{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:12.465Z", "seo": { "title": "Marshall Isds exports to Serbia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Marshall Isds to Serbia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MHL", "country_name": "Marshall Isds" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SRB", "country_name": "Serbia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MHL", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "all_history_lane_count": 6, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 2006, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 180338.68064957796, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.5545363862620685, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 9.656030696299954, "product_concentration_hhi": 5130.925259237942, "top1_product_share_pct": 66.62519630686963, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "441114", "top_product_trade_usd": 120151.00000000003, "top_product_description": "Medium density fibreboard (MDF), of a thickness exceeding 9 mm", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.2478250977777785, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.2478250977777785, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 10.836286255256834, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 12.018236663180426, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -1.0551410583952703, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_product_mix" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MHL", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 193247.574619956, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MHL", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 21850.282861714568, "yoy_growth_pct": -88.69311405088229, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MHL", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 124952.87504797419, "yoy_growth_pct": 471.8593019539943, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MHL", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 114276.80286384594, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.544078861754322, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.064050064114333 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MHL", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 992.396446309385, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.13158539490139, "cagr_3y_pct": -64.32127066493152 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MHL", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 8244.740251433468, "yoy_growth_pct": 730.7909890341471, "cagr_3y_pct": -59.591111181102754 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MHL", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 122697.27558959092, "yoy_growth_pct": 1388.188491666044, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.3981898281737024 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MHL", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 12172.653668427944, "yoy_growth_pct": -90.0791165819002, "cagr_3y_pct": 130.62162174367137 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MHL", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 13006.128478052065, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.847108546149605, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.41001735294685 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MHL", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 36116.05652037536, "yoy_growth_pct": 177.68491278032093, "cagr_3y_pct": -33.47955669227333 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MHL", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 565.2624358435401, "yoy_growth_pct": -98.4348722139012, "cagr_3y_pct": -64.05639607699476 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MHL", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 514, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.068785150571912, "cagr_3y_pct": -65.9378785526153 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MHL", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 416311, "yoy_growth_pct": 80894.35797665369, "cagr_3y_pct": 125.89460250287433 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MHL", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 174235.13062163533, "yoy_growth_pct": -58.147843650147294, "cagr_3y_pct": 575.5049459456975 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MHL", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 524106.8171680972, "yoy_growth_pct": 200.80432992944145, "cagr_3y_pct": 906.511859778706 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MHL", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "441114", "hs_description": "Medium density fibreboard (MDF), of a thickness exceeding 9 mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39933192.03433356, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6312698541308032, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MHL", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "392099", "hs_description": "Plastics: plates, sheets, film, foil and strip (not self-adhesive), of plastics n.e.c. in heading no. 3920, non-cellular and not reinforced, laminated, supported or similarly combined with other materials", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28075346.082807574, "current_below_peak_pct": 38.7708918395725, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.22205000485322238, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MHL", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "950699", "hs_description": "Equipment for outdoor games and recreation n.e.s. in heading no. 9506", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10873347.423431344, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9286237177828083, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MHL", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "distance_km": 13566, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "importer_population": 6844.078, "importer_biz_entry_days": 7, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 2.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 248.6656, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4170.98191821262, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.2478250977777785, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.2478250977777785, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MHL-SRB/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MHL-SRB/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MHL-SRB/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MHL-SRB/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MHL-SRB/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }