{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.136Z", "seo": { "title": "Mexico exports to Ukraine: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Mexico to Ukraine, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MEX", "country_name": "Mexico" }, "importer": { "iso3": "UKR", "country_name": "Ukraine" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "all_history_lane_count": 181, "current_lane_count": 138, "current_product_count": 138, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 105430526.77487059, "attention_trade_usd": 72646263.14397338, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 84066421.30610672, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 19820914.591935012, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 3082630.676757589, "access_friction_trade_usd": 105430526.77487059, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 9, "high_volatility_lane_count": 87, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 57, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 19, "access_friction_lane_count": 138, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3327908651467673, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 30.468152015955045, "product_concentration_hhi": 1207.1527400510342, "top1_product_share_pct": 27.924411980422448, "top3_product_share_pct": 50.96381810976545, "top_product_hs6": "870323", "top_product_trade_usd": 29440854.64974446, "top_product_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "top_attention_product_hs6": "870323", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 10831.548828125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.74256830099617, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.74256830099617, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 6.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 200085.537744, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4567, "buyer_population_latest": 43814.583, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.388047577338883, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.285640541163119, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -3.37794288946095, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.714000000000002, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 10.852, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 68.90439170345552, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 200085.537744, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4567, "buyer_population_2024": 43814.583 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 1113707.9018940304, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 2307892.689671842, "yoy_growth_pct": 107.22603168630825, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 1551874.9393129493, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.7579247398366, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 1703414.6730539212, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.764944964448109, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.216946409160625 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 889299.7202453254, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.79311612650557, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.231372887454665 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 1037220.0397697741, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.63334825784528, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.567802689366781 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 1203087.7764903787, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.99156691548509, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.944862851677806 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 2919381.522500963, "yoy_growth_pct": 142.65740036170254, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.621246600786016 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 5041109.4255259065, "yoy_growth_pct": 72.67730807610617, "cagr_3y_pct": 69.38894970722001 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 2724431.88599217, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.95570823761781, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.318590735808893 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 5666411.512594453, "yoy_growth_pct": 107.98506806973771, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.740003549781253 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 16579918.242609417, "yoy_growth_pct": 192.59996747073615, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.71407929520413 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 18887121.95644428, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.915651935517293, "cagr_3y_pct": 90.67625346944259 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 48966476.22351795, "yoy_growth_pct": 159.25853783567382, "cagr_3y_pct": 105.2092407849183 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 19991775.581934992, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.17252552403759, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.436273568975803 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 48743483.538751215, "yoy_growth_pct": 143.81768062060928, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.16719564042648 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 67942170.78857265, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.387187488474076, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.535603685207917 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 75213606.17679039, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.702388963763765, "cagr_3y_pct": 55.5303017549321 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 74795127.23993063, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.5563872790198543, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.341496157917112 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 48188216.94232773, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.573053057657425, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.8200661125624 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 30039757.480017267, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.66161234816131, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.35668380060433 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 53462810.116477266, "yoy_growth_pct": 77.97350778228231, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.588614286644937 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 71042420.55759445, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.88194242468212, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.813111833937297 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 96699760.49500568, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.11552046795858, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.65324368163319 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 105573763.30599941, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.176861209963437, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.458880176117727 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 119589592.44569495, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.27586390860338, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.95751369401988 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 152674230.50295407, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.66514826303357, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.44301640397927 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 74371089.35300913, "yoy_growth_pct": -51.28772608972139, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.021984904383597 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 82562253.05816175, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.013908464178224, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.618225543908922 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 116271376.336778, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.82873471835797, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.679343589127575 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "hs_code": "870323", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 815817086.0630692, "current_below_peak_pct": 47.39042186604216, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2449976245436407, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "hs_code": "870422", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a g.v.w. exceeding 5 tonnes but not exceeding 20 tonnes), nes in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 277106992.62208843, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.1863295872498467, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "hs_code": "790111", "hs_description": "Zinc: unwrought, (not alloyed), containing by weight 99.99% or more of zinc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24971148.493329782, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5697063520562015, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "hs_code": "870332", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 2500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 493076750.7070666, "current_below_peak_pct": 59.727107468222265, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3751435087626795, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 347041134.48192894, "current_below_peak_pct": 8.800918957961585, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.144895287747312, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "hs_code": "220890", "hs_description": "Spirits, liqueurs and other spirituous beverages: n.e.c. in heading no. 2208", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 61505012.82927017, "current_below_peak_pct": 6.152443860029437, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.909943990016271, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "hs_code": "870380", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only electric motor for propulsion", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 874817795.0869117, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2341647672213278, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "hs_code": "870340", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 343851566.1464386, "current_below_peak_pct": 80.97764905472982, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.333737028456743, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "hs_code": "870322", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 141578550.02642944, "current_below_peak_pct": 73.52806974381843, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0235124384311949, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "hs_code": "901839", "hs_description": "Medical, surgical instruments and appliances: catheters, cannulae and the like", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38764614.73635226, "current_below_peak_pct": 25.9608458757437, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8264251612727155, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "distance_km": 10835, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 200085.537744, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4566.642520459455, "importer_population": 43814.583, "importer_biz_entry_days": 6.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1293037.8663599999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9926.42261514624, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.74256830099617, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.74256830099617, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-UKR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-UKR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-UKR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-UKR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-UKR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }