{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.172Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Maldives exports to Thailand: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Maldives to Thailand, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "MDV",
    "country_name": "Maldives"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "THA",
    "country_name": "Thailand"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
    "importer_iso3": "THA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 13,
    "current_lane_count": 5,
    "current_product_count": 5,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2004,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 38907234.7132629,
    "attention_trade_usd": 38429874.91666402,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 38859407.75671184,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 192636.10732062263,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 38907234.7132629,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 2,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 4,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7260953489660129,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 63.44781641984755,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 6214.96441381609,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 75.2348732559418,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 99.38195796837313,
    "top_product_hs6": "030343",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 29271808.723915137,
    "top_product_description": "Fish: frozen, skipjack tuna (stripe-bellied bonito) (Katsuwonus pelamis), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "030343",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 3152.968505859375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 29.905953388484853,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.575456674545453,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.09796988566666666,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 30.47748678887879,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 6,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 505981.655622,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7233,
    "buyer_population_latest": 69950.844,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -0.6503068707693682,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.6907461577446372,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.0407205626975049,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.753999999999998,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 31.083999999999996,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 98.773082178374,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 505981.655622,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7233,
    "buyer_population_2024": 69950.844
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 670077.5935037266,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 4596427.9070179295,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 585.9545747506578,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 6193118.756713762,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.73764588492663,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 8528028.20187112,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.70167401724949,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 133.4754264402755
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 11837952.72515675,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.81230742833854,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.07304153183926
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 4929510.840570301,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.35841758267346,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.324528120092388
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 6399814.120778959,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.82655536748058,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.12601408884891
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 16295528.161662653,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 154.62502276049275,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.240759821906
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 21380177.636621743,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.202728899093856,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 63.08067276417195
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 29465646.5437742,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.81759461765646,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 66.36023999363888
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 31675089.3441173,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.498368641125008,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.80054133156122
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 44627622.834337026,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40.89186094947914,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.79998855771071
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 45044141.69036,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.9333207318013459,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.196896852803299
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 61366719.13605999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.23684864039316,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.663223398278976
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 16718840.949877206,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -72.7558501004285,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.911254032677814
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 20808178.282179292,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.459454722739736,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.69660254323278
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 34900491.147913985,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 67.72487564566738,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.14865854057207
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 40282358.33460073,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.42060587020828,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.061139772352256
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 63620080.47909217,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 57.93534219282635,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.13986606769218
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 43195503.97878725,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.10397777949553,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.366551000993904
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 37480815.69763185,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.229821983236512,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.3741754069423027
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 43572316.11842134,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.25231550436712,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.853417879721817
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 87613268.61428517,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 101.0755369904341,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.58350375444347
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 61782618.55724448,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.482577771135745,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.127884318169386
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 59741326.41309936,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.3039909796859224,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.093352211606389
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 68581565.12227376,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.797526670308425,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.8392848027180495
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 69406683.0302287,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.2031190983814,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.954906673910097
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 79277232.61222143,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.22132444752302,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.889924133969586
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 97452447.09419622,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.926146490099452,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.424712503049772
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 38997612.44692885,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -59.98293156329437,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.482592238183013
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "030343",
      "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, skipjack tuna (stripe-bellied bonito) (Katsuwonus pelamis), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 894532896.1585844,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 66.89519730559073,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7423861357746923,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "030342",
      "hs_description": "Fish: yellowfin tunas (thunnus albacares), frozen (excluding fillets, livers, roes and other fish meat of heading no. 0304)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 164402471.07388777,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 52.25936187183896,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6757852693760306,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "030344",
      "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, bigeye tunas (Thunnus obesus), excluding fillets, livers, roes, and other fish meat of heading 0304",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20750291.637424093,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 60.77775997769048,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6552753462722671,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "030487",
      "hs_description": "Fish fillets: frozen, tunas (of the genus Thunnus), skipjack or stripe-bellied bonito (Euthynnus (Katsuwonus) pelamis)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26292267.98858867,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 90.5485356899713,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9097898913380311,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "902131",
      "hs_description": "Artificial parts of the body",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31165672.31227749,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
    "importer_iso3": "THA",
    "distance_km": 3149,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 505981.655622,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7233.388858353161,
    "importer_population": 69950.844,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 6,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4889.666932,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 8994.64135241529,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 29.905953388484853,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.575456674545453,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.09796988566666666,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 30.47748678887879
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDV-THA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDV-THA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDV-THA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDV-THA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDV-THA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}