{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.067Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Mexico exports to Zambia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Mexico to Zambia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "MEX",
    "country_name": "Mexico"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "ZMB",
    "country_name": "Zambia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
    "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
    "all_history_lane_count": 20,
    "current_lane_count": 13,
    "current_product_count": 13,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2010,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 2576357.29528721,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1841788.3267041983,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 353032.75281380466,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1090470.8383164247,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 2576357.29528721,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 2576357.29528721,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 9,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 5,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 13,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3974837461908045,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 19.85266726773083,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1522.5937360753592,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 27.08969163407808,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 53.37469855736733,
    "top_product_hs6": "851762",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 697927.2466853797,
    "top_product_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 14455.361328125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.00800000037997961,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.54900142464647,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.54900142464647,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 21203.05908,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1121,
    "buyer_population_latest": 18920.656,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6556563915409939,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -1.1688252989154657,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.8578853777657898,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 36.05800000000001,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 34.70399999999999,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 21203.05908,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1121,
    "buyer_population_2024": 18920.656
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 30497.353917255463,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 47374.136796791805,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.33851535226939,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 158060.0648016963,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 233.64209986492082,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 25138.316923014547,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -84.0957189568704,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.238471381036737
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 7493.478535303691,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -70.19100937325169,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -45.91866720309451
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 32329.43590521354,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 331.4342898682009,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -41.080553669061636
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 37940.3733407706,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.355506764818696,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.706615993506622
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 9364.876441143828,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -75.31685743566376,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.714175471427098
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 897930.7890084035,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9488.28228702962,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 202.84116771910715
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 11055.897118858753,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -98.76873615937951,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -33.70245254279721
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 21184.244316990724,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 91.6103604189243,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.27145781275238
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 515498.03112710564,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2333.4029735186396,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.888449861737165
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 43018.470866531716,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -91.65496892927517,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 57.28488654218673
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 115003.67441258539,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 167.33557027025344,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 75.75171839698905
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 717444.7393444375,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 523.8450580027069,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.648737072010217
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 1816862.9225563866,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 153.2408174344603,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 248.2483476049113
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 297287.91575383756,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -83.63729524869473,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.24246609982025
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 5296250.828479843,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1681.5224056618845,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 94.7122893888227
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 3508573.2385139144,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.7536428666283,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.528702027027837
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 463722.72258075245,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -86.78315397579769,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.97392980588641
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 1977563.777370492,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 326.45393056539734,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.99091078991981
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 1111549.4510400794,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.79197961857525,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.829039351805456
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 1024467.2459305773,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.834307778931393,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.24065357311183
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 2023118.553063255,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 97.48006206148156,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7620384265506264
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 1453855.5073191354,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.13789853699795,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.361422969112976
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 2826708.7535619717,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 94.42845174994972,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.25800652188798
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 4593296.619626561,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 62.49628172122401,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.431980729571695
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 6448949.56305173,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40.399153311723964,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 64.30694147926765
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 5626139.917804671,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.758816566983578,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.789142021569166
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 5610025.541575763,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.28641975607310854,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.892388713035547
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "851762",
      "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35598617.887118824,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9525277359013533,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "841480",
      "hs_description": "Pumps and compressors: for air, vacuum or gas, n.e.s. in heading no. 8414",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23657995.91024502,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 20.74464930814418,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1822733160711187,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "380893",
      "hs_description": "Herbicides, anti-sprouting products and plant-growth regulators: not containing substances of 3808.50: put up in forms or packings for retail sale or as preparations or articles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20992215.264863208,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9420371594397662,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "841370",
      "hs_description": "Pumps: centrifugal, n.e.c. in heading no. 8413, for liquids",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 45906465.55214316,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6987490483473087,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "382499",
      "hs_description": "Chemical products, mixtures and preparations: n.e.c. heading 3824",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 61673874.544507146,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 93.15041539724682,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9398553818767066,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "843149",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 87359216.14616519,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 34.43361493253051,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3289874881333528,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "841950",
      "hs_description": "Heat exchange units: not used for domestic purposes",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14081421.493941698,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5665446719781305,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "853710",
      "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24238953.093797144,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1240461878881924,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "848180",
      "hs_description": "Taps, cocks, valves and similar appliances: for pipes, boiler shells, tanks, vats or the like, including thermostatically controlled valves",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28798263.277737647,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 37.875030792819544,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3047600048069665,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "732690",
      "hs_description": "Iron or steel: articles n.e.s. in heading no. 7326",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12882974.145019226,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.059110982153104,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
    "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
    "distance_km": 14450,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 21203.05908,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1120.6302297341065,
    "importer_population": 18920.656,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 34,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1293037.8663599999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9926.42261514624,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.54900142464647,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.54900142464647,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-ZMB/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-ZMB/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-ZMB/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-ZMB/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-ZMB/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}