{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.143Z", "seo": { "title": "Republic of Moldova exports to Poland: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Republic of Moldova to Poland, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MDA", "country_name": "Republic of Moldova" }, "importer": { "iso3": "POL", "country_name": "Poland" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "all_history_lane_count": 124, "current_lane_count": 58, "current_product_count": 58, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 160229919.92854217, "attention_trade_usd": 65280068.41638503, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 109853234.15917817, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 30526318.098039635, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 70674477.12216234, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 5, "high_volatility_lane_count": 32, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 19, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 14, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0919301166620858, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 23.776432235616028, "product_concentration_hhi": 1299.4448357256183, "top1_product_share_pct": 31.078593953381922, "top3_product_share_pct": 47.73069837804807, "top_product_hs6": "200979", "top_product_trade_usd": 49797206.2064206, "top_product_description": "Juice: apple, of a Brix value exceeding 20, unfermented, not containing added spirit, whether or not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter", "top_attention_product_hs6": "200979", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 811.761962890625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.05979999899864197, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.940361988505746, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.940361988505746, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 37, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 674048.2663969999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 17841, "buyer_population_latest": 37781.025, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.774876361756622, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.599090635201723, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.7520265621440814, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.94, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.524, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 40.74149724689248, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 674048.2663969999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 17841, "buyer_population_2024": 37781.025 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 2664728.8706269218, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 1533573.3735126795, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.44917783504628, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 1340752.2960791776, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.573319331427967, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 2257937.119570277, "yoy_growth_pct": 68.4082232171643, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.372012173299801 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 6242871.447299485, "yoy_growth_pct": 176.4856201348781, "cagr_3y_pct": 59.671207948826876 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 3464831.1354311835, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.49939960032358, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.22856059283044 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 3069019.0476010577, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.423705004915597, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.771808665532735 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 2769860.1131346337, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.747705368601922, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.729285516748668 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 3562650.072107408, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.62202156756497, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.9323452815510613 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 19639950.5980822, "yoy_growth_pct": 451.27363621385956, "cagr_3y_pct": 85.65797207964434 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 30126664.894442063, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.39480995122192, "cagr_3y_pct": 121.56325671282318 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 39382594.458113045, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.723379425176823, "cagr_3y_pct": 122.76333884568267 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 102723381.5882695, "yoy_growth_pct": 160.83447015540108, "cagr_3y_pct": 73.58397882389684 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 112318837.61483428, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.34106323039947, "cagr_3y_pct": 55.060262385298955 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 39849665.57897889, "yoy_growth_pct": -64.5209419673376, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.39377524981754064 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 53497434.35752256, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.24813879929525, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.544720305685324 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 87719964.24477829, "yoy_growth_pct": 63.97041334458595, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.909404379765106 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 79180121.53084064, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.735346779334797, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.717912458329707 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 98832462.01239033, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.819790752525073, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.703105153511018 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 128360385.25445835, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.876745596367105, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.530056844027127 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 63813891.543074265, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.28536926204199, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.9392913576651 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 63931278.92604358, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.18395271018705195, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.515570266145838 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 116262597.74488127, "yoy_growth_pct": 81.85557945645847, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.245834792776281 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 164449492.84404823, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.446601085677614, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.10052027276929 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 138406723.35432133, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.836333113185052, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.364346294447664 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 133127180.09094505, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.8145135838962396, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.618599860466421 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 229573367.24297962, "yoy_growth_pct": 72.44665370824195, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.762555079954806 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 173968280.46383917, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.221052923917007, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.920585918125567 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 164090850.70185974, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.677718797727927, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.21919557787305 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 170983996.04441413, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.200810290805723, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.354833126335027 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "200979", "hs_description": "Juice: apple, of a Brix value exceeding 20, unfermented, not containing added spirit, whether or not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 133692300.5989255, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0373486862963124, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "721391", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, in irregularly wound coils, n.e.s. in heading no. 7213, of circular cross-section measuring less than 14mm in diameter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 213433205.7620362, "current_below_peak_pct": 75.29377378409586, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8176857630264658, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "854430", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: ignition wiring sets and other wiring sets of a kind used in vehicles, aircraft or ships", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 810886109.8037112, "current_below_peak_pct": 49.489016927686095, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3731246047062102, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "080610", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: grapes, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 244580264.92179117, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8933217900484465, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "854442", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts, fitted with connectors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 750528278.5862161, "current_below_peak_pct": 49.951496518690384, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1782131954405628, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "080940", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: plums and sloes, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31430226.840775203, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3021371091558716, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "220421", "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 314388056.6153766, "current_below_peak_pct": 18.884126836366054, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6584273830109414, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "120600", "hs_description": "Oil seeds: sunflower seeds, whether or not broken", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 60641018.57618348, "current_below_peak_pct": 8.524823086324862, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9833485626607497, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "721420", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, containing indentations, ribs, grooves or other deformations produced during the rolling process or twisted after rolling", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 355127571.7744826, "current_below_peak_pct": 84.66900518985169, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.016510915764012, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "730661", "hs_description": "Iron or steel (excluding cast iron): tubes, pipes and hollow profiles (not seamless), welded, of square or rectangular cross-section, n.e.c. in chapter 73", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 260610713.68141046, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7057212861274313, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "POL", "distance_km": 811, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 674048.2663969999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17840.920578438512, "importer_population": 37781.025, "importer_biz_entry_days": 37, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 11.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 13679.221333000001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5314.531460475973, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.940361988505746, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.940361988505746, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-POL/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-POL/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-POL/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-POL/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-POL/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }