{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.098Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Madagascar exports to Iran: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Madagascar to Iran, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "MDG",
    "country_name": "Madagascar"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "IRN",
    "country_name": "Iran"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "MDG",
    "importer_iso3": "IRN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 7,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1998,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 63548.21031886597,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 63548.21031886597,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.16172993845743433,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "090411",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 63548.21031886597,
    "top_product_description": "Spices: pepper (of the genus piper), neither crushed nor ground",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 6083.6826171875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121213,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121213,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 72.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 231547.57124000002,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2757,
    "buyer_population_latest": 85028.763,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.431909337919595,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.360726244823533,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.0166815769729887,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 39.459999999999994,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 40.714000000000006,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 231547.57124000002,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2757,
    "buyer_population_2024": 85028.763
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 24289.857257348507,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 308.1911220103364,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -98.7311941822256,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 3854.1179630555635,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1150.5609953703663,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 98306.85779187392,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2450.696650549216,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 59.36255502262928
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 11659.727869300366,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -88.13945625849902,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 235.703675966337
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 1021.6749835319673,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -91.23757436722,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -35.76142198493226
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 5341.132979386727,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 422.7820065557676,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -62.125242692843806
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 154269.55527365688,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2788.330170191161,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 136.51785828340542
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 59371.990968369864,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -61.5141232091772,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 287.33756474086744
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 40350.99184775527,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.03699052428263,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 96.21864598133536
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 49071.60701779725,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.61189792544618,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.737317435088197
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 31526.64585065227,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.75379375854104,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.02230973828648
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 55597.06602499341,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 76.3494482995981,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.275414250334869
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 5574.84155820386,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -89.97277742012912,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -51.567812746136724
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 3002.130611967702,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -46.14859309230398,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -54.33494992320571
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 111057.93500939562,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3599.303906588006,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.940643153088526
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 115313.06100074554,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.831447064984528,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 174.5039873698841
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 13849.235267506316,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -87.9898815040416,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 66.46850145107979
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 77929.95241773386,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 462.70220638518964,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.137552153279884
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 204229.74184918456,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 162.06835178653301,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.989262436811117
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 913610.9538360584,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 347.3447136366276,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 304.05935692852097
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 51042.93062579832,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -94.41305619076918,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.155217842497901
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 97226.33108178488,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 90.479523588805,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.917273486626254
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 65934.08683192573,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.18494815312606,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -58.36586309897175
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "090411",
      "hs_description": "Spices: pepper (of the genus piper), neither crushed nor ground",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23228438.934887115,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.16172993845743433,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "MDG",
    "importer_iso3": "IRN",
    "distance_km": 6058,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 231547.57124,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2723.167585538084,
    "importer_population": 85028.763,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 72.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 14637.400396000001,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 514.9058436503402,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121213,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121213,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDG-IRN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDG-IRN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDG-IRN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDG-IRN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDG-IRN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}