{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.085Z", "seo": { "title": "Republic of Moldova exports to Norway: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Republic of Moldova to Norway, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MDA", "country_name": "Republic of Moldova" }, "importer": { "iso3": "NOR", "country_name": "Norway" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "all_history_lane_count": 23, "current_lane_count": 13, "current_product_count": 13, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1852374.85268913, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1726993.8004739156, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 292075.2076850464, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 861524.2558043045, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 12, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 6, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.4975324559450898, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 15.80677477547121, "product_concentration_hhi": 1319.6229705107462, "top1_product_share_pct": 26.064114239880258, "top3_product_share_pct": 49.75630791900967, "top_product_hs6": "620342", "top_product_trade_usd": 482805.0977557085, "top_product_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: men's or boys', of cotton (not knitted or crocheted)", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 1858.9625244140625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.4526856935846744, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.007764633160153, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 33.98853006206896, "tariff_advantage_pp": -31.980765428908807, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 482437.01979000005, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 89203, "buyer_population_latest": 5408.32, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.4203268959053013, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.573677479094294, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.8254061252542577, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.656, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 34.356, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 482437.01979000005, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 89203, "buyer_population_2024": 5408.32 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 243482.43083476764, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 151172.82536080692, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.912224367680956, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 96311.59064044131, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.290407743208675, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 300331.57103138126, "yoy_growth_pct": 211.83325810971687, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.245180949377028 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 120746.7631165888, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.79551443695137, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.217246726999427 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 236838.76062679355, "yoy_growth_pct": 96.14501831250783, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.976472723419704 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 194189.43127417573, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.00774891734208, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.528126738091284 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 374173.4389901357, "yoy_growth_pct": 92.68475968799808, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.79159458509581 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 316342.79485406337, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.455571697486759, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.12900678623183 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 564526.9909849482, "yoy_growth_pct": 78.4541959444274, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.72050500946296 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 855796.4385064272, "yoy_growth_pct": 51.59530937808516, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.75461605378571 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 645635.2809193087, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.557376980196466, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.84590044717958 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 1074086.214057173, "yoy_growth_pct": 66.361140073975, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.913362975743514 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 1300031.5492599003, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.03605206413164, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.954984101525227 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 786459.6694951339, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.504570489626936, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.797987101976299 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 1288966.866046513, "yoy_growth_pct": 63.89484623845523, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.267599515840261 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 1067624.5948041272, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.17206834969166, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.354216833029969 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 1409084.6977552793, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.98316192910471, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.456346776286228 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 1018621.1823598215, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.71043614464621, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.546437622868474 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 1720828.5544472474, "yoy_growth_pct": 68.93704786902572, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.24824332557453 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 2544631.27795887, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.872446176152565, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.776247565328255 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 3015498.794713227, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.504351527583786, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.58712020902189 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 3029545.1543148984, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.46580551205317455, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.747998866810047 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 4508654.120831649, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.82280643383368, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.006124791983225 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 4369912.200024264, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.077235846643145, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.16301695486468 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 6066960.337683378, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.83483374447869, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.046630915518175 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 6391740.168202636, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.353254553222819, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.33732135512513 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 6035144.794598437, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.579002966643964, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.362334782145588 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 6492822.420526431, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.583540105576647, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.287082075624536 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 4733933.843130016, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.089737920998104, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.523798855991938 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "620342", "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: men's or boys', of cotton (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 117020919.96518658, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6642261320013017, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "120600", "hs_description": "Oil seeds: sunflower seeds, whether or not broken", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14580692.343337344, "current_below_peak_pct": 0.037441070325215806, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9909245542666336, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "611011", "hs_description": "Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: knitted or crocheted, of wool or fine animal hair", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 78099230.93008643, "current_below_peak_pct": 33.66837450659167, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.706777973800826, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "621030", "hs_description": "Garments: overcoats, raincoats, car-coats, capes, cloaks and similar articles, women's or girls', of the fabrics of heading no. 5602, 5603, 5903, 5906 or 5907 (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26461887.380861793, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6453167135863294, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "620193", "hs_description": "Anoraks (including ski-jackets), wind-cheaters, wind-jackets and similar articles: men's or boys', of man-made fibres, other than those of heading no. 6203 (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 50844275.97859771, "current_below_peak_pct": 67.64780673721131, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2286617479810533, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "392350", "hs_description": "Plastics: stoppers, lids, caps and other closures, for the conveyance or packing of goods", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 55288958.35429178, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1066821346263067, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "621020", "hs_description": "Garments: overcoats, raincoats, car-coats, capes, cloaks and similar articles, men's or boys', of the fabrics of heading no. 5602, 5603, 5903, 5906 or 5907 (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22255070.718246184, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9273824575956147, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "620293", "hs_description": "Anoraks (including ski-jackets), wind-cheaters, wind-jackets and similar articles: women's or girls', of man-made fibres, other than those of heading no. 6204 (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 59445248.51835655, "current_below_peak_pct": 17.86413378563596, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0047626959706442, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "620213", "hs_description": "Coats: women's or girls', overcoats, raincoats, car-coats, capes, cloaks and similar articles, of man-made fibres, other than those of heading no. 6204 (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25089163.517850902, "current_below_peak_pct": 62.26007646970114, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1948264561364301, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "650500", "hs_description": "Hats and other headgear: knitted or crocheted, or made up from lace, felt or other textile fabric, in the piece (but not in strips), whether or not lined or trimmed: hair-nets of any material, whether or not lined or trimmed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39808145.401833236, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.16157857799515, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.194139721382846, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "distance_km": 1861, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 482437.01979000005, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 89202.75053805989, "importer_population": 5408.32, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.8, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 13679.221333000001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5314.531460475973, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.4526856935846744, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.007764633160153, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 33.98853006206896, "tariff_advantage_pp": -31.980765428908807 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-NOR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-NOR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-NOR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-NOR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-NOR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }