{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:12.433Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Republic of Moldova exports to China, Macao SAR: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Republic of Moldova to China, Macao SAR, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "MDA",
    "country_name": "Republic of Moldova"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "MAC",
    "country_name": "China, Macao SAR"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
    "importer_iso3": "MAC",
    "all_history_lane_count": 5,
    "current_lane_count": 4,
    "current_product_count": 4,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2005,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 365427.9148987662,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 365427.9148987662,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 91553.69409507107,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 365427.9148987662,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 365427.9148987662,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 4,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 4,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.7073122694257712,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 35.941384874636434,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 4475.482430047923,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 63.37693208091449,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 89.83448661366182,
    "top_product_hs6": "620433",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 231597.00143009308,
    "top_product_description": "Jackets and blazers: women's or girls', of synthetic fibres (not knitted or crocheted)",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 7837.38623046875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 29905.190182,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 45422,
    "buyer_population_latest": 658.391,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -2.10707901944438,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -2.538342143523442,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.44249516534402566,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.368000000000002,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 55.720000000000006,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 29905.190182,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 45422,
    "buyer_population_2024": 658.391
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 103.87982434733782,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 500.0609305804206,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 381.38407407042934,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 1243.1013075184992,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 148.5899680416208,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 826.6995924224024,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.497005640459456,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 99.65131375478886
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 20537.462831366283,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2384.2715563929614,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 245.0176307856175
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 13557.87254978022,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.98467638819695,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 121.76602285557831
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 4280.881832752236,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -68.42512114615187,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 73.00626838064437
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 16852.316704619327,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 293.6646084385083,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.379503375286166
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 18840.715622282372,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.79896481009055,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.592570743376118
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 133391.97414420845,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 607.9984477152747,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 214.67735180641392
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 62211.690269587554,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -53.36174408639365,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.550635899128075
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 53157.94097965907,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.553131816054265,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.3048013072665
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 98551.33760431092,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 85.39344411782552,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.59808969851913
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 116063.05943205897,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.769136628118233,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.104521506877585
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 440075.35809902835,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 279.16918634790926,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 102.29553633445585
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 165681.0022444458,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -62.35167473131653,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.90589785837331
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 126147.62943533102,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.86113813506947,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.8162341892625564
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 166858.6821264897,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.27254675604427,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.621887591103246
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 61078.820283205016,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -63.39488032339647,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.296672692074797
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 76001.66453818284,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.43210950340047,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.540597748462003
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 241781.78328750824,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 218.12695781950714,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.15964832601615
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 493693.8437898551,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 104.18984303825422,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 100.6884400352397
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 914208.7241716875,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 85.17725826875575,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 129.12584825512533
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 654654.5535157138,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.3911281738359,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.37863453908535
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "hs_code": "620433",
      "hs_description": "Jackets and blazers: women's or girls', of synthetic fibres (not knitted or crocheted)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16449580.966811813,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 33.38113098810045,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7077660433118707,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "hs_code": "620213",
      "hs_description": "Coats: women's or girls', overcoats, raincoats, car-coats, capes, cloaks and similar articles, of man-made fibres, other than those of heading no. 6204 (not knitted or crocheted)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10373586.839493284,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 45.29855895991653,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7951726598362823,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "hs_code": "620293",
      "hs_description": "Anoraks (including ski-jackets), wind-cheaters, wind-jackets and similar articles: women's or girls', of man-made fibres, other than those of heading no. 6204 (not knitted or crocheted)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15426923.97335247,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 45.29855895991653,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6894138921607242,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "hs_code": "611011",
      "hs_description": "Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: knitted or crocheted, of wool or fine animal hair",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25632691.246785413,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 27.549589623895145,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5961735950693017,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
    "importer_iso3": "MAC",
    "distance_km": 7845,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 29905.190182,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 45421.62663523651,
    "importer_population": 658.391,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 13679.221333000001,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5314.531460475973,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-MAC/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-MAC/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-MAC/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-MAC/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-MAC/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}