{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.255Z", "seo": { "title": "Madagascar exports to United Rep. of Tanzania: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Madagascar to United Rep. of Tanzania, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MDG", "country_name": "Madagascar" }, "importer": { "iso3": "TZA", "country_name": "United Rep. of Tanzania" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "all_history_lane_count": 28, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 3864626.8234366314, "attention_trade_usd": 3814857.666722294, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 49769.15671433739, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 3814857.666722294, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 3864626.8234366314, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6891475732275009, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 63.31759102521758, "product_concentration_hhi": 9745.754374657912, "top1_product_share_pct": 98.71218725667075, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "310221", "top_product_trade_usd": 3814857.666722294, "top_product_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, ammonium sulphate", "top_attention_product_hs6": "310221", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 1605.3092041015625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.25741522830303, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.963238129898993, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.019981435616161617, "tariff_advantage_pp": 17.94325669428283, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 29.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 67775.101794, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1102, "buyer_population_latest": 61498.44, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.256797873241803, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.220129140572591, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.9880576289668337, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 31.53, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 27.898000000000003, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 98.71218725667075, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 67775.101794, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1102, "buyer_population_2024": 61498.44 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 11672.762080082808, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 12311.57240745356, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.472657825012561, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 59002.06278081046, "yoy_growth_pct": 379.24067558657237, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 231374.13658346696, "yoy_growth_pct": 292.1458431767201, "cagr_3y_pct": 170.63277611633745 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 28825.39734677581, "yoy_growth_pct": -87.54165103653355, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.78650074721807 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 111874.40468196217, "yoy_growth_pct": 288.1105378569069, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.771650027221703 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 959721.362876418, "yoy_growth_pct": 757.8560624342314, "cagr_3y_pct": 60.67320260898206 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 695.0491367242892, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.92757802799751, "cagr_3y_pct": -71.11005365755062 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 19988.40536835797, "yoy_growth_pct": 2775.826227561654, "cagr_3y_pct": -43.67742910274986 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 179664.3302658699, "yoy_growth_pct": 798.842738852405, "cagr_3y_pct": -42.79435321282619 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 51486.15840444671, "yoy_growth_pct": -71.34313843585049, "cagr_3y_pct": 319.97650339677284 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 106561.05452995907, "yoy_growth_pct": 106.97029615780326, "cagr_3y_pct": 74.69217568479003 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 30252.41377932956, "yoy_growth_pct": -71.61025300211884, "cagr_3y_pct": -44.7796201579944 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 961775.9839352034, "yoy_growth_pct": 3079.171060367924, "cagr_3y_pct": 165.33496269306966 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 291916.5835240071, "yoy_growth_pct": -69.64817292176491, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.92224114311102 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 3142015.682429216, "yoy_growth_pct": 976.3402491557379, "cagr_3y_pct": 370.05582493757873 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 1205554.0626435867, "yoy_growth_pct": -61.63118887708653, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.821223136746269 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 1364011.4115506657, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.143943836048933, "cagr_3y_pct": 67.18080498289522 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 1200182.4901241094, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.010817507773542, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.442945154673893 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 2846943.279327073, "yoy_growth_pct": 137.209199663684, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.167232590499964 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 1816688.0120740281, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.18812059706945, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.024004789888519 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 4108180.394027025, "yoy_growth_pct": 126.13571327180755, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.70722496695741 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 8921764.142505785, "yoy_growth_pct": 117.17070057287012, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.33806487712171 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 11815592.503663125, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.43560707204005, "cagr_3y_pct": 86.66306160104035 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 7352544.022422356, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.772532184544396, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.41230641415486 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 1736433.0707509578, "yoy_growth_pct": -76.38323462660648, "cagr_3y_pct": -42.04790994550083 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 6063309.527340901, "yoy_growth_pct": 249.1818734319943, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.93954053180813 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 10716764.263222443, "yoy_growth_pct": 76.74776811076542, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.381452082120248 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 3270668.908770928, "yoy_growth_pct": -69.48081689176333, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.49788253498051 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 4045289.859764182, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.68386934293345, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.619746117477993 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "hs_code": "310221", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, ammonium sulphate", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15464859.208915975, "current_below_peak_pct": 63.73825429959075, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6831196801657766, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "hs_code": "600632", "hs_description": "Fabrics: knitted or crocheted fabrics, other than those of headings 60.01 to 60.04, of synthetic fibres, dyed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24278437.106158424, "current_below_peak_pct": 31.07331317735339, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.151191850824762, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "distance_km": 1610, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 67775.10179399999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1102.0621302589138, "importer_population": 61498.44, "importer_biz_entry_days": 29.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 40.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 14637.400396000001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 514.9058436503402, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.25741522830303, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.963238129898993, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.019981435616161617, "tariff_advantage_pp": 17.94325669428283 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDG-TZA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDG-TZA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDG-TZA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDG-TZA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDG-TZA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }