{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:06.109Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Mexico exports to Uganda: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Mexico to Uganda, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "MEX",
    "country_name": "Mexico"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "UGA",
    "country_name": "Uganda"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
    "importer_iso3": "UGA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 20,
    "current_lane_count": 5,
    "current_product_count": 5,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 2395697.164459281,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1567496.295792686,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2395697.164459281,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 828200.8686665951,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2350057.4623803315,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 2395697.164459281,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 5,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 4,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 5,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.58608100502482,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 22.852889077962676,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 4666.77155555802,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 65.42965108640834,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 90.69563389593749,
    "top_product_hs6": "848180",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 1567496.295792686,
    "top_product_description": "Taps, cocks, valves and similar appliances: for pipes, boiler shells, tanks, vats or the like, including thermostatically controlled valves",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "848180",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 14330.9326171875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.004000000189989805,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.47315390888889,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.47315390888889,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 24,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 40434.701516999994,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 858,
    "buyer_population_latest": 47123.531,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.805671720289032,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.56605150525753,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0688087399671105,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.022,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 16.612000000000002,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 65.42965108640834,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 40434.701516999994,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 858,
    "buyer_population_2024": 47123.531
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 2050.1968226011877,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 8866.002727852874,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 332.4464183201753,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 214824.52361907173,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2323.0144092353207,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1490625.0777122788,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 593.8803133833385,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 799.2027417219889
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 272218.206490205,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -81.73798290660794,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 213.13367085121996
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 498569.5906237349,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 83.1507146608412,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.39776164224533
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 585073.181607352,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.350354415999746,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.782664064897354
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 157493.0592907266,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -73.08147694309774,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.673830657156053
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 256371.26682351748,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 62.78258100902414,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.884873798093327
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 25912.713801902384,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -89.8925046777023,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -64.61920648560512
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 154685.25455365822,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 496.94733533583803,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5978375520650725
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 392150.1221488328,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 153.51487010211514,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.219946280573705
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 233487.84781887525,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.4595753943793,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 108.08964112809684
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 189367.68173167977,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.896129498534354,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.975826050250267
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 243502.59847654396,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.587199383667496,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.686633092338964
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 859121.4777648891,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 252.81819707055254,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.38203622833311
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 983732.5765844444,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.504479522936208,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 73.19036611812955
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1309522.091635436,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.11769100725981,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 75.20093105723238
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1105846.898696676,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.553398773471184,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.779437641440978
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1473428.9700750518,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.239869986668054,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.415285962746683
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 936373.3008516708,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.44937625978842,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.577790281622068
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 926253.3485008978,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.0807604554261108,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.7362031106774065
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 3554027.739475629,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 283.6993135007473,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.110835933013185
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 3324411.4239844712,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.460735039874388,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 52.55340820288421
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 5453786.261237627,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 64.05268679714122,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 80.57436965669231
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 8663591.21236436,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 58.854615809573986,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.583673909340604
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 8993282.783864623,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.8054839317642086,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.33744022635472
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 3303045.9214724237,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -63.27207760664868,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.39315521365121
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 8671700.436982261,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 162.53647824298523,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.031190667640967895
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 5374974.060302889,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.01706943911254,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.766268312995335
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "hs_code": "848180",
      "hs_description": "Taps, cocks, valves and similar appliances: for pipes, boiler shells, tanks, vats or the like, including thermostatically controlled valves",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32605739.416471403,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5023343452060702,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "hs_code": "851762",
      "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 70874566.92437118,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 61.72298700942229,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.504950554375594,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "hs_code": "847989",
      "hs_description": "Machines and mechanical appliances: n.e.s. in item no. 8479.8, having individual functions",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28473835.99420838,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 74.92374500036468,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9657658388806711,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "hs_code": "847150",
      "hs_description": "Digital processing units: other than those of subheadings 8471.41 or 8471.49, whether or not containing in the same housing one or two of the following types of unit: storage units, input units or output units",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17163188.966192704,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 54.43894322186728,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.738950866237329,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "hs_code": "853710",
      "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20505297.327141844,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 96.00705686569806,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.3776719172838066,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
    "importer_iso3": "UGA",
    "distance_km": 14330,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 40434.701517,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 858.0575491467309,
    "importer_population": 47123.531,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 24,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 40.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1293037.8663599999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9926.42261514624,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.47315390888889,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.47315390888889,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-UGA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-UGA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-UGA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-UGA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-UGA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}