{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.723Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Mexico exports to Bulgaria: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Mexico to Bulgaria, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "MEX",
    "country_name": "Mexico"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "BGR",
    "country_name": "Bulgaria"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
    "importer_iso3": "BGR",
    "all_history_lane_count": 134,
    "current_lane_count": 98,
    "current_product_count": 98,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 65914523.526471645,
    "attention_trade_usd": 32760452.593359362,
    "critical_trade_usd": 17857996.045313355,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 40126006.56285193,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 31408736.34405701,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 26705874.00371785,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 5,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 77,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 19,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 16,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3375737012842346,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 32.60467434174163,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1039.5202730091644,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 27.092657414327636,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 46.18303787353839,
    "top_product_hs6": "261610",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 17857996.045313355,
    "top_product_description": "Silver ores and concentrates",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "261610",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 10957.55078125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.031072299927473068,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.115139557777775,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 15.10011210666666,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 13.533760373333333,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.5663517333333266,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 23,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 80271.119426,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 11635,
    "buyer_population_latest": 6899.125,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 10.593931268104285,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 11.189451881330982,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.5355909244541324,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.716,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.028,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 49.701417594564845,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 27.092657414327636,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 80271.119426,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 11635,
    "buyer_population_2024": 6899.125
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 4319493.698450557,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 1531177.950935758,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -64.55191145469188,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 2816007.796163572,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 83.91120342626462,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 1922631.310763128,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.724929406003344,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.647887896458474
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 1617933.273897875,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.847970183337578,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.8540525601459246
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 4512664.827632669,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 178.9153854757493,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.021701481576667
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 5508654.533388458,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.07098784862074,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 42.03101003389342
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 2149367.368906977,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -60.98199014152248,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.930114806987111
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 6380871.00645069,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 196.87205169098524,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.240337098990729
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 5077485.164011819,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.426456531110304,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.680237144228348
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 6148660.535533155,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.09657314439064,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.95693756806569
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 8204937.568252706,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.44268269221094,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.742280987155215
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 15019861.07227363,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 83.0588099827822,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 43.55084419517215
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 33841912.53043644,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 125.31441780715235,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 76.55965059518266
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 11810567.31653777,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -65.10076874078649,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.90984888440201
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 2368028.952406292,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -79.94991359059902,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -45.97762199512356
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 9521145.075006714,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 302.0704673112939,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -34.47433638354871
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 33218030.731983546,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 248.8869297788756,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.156551896730285
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 6775902.647190079,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -79.6017328605034,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.96895422522429
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 19802292.905614577,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 192.245829621334,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.64645727885884
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 9061207.216091044,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -54.241626162786915,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -35.14590652092365
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 21591481.124092743,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 138.28481800692325,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.15389405602408
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 45364928.78409301,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 110.10568252991587,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.826154800091434
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 7068270.724117587,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -84.41908559416488,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.946062217655148
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 44249859.20211578,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 526.0351496035828,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.021280364738097
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 66181052.9433502,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.56217745476079,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.415169548510075
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 57229334.262828104,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.52610495361053,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 100.80221829607629
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 65683522.19135933,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.772472958893811,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.072645447765009
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 67735635.35753126,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.124243490160894,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7769426694406834
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 73110907.39855489,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.9356634253907155,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.506184783803628
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "261610",
      "hs_description": "Silver ores and concentrates",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23303856.02651922,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 57.571989530270365,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6182466376584187,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "260300",
      "hs_description": "Copper ores and concentrates",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2228787425.0549655,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 70.2303695707935,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.235503483813615,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "220300",
      "hs_description": "Beer: made from malt",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39271205.301599175,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4120997849422463,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "901890",
      "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 95675751.77229628,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.792356746912168,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "902110",
      "hs_description": "Orthopaedic or fracture appliances",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15682166.435523901,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.427327853807698,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "903149",
      "hs_description": "Optical instruments and appliances: for measuring or checking, n.e.s. in chapter 90",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15824145.64667992,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 69.85627284564838,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4850723543207145,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "261690",
      "hs_description": "Precious metal ores and concentrates: (excluding silver)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 149968911.9765969,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 93.45204836491305,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7789207229542155,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "260800",
      "hs_description": "Zinc ores and concentrates",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 77236401.79707293,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3852955219586532,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "902620",
      "hs_description": "Instruments and apparatus: for measuring or checking pressure",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18113665.57781819,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.452870328108088,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "854720",
      "hs_description": "Insulating fittings: of plastics, for electrical machines, of insulating material only (except minor assembly parts), excluding those of heading no. 8546",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28875503.51516206,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.774661414284181,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "MEX",
    "importer_iso3": "BGR",
    "distance_km": 10962,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 80271.119426,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 11634.971018208831,
    "importer_population": 6899.125,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 23,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1293037.8663599999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9926.42261514624,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.115139557777775,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 15.10011210666666,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 13.533760373333333,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.5663517333333266
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-BGR/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-BGR/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-BGR/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-BGR/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MEX-BGR/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}