{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.715Z", "seo": { "title": "Mexico exports to Nicaragua: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Mexico to Nicaragua, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MEX", "country_name": "Mexico" }, "importer": { "iso3": "NIC", "country_name": "Nicaragua" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "all_history_lane_count": 136, "current_lane_count": 124, "current_product_count": 124, "first_observed_last_year": 2003, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 803121643.4099683, "attention_trade_usd": 611042325.2099096, "critical_trade_usd": 22823857.14444609, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 550838518.3291907, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 50255079.146450534, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 672002580.651009, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 2, "high_attention_lane_count": 43, "high_volatility_lane_count": 64, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 38, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 93, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0889652400533125, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 15.199976423134283, "product_concentration_hhi": 454.4123850903122, "top1_product_share_pct": 12.907398649302237, "top3_product_share_pct": 29.08180186907492, "top_product_hs6": "854449", "top_product_trade_usd": 103662112.15375218, "top_product_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors", "top_attention_product_hs6": "854449", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 1599.6441650390625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.9603000283241272, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.31102480050101, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.61494578868687, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 8.61494578868687, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 14, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 14013.022092000001, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2091, "buyer_population_latest": 6702.379, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.172346628065231, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 7.77149231502996, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2998375386140015, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 29.536, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 13.639999999999997, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 76.08340906061123, "critical_trade_share_pct": 2.8418929226634266, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 14013.022092000001, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2091, "buyer_population_2024": 6702.379 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 30767097.36661376, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 61609845.50936108, "yoy_growth_pct": 100.24588207081129, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 90463706.53265686, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.833198143487785, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 68404695.8666191, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.38437635547753, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.516813890112427 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 68568007.32310733, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.23874304887880893, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.6311862700265207 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 107039563.08908987, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.10715152431982, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.7685741975714855 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 134768355.2262001, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.905180605073408, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.362411361765492 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 112882809.50363497, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.239380295048967, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.077938008238892 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 136364755.19329312, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.80205639185655, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.405821067864405 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 149434473.24030042, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.584381263678686, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5033221654445557 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 287528748.3276678, "yoy_growth_pct": 92.41125698305419, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.56869347678746 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 481099337.1760979, "yoy_growth_pct": 67.32216864375494, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.23372484576123 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 629025675.2709872, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.747566388922998, "cagr_3y_pct": 61.46281698814053 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 396272816.76545393, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.002123705882475, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.285266301249152 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 246437610.40976816, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.81112405809311, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.987579232540455 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 340446541.9352999, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.1471526887543, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.50577171504806 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 455844628.0454254, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.896095831708095, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.778984834482758 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 705115356.9981555, "yoy_growth_pct": 54.68326566039734, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.966015982611005 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 771545000.179006, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.421102876507659, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.352228296958785 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 839563173.9264559, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.815840130085606, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.577900869920242 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 897041365.5645444, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.84620209927449, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.355451373517852 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 933512209.3340412, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.065681379870845, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.558045754095487 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 919348008.4241387, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.517302159337286, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.072352001586398 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 753654767.0517117, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.022907522956732, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.640276398397848 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 711239061.6868688, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.628002000275623, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.666128738006906 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 701356354.1738621, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.3895057295598368, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.626639237962518 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 915615312.580005, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.549228952024208, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.703876856685853 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 1078110110.8033152, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.74705992688512, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.872438295712897 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 1086692147.6224725, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.796026002646677, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.714894652197419 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 1057675839.5663185, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.6701497861779444, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.925209637584027 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "hs_code": "854449", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 204578631.59362742, "current_below_peak_pct": 19.996577974393904, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0339306550217464, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "hs_code": "853890", "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: parts suitable for use solely or principally with the apparatus of heading no. 8535, 8536 or 8537", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 104856975.1945701, "current_below_peak_pct": 11.54147873548296, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.112014730809252, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "hs_code": "392690", "hs_description": "Plastics: other articles n.e.s. in chapter 39", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 115649428.04478677, "current_below_peak_pct": 1.6432829980635628, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2251022024079385, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "hs_code": "853690", "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: n.e.s. in heading no. 8536, for switching or protecting electrical circuits, for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 82914384.66373065, "current_below_peak_pct": 3.485218798823126, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0558400643850805, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "hs_code": "740819", "hs_description": "Copper: wire, of refined copper, of which the maximum cross-sectional dimension is 6mm or less", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 42280793.18288073, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4994004644137349, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "hs_code": "961900", "hs_description": "Sanitary towels (pads) and tampons, napkins and napkin liners for babies and similar articles, of any material", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53943701.06713852, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.473172654854679, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.971274663642577, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "hs_code": "190110", "hs_description": "Food preparations: of flour, meal, starch, malt extract or milk products, for infant use, put up for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32197343.391593624, "current_below_peak_pct": 20.53474475863117, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6342074160133805, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "hs_code": "240110", "hs_description": "Tobacco, (not stemmed or stripped)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 92811038.15050481, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3846004493390014, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 283798827.2239255, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4527028436279801, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "hs_code": "870421", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 244802226.28523523, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2405377411310132, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "distance_km": 1599, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 14013.022092, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2090.7534611217898, "importer_population": 6702.379, "importer_biz_entry_days": 14, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 65.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1293037.8663599999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9926.42261514624, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.31102480050101, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.61494578868687, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 8.61494578868687 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-NIC/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-NIC/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-NIC/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-NIC/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-NIC/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }