{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.707Z", "seo": { "title": "Madagascar exports to Indonesia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Madagascar to Indonesia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MDG", "country_name": "Madagascar" }, "importer": { "iso3": "IDN", "country_name": "Indonesia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "all_history_lane_count": 33, "current_lane_count": 14, "current_product_count": 14, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 63008539.62669405, "attention_trade_usd": 58877915.809495606, "critical_trade_usd": 28545490.556076273, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 56488752.866855316, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 29062888.329924732, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 60205718.87627398, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 2, "high_volatility_lane_count": 6, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 9, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.4659393440066664, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 35.77867751631505, "product_concentration_hhi": 3928.7096682540123, "top1_product_share_pct": 45.3041615076296, "top3_product_share_pct": 93.44434287531325, "top_product_hs6": "090710", "top_product_trade_usd": 28545490.556076273, "top_product_description": "Spices: cloves (whole fruit, cloves and stems), neither crushed nor ground", "top_attention_product_hs6": "090710", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 6562.44775390625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.94616542727273, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.94616542727273, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 12.6, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1186092.99132, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4292, "buyer_population_latest": 276361.786, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.5254352248609075, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.701487543021109, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7945379582891654, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 30.339999999999996, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 32.702, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 93.44434287531325, "critical_trade_share_pct": 45.3041615076296, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1186092.99132, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4292, "buyer_population_2024": 276361.786 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 109630.57750446953, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 916377.7520987053, "yoy_growth_pct": 735.8778845813756, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 898458.7424516792, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.955417359924727, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 1302646.8505303725, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.98683011039111, "cagr_3y_pct": 128.1909049393191 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 3413743.508720555, "yoy_growth_pct": 162.06208592379815, "cagr_3y_pct": 55.01918531499659 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 16495557.125982404, "yoy_growth_pct": 383.21020849527196, "cagr_3y_pct": 163.8090052950817 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 14682856.479974601, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.989023481677929, "cagr_3y_pct": 124.21325659005981 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 601241.0392968712, "yoy_growth_pct": -95.90514938209141, "cagr_3y_pct": -43.94609026430473 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 142767.53896716243, "yoy_growth_pct": -76.25452528421485, "cagr_3y_pct": -79.46849295891944 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 1023230.8848420725, "yoy_growth_pct": 616.7111601450405, "cagr_3y_pct": -58.84830808817855 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 732106.5658249388, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.451478872441026, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.7845843769748 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 2165099.811699727, "yoy_growth_pct": 195.73560909948804, "cagr_3y_pct": 147.523336044069 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 2402562.9852122227, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.967770272266275, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.91287347107665 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 3932817.1005972777, "yoy_growth_pct": 63.69257017625638, "cagr_3y_pct": 75.1364259048651 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 3550566.6089083087, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.719508482378103, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.92518893778965 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 6173976.274972097, "yoy_growth_pct": 73.88707085459825, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.97145152518555 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 125519790.87162212, "yoy_growth_pct": 1933.0462133528265, "cagr_3y_pct": 217.20217202707022 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 51143319.646875605, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.254776245458004, "cagr_3y_pct": 143.31212397192687 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 7382522.642653525, "yoy_growth_pct": -85.56503040157165, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.140210303422311 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 7463565.481396197, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.0977662062888527, "cagr_3y_pct": -60.96884705416803 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 5716760.736013794, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.40442714325367, "cagr_3y_pct": -51.828847832934066 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 38729228.98522027, "yoy_growth_pct": 577.4680763047911, "cagr_3y_pct": 73.75795149306524 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 71426592.3369869, "yoy_growth_pct": 84.42554682471086, "cagr_3y_pct": 112.31036381432169 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 64293717.65802192, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.986301243817508, "cagr_3y_pct": 124.04719319703901 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 29084515.09575479, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.763052821964294, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.104791098510557 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 23401504.644549757, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.53964311419629, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.061586650942864 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 42341190.57683272, "yoy_growth_pct": 80.93362465346449, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.997544712738417 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 162323090.17995724, "yoy_growth_pct": 283.36921557603404, "cagr_3y_pct": 77.38061573326824 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 132110822.0328669, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.61242791373423, "cagr_3y_pct": 78.05938577652934 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 69290313.40031704, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.55137214793894, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.842827227967682 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "090710", "hs_description": "Spices: cloves (whole fruit, cloves and stems), neither crushed nor ground", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40806895.970440455, "current_below_peak_pct": 77.1677909798869, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2547533616520052, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "330190", "hs_description": "Oils, essential: concentrates in fats, fixed oils, waxes and the like, terpenic by-products, aqueous distillates and solutions, extracted oleoresins, n.e.c. in heading no. 3301", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 65260473.26433156, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9095762495048125, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "670300", "hs_description": "Human hair, dressed, thinned, bleached or otherwise worked: wool or other animal hair or other textile materials, prepared for use in making wigs or the like", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16432784.365159716, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.46243482711353795, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "180100", "hs_description": "Cocoa beans: whole or broken, raw or roasted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1122501644.4199595, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6886748002117234, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "071331", "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: beans of the species vigna mungo (l.) hepper or vigna radiata (l.) wilczek, shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 71658895.16319782, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1780713336405433, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "330129", "hs_description": "Oils, essential: n.e.s. in heading no. 3301 (terpeneless or not), including concretes and absolutes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 55673544.13363153, "current_below_peak_pct": 98.75719560757602, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4649764969068444, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "291539", "hs_description": "Acids: saturated acyclic monocarboxylic acids: esters of acetic acid n.e.s. in item no. 2915.3", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 111078514.30079968, "current_below_peak_pct": 10.379999298845304, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6228971186833367, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "330119", "hs_description": "Oils, essential: of citrus fruits n.e.s. in heading no. 3301 (terpeneless or not), including concretes and absolutes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19183051.423722856, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.101435132506905, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "620520", "hs_description": "Shirts: men's or boys', of cotton (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12991163.38655678, "current_below_peak_pct": 61.07062771941658, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8508710668496289, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "290219", "hs_description": "Cyclic hydrocarbons: cyclanes, cyclenes and cycloterpenes, excluding cyclohexane", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12627443.63113516, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5971805433909909, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MDG", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "distance_km": 6566, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1186092.99132, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4291.8125855504495, "importer_population": 276361.786, "importer_biz_entry_days": 12.6, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 5.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 14637.400396000001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 514.9058436503402, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.94616542727273, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.94616542727273, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDG-IDN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDG-IDN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDG-IDN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDG-IDN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDG-IDN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }