{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:06.142Z", "seo": { "title": "Madagascar exports to Sweden: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Madagascar to Sweden, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MDG", "country_name": "Madagascar" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SWE", "country_name": "Sweden" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "all_history_lane_count": 18, "current_lane_count": 12, "current_product_count": 12, "first_observed_last_year": 2002, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 13743054.994851604, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1799750.0726456856, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 6693189.983100341, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 4, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7009623961369037, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 50.45943443797841, "product_concentration_hhi": 2813.5533047112576, "top1_product_share_pct": 48.34191346342151, "top3_product_share_pct": 71.4394264776433, "top_product_hs6": "750210", "top_product_trade_usd": 6643655.75284159, "top_product_description": "Nickel: unwrought, not alloyed", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 9106.5869140625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.02199999988079071, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222223, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222223, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 627437.8988869999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 60239, "buyer_population_latest": 10415.811, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.6041298879049046, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.033187461230712, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.559565412862506, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.328000000000003, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 28.238, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 627437.8988869999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 60239, "buyer_population_2024": 10415.811 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 7585296.477000463, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 7162843.068446456, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.569372401394412, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 9100746.530898761, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.054947929671936, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 5370608.395188931, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.98716652579327, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.871422458318635 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 2517475.8338396885, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.12494137359038, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.428942607326547 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 8374666.303366117, "yoy_growth_pct": 232.66123911874703, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.7334532395479005 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 7741369.710671742, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.562051665746095, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.961757542530616 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 5441385.246182387, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.71030386675304, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.294898079124266 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 2613741.508739455, "yoy_growth_pct": -51.96551263167359, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.16845518550224 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 7245523.800860327, "yoy_growth_pct": 177.2088891205875, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.182327211292434 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 7005637.989476453, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.3108139311527784, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.787602487435976 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 5976673.6582498215, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.687660606675568, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.744442085151015 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 14264691.594646886, "yoy_growth_pct": 138.67275361365614, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.332643462660755 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 3168850.4631200675, "yoy_growth_pct": -77.78535594622149, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.237103923690693 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 179728.02476884442, "yoy_growth_pct": -94.32828948981444, "cagr_3y_pct": -68.90298144126929 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 51390.55542425216, "yoy_growth_pct": -71.40648739096329, "cagr_3y_pct": -84.67006518000503 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 1072199.9086415288, "yoy_growth_pct": 1986.3754045661426, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.317347572332675 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 564812.4031519635, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.322099302584576, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.47476432935422 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 3257002.858412566, "yoy_growth_pct": 476.65214861371686, "cagr_3y_pct": 298.69881303621366 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 41912337.67628253, "yoy_growth_pct": 1186.8376080182572, "cagr_3y_pct": 239.38192304467583 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 40611317.07650426, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.1041470648259684, "cagr_3y_pct": 315.82853012193397 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 34653120.87515425, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.671270547876746, "cagr_3y_pct": 119.9419500353871 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 36852649.35935518, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.347273863515013, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.1977717939739145 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 32010664.656154636, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.138769633590508, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.626115746256168 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 40578546.60730939, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.765710875382975, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.402613171700654 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 19956596.23012598, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.81983486680321, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.490933648050312 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 10125720.503536036, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.26128490663903, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.863929866000383 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 17962015.99706146, "yoy_growth_pct": 77.39000390924168, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.788671838125776 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 41111921.6170903, "yoy_growth_pct": 128.88255763615902, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.24100832376979 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 14208820.363121236, "yoy_growth_pct": -65.43868589880117, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.955137937412875 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "hs_code": "750210", "hs_description": "Nickel: unwrought, not alloyed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 357353224.8740717, "current_below_peak_pct": 83.45320698137866, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6772062249417587, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "hs_code": "620113", "hs_description": "Coats: men's or boys', overcoats, raincoats, car-coats, capes, cloaks and similar articles, of man-made fibres, other than those of heading no. 6203 (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24521147.722975995, "current_below_peak_pct": 37.023528510817115, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.2821205216077279, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "hs_code": "620199", "hs_description": "Anoraks (including ski-jackets), wind-cheaters, wind-jackets and similar articles: men's or boys', of textile materials (other than wool or fine animal hair, cotton or man-made fibres), other than those of heading no. 6203 (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11600848.703083023, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3221159329751933, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "hs_code": "621020", "hs_description": "Garments: overcoats, raincoats, car-coats, capes, cloaks and similar articles, men's or boys', of the fabrics of heading no. 5602, 5603, 5903, 5906 or 5907 (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36377127.78338587, "current_below_peak_pct": 35.341322158062425, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6637869523859308, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "hs_code": "750220", "hs_description": "Nickel: unwrought, alloys", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53371225.502422094, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5653592564660955, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "hs_code": "620343", "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: men's or boys', of synthetic fibres (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 139619560.14669538, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.98407005036654, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7346499204560479, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "hs_code": "620193", "hs_description": "Anoraks (including ski-jackets), wind-cheaters, wind-jackets and similar articles: men's or boys', of man-made fibres, other than those of heading no. 6203 (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 101551636.13811621, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.737950578320834, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.26907778330455434, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "hs_code": "621133", "hs_description": "Track suits and other garments n.e.s.: men's or boys', of man-made fibres (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27980303.098135546, "current_below_peak_pct": 49.33361879686306, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.294362887274942, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "hs_code": "620293", "hs_description": "Anoraks (including ski-jackets), wind-cheaters, wind-jackets and similar articles: women's or girls', of man-made fibres, other than those of heading no. 6204 (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 92777248.83716135, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8868190732662162, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "hs_code": "620333", "hs_description": "Jackets and blazers: men's or boys', of synthetic fibres (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34263190.23993366, "current_below_peak_pct": 96.13685900495122, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5897803654081604, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "distance_km": 9078, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 627437.8988869999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 60238.98656446434, "importer_population": 10415.811, "importer_biz_entry_days": 7.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 14637.400396000001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 514.9058436503402, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222223, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222223, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDG-SWE/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDG-SWE/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDG-SWE/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDG-SWE/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDG-SWE/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }