{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.116Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Maldives exports to Japan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Maldives to Japan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "MDV",
    "country_name": "Maldives"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "JPN",
    "country_name": "Japan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
    "importer_iso3": "JPN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 12,
    "current_lane_count": 3,
    "current_product_count": 3,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2007,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1126499.2944830598,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 196075.6505945897,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 196075.6505945897,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1094196.1440897505,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 1126499.2944830598,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 1126499.2944830598,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 3,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6691071593318121,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 49.327622607349134,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 6667.526672551038,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 79.72668051312894,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "160414",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 898120.4934951607,
    "top_product_description": "Fish preparations: tunas, skipjack and Atlantic bonito (sarda spp.), prepared or preserved, whole or in pieces (but not minced)",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 7611.87451171875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.6120449450583636,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.060224438230304,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.0153403196466664,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.0448841185836373,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11.1,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4937421.880462,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 39285,
    "buyer_population_latest": 125681.595,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -4.67885267787802,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -4.27363742210356,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.4233058113377264,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.977999999999998,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.869999999999997,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4937421.880462,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 39285,
    "buyer_population_2024": 125681.595
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 3378015.806579827,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 7187391.86351532,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 112.76963386362628,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 14623764.594075713,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 103.46413374660912,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 8985687.68946443,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.55420995285541,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.55744962738574
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 3058349.9922315795,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -65.96420777212806,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.784856793270617
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 3650210.8572565895,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.352293443470426,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -37.03687787629673
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 4398833.311678964,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.509019442921183,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.187447161281348
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 12825348.868769879,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 191.56251123947797,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 61.26025214713317
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 13055894.205237646,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.7975755578014008,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 52.931244696377156
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 16643115.32202902,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.4758745774172,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 55.823290987975625
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 22113269.516062543,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.867369408857996,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.91161638924359
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 20872344.04117974,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.611677974536622,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.92881116132938
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 7936423.023261162,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -61.976369268333585,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.873795043906398
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 5121957.841339343,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.462640709458114,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -38.586900950960235
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 2807672.420779295,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -45.18360931988625,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -48.76205099557824
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 1637332.3983248833,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.683638511132756,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -40.91135708261999
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 5138258.462459332,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 213.81889637780117,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.10597093208852826
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 4998535.055432744,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.7192755687052816,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.19892526610563
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 7164217.053843373,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 43.326334103765475,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 63.56007207272671
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 13533363.462034822,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 88.90219769059907,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.10092892785508
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 9320540.852562822,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.129161802904658,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.083392312736194
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 4353963.773142528,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -53.28636136018501,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.295719328603496
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 4261598.358891147,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.12140980182558,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.966587252358714
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 3293108.686861701,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.725972521761616,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -29.30506219503094
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 2798426.909271738,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.021726418066983,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.700213952805452
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 2696846.8656607764,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.629898042875701,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.145857138446882
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 5657596.331663053,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 109.78559827411036,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.768321812173095
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 3139947.795507855,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.50032113576287,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.912905064017047
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 2563437.0675997874,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.36051951987382,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.6769237913999202
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 2020874.1251812982,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.165448111683304,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -29.04727133907573
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "160414",
      "hs_description": "Fish preparations: tunas, skipjack and Atlantic bonito (sarda spp.), prepared or preserved, whole or in pieces (but not minced)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 361440482.18697804,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 40.71490796366864,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6109180965695301,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "030343",
      "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, skipjack tuna (stripe-bellied bonito) (Katsuwonus pelamis), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 42569773.31087354,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 96.90463234545854,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0458753033476276,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "030399",
      "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, fish fins (other than shark fins), heads, tails, maws and other edible fish offal",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19161397.642480537,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "MDV",
    "importer_iso3": "JPN",
    "distance_km": 7598,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4937421.880461999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 39285.162481125415,
    "importer_population": 125681.595,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 11.1,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 7.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4889.666932,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 8994.64135241529,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.6120449450583636,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.060224438230304,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.0153403196466664,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.0448841185836373
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDV-JPN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDV-JPN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDV-JPN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDV-JPN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDV-JPN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}