{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.218Z", "seo": { "title": "Republic of Moldova exports to the United Kingdom: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Republic of Moldova to the United Kingdom, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MDA", "country_name": "Republic of Moldova" }, "importer": { "iso3": "GBR", "country_name": "United Kingdom" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "all_history_lane_count": 79, "current_lane_count": 49, "current_product_count": 49, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 50317994.65254329, "attention_trade_usd": 5413775.510161284, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 33086978.822475407, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 7883905.33825576, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 182100.415663586, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 7195211.478599672, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 20, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 15, "declining_demand_lane_count": 1, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 19, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.22477692779873, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 18.2560171129944, "product_concentration_hhi": 716.5499233584355, "top1_product_share_pct": 15.38223413541294, "top3_product_share_pct": 34.102289772929026, "top_product_hs6": "854430", "top_product_trade_usd": 7740031.749698772, "top_product_description": "Insulated electric conductors: ignition wiring sets and other wiring sets of a kind used in vehicles, aircraft or ships", "top_attention_product_hs6": "100590", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 2150.279052734375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.002300000051036477, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3186859.739185, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 47334, "buyer_population_latest": 67326.569, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.090346724339945, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.290378476461543, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7670585336488678, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.965999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.626, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 10.759124141461882, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 3186859.739185, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 47334, "buyer_population_2024": 67326.569 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 3090009.1694819224, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 2112751.142097936, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.626379527793947, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1758254.6448339724, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.778904538276706, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 2332899.771612849, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.6827020458768, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.943258650508056 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 5061226.94369851, "yoy_growth_pct": 116.95003811498653, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.804018108378564 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 6697728.898051254, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.33409551789166, "cagr_3y_pct": 56.17634823228068 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 6102998.143698782, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.879588341139232, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.78937146734221 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 5519460.089189313, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.561498148446256, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.931174576161366 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 7401610.370160397, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.100260724007335, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.3870677908709235 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 7554335.345804738, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.063401989654201, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.370343036036497 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 10969121.999375472, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.20300591986717, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.72599745491122 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 23491004.56648201, "yoy_growth_pct": 114.15574161559579, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.9575117229543 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 30644353.827307418, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.45144042512391, "cagr_3y_pct": 59.48434881020752 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 37269364.73509932, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.619026281729937, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.33497895629091 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 47727760.8753346, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.061643160732032, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.655238468930698 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 65509934.408123836, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.257506337321075, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.820673521342478 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 68685119.2430636, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.846875307733489, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.603693990106557 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 70395971.48277403, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.4908630261760933, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.830571299725559 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 81316815.05314858, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.513449619836406, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.470944389666845 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 86899225.07016182, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.865013113664853, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.156115862462588 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 97112302.3577734, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.752782926850735, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.320585352033286 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 84369991.99697924, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.121211269247802, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.2362110581015884 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 95363043.9983944, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.029575730917164, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1465565185803346 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 60179318.52476563, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.894507556010005, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.744120628310032 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 40048939.924256936, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.45065895391359, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.992862961300386 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 36854435.12694034, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.976502757272086, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.160008811846946 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 59560406.9336579, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.609876066502636, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.3439972047253548 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 83304991.3544035, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.86639051542043, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.65171861219131 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 69641553.75385037, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.401703401450362, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.630672308627233 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 62149248.96934831, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.758382575701543, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.4283614250645948 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "854430", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: ignition wiring sets and other wiring sets of a kind used in vehicles, aircraft or ships", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1264544519.8676167, "current_below_peak_pct": 1.9774569263995816, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.156169256153004, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "621030", "hs_description": "Garments: overcoats, raincoats, car-coats, capes, cloaks and similar articles, women's or girls', of the fabrics of heading no. 5602, 5603, 5903, 5906 or 5907 (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 72289972.0118324, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.148694181331102, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "220429", "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding more than 2 litres", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 620183602.582738, "current_below_peak_pct": 22.73063757602216, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8854509385828843, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "620293", "hs_description": "Anoraks (including ski-jackets), wind-cheaters, wind-jackets and similar articles: women's or girls', of man-made fibres, other than those of heading no. 6204 (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 291396293.99419403, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7340131470482538, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "854442", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts, fitted with connectors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 825981253.1108773, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.051039122910901, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "621020", "hs_description": "Garments: overcoats, raincoats, car-coats, capes, cloaks and similar articles, men's or boys', of the fabrics of heading no. 5602, 5603, 5903, 5906 or 5907 (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 90165867.87376861, "current_below_peak_pct": 15.731250803067997, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8658582923136303, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "620193", "hs_description": "Anoraks (including ski-jackets), wind-cheaters, wind-jackets and similar articles: men's or boys', of man-made fibres, other than those of heading no. 6203 (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 374321815.14018357, "current_below_peak_pct": 34.7429218809725, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4501527685786706, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "100590", "hs_description": "Cereals: maize (corn), other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 569031217.3726126, "current_below_peak_pct": 58.90940776651266, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.13025124398789, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "611020", "hs_description": "Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1088120883.5512846, "current_below_peak_pct": 18.326657285838362, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9493673532603222, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "080232", "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: walnuts, fresh or dried, shelled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 69526197.73685585, "current_below_peak_pct": 71.13142443992724, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.973372328590541, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "distance_km": 2153, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 3186859.739185, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 47334.35531498716, "importer_population": 67326.569, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 13679.221333000001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5314.531460475973, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-GBR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-GBR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-GBR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-GBR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-GBR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }