{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.125Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Marshall Isds exports to Thailand: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Marshall Isds to Thailand, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "MHL",
    "country_name": "Marshall Isds"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "THA",
    "country_name": "Thailand"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
    "importer_iso3": "THA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 22,
    "current_lane_count": 6,
    "current_product_count": 6,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2005,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 93394204.57210878,
    "attention_trade_usd": 93175134.45084116,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 39203634.82519124,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 93394204.57210878,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 93394204.57210878,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 5,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 6,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.36850637318356844,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 23.409059881878356,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3471.6011355589753,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 45.6152439854807,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 89.10937877242876,
    "top_product_hs6": "030343",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 42601994.28386639,
    "top_product_description": "Fish: frozen, skipjack tuna (stripe-bellied bonito) (Katsuwonus pelamis), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "030343",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
    "distance_km": 7749.51416015625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.09800000488758087,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 19.23603619118774,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 19.23603619118774,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 6,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 505981.655622,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7233,
    "buyer_population_latest": 69950.844,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -0.6503068707693682,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.6907461577446372,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.0407205626975049,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.753999999999998,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 31.083999999999996,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.76543499431115,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 505981.655622,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7233,
    "buyer_population_2024": 69950.844
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 5153948.263896668,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 24444819.530042186,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 374.2930716103184,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 14995611.944993611,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.655256069432994,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 33317008.0163781,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 122.17838217333448,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 86.28389623166595
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 60782165.66716715,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 82.43584669213881,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.47623275580818
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 25834471.527300805,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.49662545956984,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.879557050465536
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 19297576.632641234,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.302994441948034,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.642324848507105
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 24521523.1708754,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.0704795616566,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.109190502763724
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 8107935.383995032,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -66.93543330283433,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.04257742800788
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 23092338.753162112,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 184.81157852769908,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.16671553133572
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 28972754.90894244,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.464792538499825,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.717637627777372
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 14416207.96338278,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.24219129768285,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.147257343129986
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 77385412.01314618,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 436.7945038647153,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 49.64552232983965
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 93812747.44912763,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.227948535301188,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.94172815047955
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 459443314.6930968,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 389.7450796249643,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 217.0494221302951
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 69141004.61707857,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -84.95113490480016,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.685384448695117
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 227929853.32830662,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 229.65944679375613,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.435237461354376
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 20024043.256197512,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -91.21482203239293,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -64.80832436314381
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 38503204.56665498,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 92.28486511952624,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.72768260862764
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 21243909.120968014,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.825607738203885,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -54.66039405378091
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 27393443.894547697,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.94728431835558,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.010728687857485
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 47441319.24926264,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 73.18493954936862,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.2062142719969025
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 48117549.25728445,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.42540304258576,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.327705005731765
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 42665063.67951069,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.331594526186962,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.915608941583548
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 47553242.75169238,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.45710014380963,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.07857819778340769
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 32913538.761045504,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.785921513472093,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.890305977559546
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 93413611.25959669,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 183.8151556348461,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.851186165760502
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "030343",
      "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, skipjack tuna (stripe-bellied bonito) (Katsuwonus pelamis), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 894532896.1585844,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 43.36572968396935,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6064870167772707,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "890590",
      "hs_description": "Vessels: light, fire-floats, floating cranes and other vessels, the navigability of which is subsidiary to their main function, floating docks",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 633389575.8437688,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "030342",
      "hs_description": "Fish: yellowfin tunas (thunnus albacares), frozen (excluding fillets, livers, roes and other fish meat of heading no. 0304)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 164402471.07388777,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 46.291854926907014,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5914522786662164,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "847432",
      "hs_description": "Machines: for mixing mineral substances with bitumen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27517974.192344755,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.23186123856708948,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "030344",
      "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, bigeye tunas (Thunnus obesus), excluding fillets, livers, roes, and other fish meat of heading 0304",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20750291.637424093,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6868167191755076,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "030487",
      "hs_description": "Fish fillets: frozen, tunas (of the genus Thunnus), skipjack or stripe-bellied bonito (Euthynnus (Katsuwonus) pelamis)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26292267.98858867,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "MHL",
    "importer_iso3": "THA",
    "distance_km": 7770,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": null,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 505981.655622,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7233.388858353161,
    "importer_population": 69950.844,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 6,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 248.6656,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4170.98191821262,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 19.23603619118774,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 19.23603619118774,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MHL-THA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MHL-THA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MHL-THA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MHL-THA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MHL-THA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}