{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.187Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Republic of Moldova exports to Russia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Republic of Moldova to Russia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "MDA",
    "country_name": "Republic of Moldova"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "RUS",
    "country_name": "Russia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
    "importer_iso3": "RUS",
    "all_history_lane_count": 243,
    "current_lane_count": 51,
    "current_product_count": 51,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 99343343,
    "attention_trade_usd": 27283360,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 36380383,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 75283809,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 22260166,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 11,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 32,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 31,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 32,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1441700833059412,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 49.420700506503074,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2362.8058367744325,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 46.349850538047626,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 60.49613812573229,
    "top_product_hs6": "080810",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 46045491,
    "top_product_description": "Fruit, edible: apples, fresh",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "481940",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 1150.3135986328125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.23000000417232513,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.0362342706513425,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.425769714942529,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 11.425769714942529,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10.1,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1775799.919353,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 12380,
    "buyer_population_latest": 143446.06,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.12549554382431,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.397317436553406,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.26532954061908587,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.657999999999998,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 28.309999999999995,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 27.463702323768185,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1775799.919353,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 12380,
    "buyer_population_2024": 143446.06
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 177631639.39774302,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 666735397.4606048,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 275.3472071310942,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 579605790.2741375,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.06809380727615,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 435602964.18258715,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.844959886173847,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.85182680807346
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 229250130.7160481,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -47.371769807343256,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -29.94292087521806
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 267912566.2092885,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.864738690652324,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.68090009699082
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 298167684.824966,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.29290762421451,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.870105762673866
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 256355530.41227388,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.023033528008643,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.795302675944523
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 354560699.65811026,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.3081921766625,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.790771565165501
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 438467896.5518721,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.665114880095395,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.717091298548723
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 492582848.93503964,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.341827716174802,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.321296833605754
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 291481540.04531485,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.82588529513447,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.321451435754987
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 427247803.5834473,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 46.57799719221523,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8603580869889438
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 579249585.0102414,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.57696029140758,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.550950457931325
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 326918315.47594535,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.56175231956959,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.8985290374392134
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 393539515.92437947,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.378546350773696,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.70224132161323
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 498610712.5224325,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.699020643772652,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.874133768952804
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 475664173.96792954,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.602094976744131,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.314911348060354
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 407635428.96358955,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.301843343982146,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.179965105628078
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 317210740.255873,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.1827354255298,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.993998082774173
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 184244066.08021575,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.91745653643436,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.105008609496306
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 224602348.27925748,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.9047934935775,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.018827899332823
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 301657470.15544903,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.307353625878264,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.661842476090547
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 289128442.87727654,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.153395330046383,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.207039158598047
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 317329672.16335934,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.753875822605629,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.210146698085378
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 287302013.3776157,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.462606689451214,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.61213686574877
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 346654544.8018368,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.65858527284703,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.235262096206773
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 192962781.12102354,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.33571288346164,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.27967321444762
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 146449353.05296633,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.10487027489754,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.11787744920266
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 117611536.5,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.691323964085083,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.25426182579186
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "hs_code": "080810",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: apples, fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 250622785.01444378,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 58.961288917998736,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8078438957854903,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "hs_code": "843880",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: used in the industrial preparation or manufacture of food or drink, n.e.c. in heading no. 8438",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 149285982.04727662,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.780130188724797,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "hs_code": "080610",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: grapes, fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 395286748.63524485,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 84.49209630969636,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.925412217486548,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "hs_code": "481940",
      "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: sacks and bags, including cones, of paper, paperboard, cellulose wadding or fibres, having a base width less than 40cm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 74679412.19419305,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5887627540940816,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "hs_code": "080929",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: cherries, other than sour cherries (Prunus cerasus), fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 144680310.4851296,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 59.848519979080585,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1100026823934444,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "hs_code": "080940",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: plums and sloes, fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 50978143.70865732,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 71.38407954508071,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0063133545296123,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "hs_code": "610910",
      "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of cotton, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 598439019.8894085,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 51.73939517303106,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.105165642440877,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "hs_code": "300420",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: containing antibiotics (other than penicillins, streptomycins or their derivatives), for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 445517151.785307,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9046620098328421,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "hs_code": "220421",
      "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 546315978.9958584,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 98.77690718635853,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.082160139616573,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "hs_code": "200979",
      "hs_description": "Juice: apple, of a Brix value exceeding 20, unfermented, not containing added spirit, whether or not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 107002433.22683313,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 83.46912457425283,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.981805250909273,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
    "importer_iso3": "RUS",
    "distance_km": 1147,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 1,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1775799.919353,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12379.565666376617,
    "importer_population": 143446.06,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 10.1,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 13679.221333000001,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5314.531460475973,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.0362342706513425,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.425769714942529,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 11.425769714942529
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-RUS/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-RUS/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-RUS/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-RUS/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-RUS/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}