{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.089Z", "seo": { "title": "Republic of Moldova exports to Nigeria: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Republic of Moldova to Nigeria, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MDA", "country_name": "Republic of Moldova" }, "importer": { "iso3": "NGA", "country_name": "Nigeria" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "all_history_lane_count": 7, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 2016, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1732702.2657502335, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 57375.078495260976, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 244912.2515254692, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 1732702.2657502335, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6172308634789355, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 5.030052389118406, "product_concentration_hhi": 7500.960480771017, "top1_product_share_pct": 85.86530090214742, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "220421", "top_product_trade_usd": 1487790.0142247642, "top_product_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 5121.166015625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 20.61558500268199, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 20.61558500268199, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7.2, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 440776.971536, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2085, "buyer_population_latest": 211400.711, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -17.702539793973116, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -19.412873862302447, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.1223415578896843, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.304000000000002, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 20.386000000000003, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 440776.971536, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2085, "buyer_population_2024": 211400.711 }, "history": [ { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 14855.264407785431, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 3094.431983135183, "yoy_growth_pct": -79.16945873064746, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 26304.948016023067, "yoy_growth_pct": 750.073556613505, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 11745.868931714456, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.34730224686351, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.529844475004277 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 1.3858470636172284, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.98820140875337, "cagr_3y_pct": -92.34911886203665 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 186738.03106984333, "yoy_growth_pct": 13474549.257648567, "cagr_3y_pct": 92.19043769068071 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 267426.1137618686, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.20923929086866, "cagr_3y_pct": 183.42591298033656 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 1423171.1658076847, "yoy_growth_pct": 432.1735958347571, "cagr_3y_pct": 9988.980362742872 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 903954.2786483138, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.48309491042158, "cagr_3y_pct": 69.1626824052495 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 1610569.4633407963, "yoy_growth_pct": 78.16935008583474, "cagr_3y_pct": 81.93875384953589 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 1686214.556409472, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.696791711905757, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.816136145823925 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 839056.575610846, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.24022462494424, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.452773282752141 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 735064.1902060747, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.393965845397648, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.00746807217785 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 786221.1298688084, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.9595200452346795, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.456757165801033 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 1324761.901297707, "yoy_growth_pct": 68.49736683097814, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.44357437795665 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 1786117.5587492618, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.82555295405319, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.439923907816336 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 1823367.8498616673, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.0855453175484318, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.36602504318971 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 2089581.146107335, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.600087210370894, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.405581251767497 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 1829051.085601199, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.468051838593375, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.794909335661198 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 1374703.2795902241, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.840629635100274, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.98529650214005 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 1839979.2888635541, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.84555897851796, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.15166689166373 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "hs_code": "220421", "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22638659.381322455, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6043618479215954, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "hs_code": "220820", "hs_description": "Spirits obtained by distilling grape wine or grape marc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22726344.530355163, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.793277757832573, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6472904382396062, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "hs_code": "220410", "hs_description": "Wine: sparkling", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20903076.88992712, "current_below_peak_pct": 64.32841054597624, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8526833547051288, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "distance_km": 5110, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 440776.971536, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2085.030695738767, "importer_population": 211400.711, "importer_biz_entry_days": 7.2, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 26.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 13679.221333000001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5314.531460475973, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 20.61558500268199, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 20.61558500268199, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-NGA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-NGA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-NGA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-NGA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-NGA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }