_below_peak_pct": 4.954450201308716, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7450339680846964, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "hs_code": "730890", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36670985.22240459, "current_below_peak_pct": 27.370749538302796, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2569608730499018, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "ALB", "distance_km": 154, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 18260.0435, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6494.385712954525, "importer_population": 2811.666, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 10.8, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 13879.269152, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6720.896285492366, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.500139375079366, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.946351589880953, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 8.946351589880953 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-ALB/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-ALB/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-ALB/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-ALB/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-ALB/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }