{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.731Z", "seo": { "title": "Mexico exports to Cuba: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Mexico to Cuba, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MEX", "country_name": "Mexico" }, "importer": { "iso3": "CUB", "country_name": "Cuba" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "all_history_lane_count": 67, "current_lane_count": 61, "current_product_count": 61, "first_observed_last_year": 2000, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 131208208.70372161, "attention_trade_usd": 84496610.76509579, "critical_trade_usd": 14272755.18210148, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 73404025.33426993, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 49801435.90312427, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 99760834.34443071, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 13, "high_volatility_lane_count": 40, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 46, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 40, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1967833422960517, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 47.506001078402804, "product_concentration_hhi": 752.602174235842, "top1_product_share_pct": 16.406422088596496, "top3_product_share_pct": 37.28900156327297, "top_product_hs6": "150790", "top_product_trade_usd": 21526572.534819175, "top_product_description": "Vegetable oils: soya-bean oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "top_attention_product_hs6": "150790", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 1784.223388671875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.9801000356674194, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.782836915353538, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.875705087878792, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 7.380034811717169, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.495670276161623, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 107352, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 9478, "buyer_population_latest": 11317.498, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7476068045427997, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7953232349502848, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.4014356936967167, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 64.39887534467887, "critical_trade_share_pct": 10.877943783479644, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 107352, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 9478, "buyer_population_2024": 11317.498 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 354155434.1835762, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 331274450.0094032, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.460718081855732, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 304854503.2271993, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.975244327310483, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 160289908.81077147, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.42084925302481, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.221888800565825 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 137488381.0233124, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.22517983610383, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.40792552317993 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 271721864.57287884, "yoy_growth_pct": 97.6326017882238, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.7625758231334183 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 244800496.37043154, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.907693017183272, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.160101083245724 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 182234585.89277765, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.557918143670467, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.847017253304301 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 187848662.5397148, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.080686698100399, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.57782901115867 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 188014399.18426764, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.08822881265806437, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.421623720771754 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 245772583.5660562, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.720085606412194, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.484378459946498 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 195267977.21982914, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.549324751128296, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.2995789084950138 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 256809389.01466948, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.516387208517106, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.953224670176521 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 383326171.9017132, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.264858801489076, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.969827833683858 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 257357390.28051835, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.862035220880735, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.63987679700029 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 317524797.23081005, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.378931098387934, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.330276931444013 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 573566510.0741639, "yoy_growth_pct": 80.63676131008948, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.376930618015926 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 461118072.8591353, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.60512603856328, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.457731859490494 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 467316170.33229244, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.344145423476073, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.748161834995788 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 442111575.06363493, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.393478092302129, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.31125393787736 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 416048982.97088706, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.8950259533459555, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.3702683332457517 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 376050713.80604833, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.613836543770038, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.986667894821319 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 394954087.82692, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.026815088196113, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.6899571886163995 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 455147833.907145, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.240694535260424, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.0392459527990523 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 422439270.3450805, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.186360370274203, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.953541333677757 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 278690490.1821892, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.02827110402552, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.972294859386444 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 314185711.6630808, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.736430818894174, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.621902138487993 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 306732959.59235024, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.372084978429123, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.119519171510094 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 312523387.37650794, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.8877748879198464, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.8931205856378215 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "export_value_usd": 247190568.5159151, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.904937518126953, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.682970446904902 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "hs_code": "150790", "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: soya-bean oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 90885272.26523954, "current_below_peak_pct": 43.86341760972887, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4275914240921546, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "hs_code": "761290", "hs_description": "Aluminium: casks, drums, cans, boxes and the like for any material (not compressed or liquefied gas), 300l capacity or less, whether or not lined or heat-insulated, no mechanical or thermal equipment", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17214069.710591707, "current_below_peak_pct": 65.54610844673402, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6123721760820009, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "hs_code": "160100", "hs_description": "Meat preparations: sausages and similar products, of meat, meat offal or blood, and food preparations based on these products", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43156450.522294186, "current_below_peak_pct": 44.51358530811525, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6172805922601448, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "hs_code": "340120", "hs_description": "Soap: in forms n.e.c. in item no. 3401.11", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30747321.821386494, "current_below_peak_pct": 47.05255003151381, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8330259604251494, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "hs_code": "490199", "hs_description": "Printed matter: books, brochures, leaflets and similar printed matter n.e.c. in item no. 4901.10 or 4901.91", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12415805.804338753, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7364313560337226, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "hs_code": "230990", "hs_description": "Dog or cat food: (not put up for retail sale), used in animal feeding", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15378829.428564297, "current_below_peak_pct": 78.78496797671136, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8630883654167162, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "hs_code": "220210", "hs_description": "Waters: including mineral and aerated, containing added sugar or other sweetening matter or flavoured", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36598330.174795404, "current_below_peak_pct": 31.31916222376875, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6969936541559903, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "hs_code": "071333", "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: kidney beans, including white pea beans (phaseolus vulgaris), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18775232.72044575, "current_below_peak_pct": 63.489468143763176, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.1770125096862105, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "hs_code": "220300", "hs_description": "Beer: made from malt", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 129365581.6655482, "current_below_peak_pct": 12.229872263063127, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1489561631009493, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23806311.763079274, "current_below_peak_pct": 1.1608453863318764, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7917417437300508, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MEX", "importer_iso3": "CUB", "distance_km": 1786, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 107352, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9485.488753786394, "importer_population": 11317.498, "importer_biz_entry_days": null, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1293037.8663599999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9926.42261514624, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.782836915353538, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.875705087878792, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 7.380034811717169, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.495670276161623 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-CUB/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-CUB/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-CUB/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-CUB/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-CUB/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }