{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:06.131Z", "seo": { "title": "Republic of Moldova exports to Ethiopia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Republic of Moldova to Ethiopia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MDA", "country_name": "Republic of Moldova" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ETH", "country_name": "Ethiopia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "all_history_lane_count": 4, "current_lane_count": 1, "current_product_count": 1, "first_observed_last_year": 2020, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1015056.9584966032, "attention_trade_usd": 1015056.9584966032, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1015056.9584966032, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.46060566135416287, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 47.56756387835562, "product_concentration_hhi": 10000, "top1_product_share_pct": 100, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "100119", "top_product_trade_usd": 1015056.9584966032, "top_product_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, durum wheat, other than seed", "top_attention_product_hs6": "100119", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 4328.80224609375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 22.449483704980846, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 22.449483704980846, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 32, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 111271.11233, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 944, "buyer_population_latest": 117876.228, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 10.27232952973971, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 7.4007157215487895, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.6737380555600376, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 100, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 111271.11233, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 944, "buyer_population_2024": 117876.228 }, "history": [ { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 225187.82010304104, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 870725.8857097029, "yoy_growth_pct": 286.66651034291186, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 390552.81175145775, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.14629596280698, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 4415119.313234569, "yoy_growth_pct": 1030.4794589583669, "cagr_3y_pct": 169.6492287841044 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 394929.77042812936, "yoy_growth_pct": -91.05506006951374, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.16729223584352 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 1204426.8673417112, "yoy_growth_pct": 204.97241725687957, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.55715395386319 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 133.7186443713657, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.98889773650878, "cagr_3y_pct": -96.88290642300967 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 57.41892383900883, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.05989683866073, "cagr_3y_pct": -94.74170365085952 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 2101.4970583472214, "yoy_growth_pct": 3559.9380793680466, "cagr_3y_pct": -87.96121152431472 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 1685282.1239726592, "yoy_growth_pct": 80094.36036223122, "cagr_3y_pct": 2227.1634268762955 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 841356.4924945262, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.076222815962424, "cagr_3y_pct": 2347.043373762052 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 5054200.962292253, "yoy_growth_pct": 500.7205040169266, "cagr_3y_pct": 1239.8039069707418 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 2143774.462012733, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.58430505619512, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.351640948682594 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 1961000.9643404544, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.52578015602804, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.58648350301687 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 71427.80552163559, "yoy_growth_pct": -96.35758437550493, "cagr_3y_pct": -75.82285952824299 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 1050037.5073734913, "yoy_growth_pct": 1370.0682734197028, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.172956204369655 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "hs_code": "100119", "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, durum wheat, other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 270869749.5271915, "current_below_peak_pct": 47.56756387835562, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.46060566135416287, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "distance_km": 4313, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 111271.11232999999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 943.9656682091999, "importer_population": 117876.228, "importer_biz_entry_days": 32, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 45.4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 13679.221333000001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5314.531460475973, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 22.449483704980846, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 22.449483704980846, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-ETH/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-ETH/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-ETH/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-ETH/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-ETH/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }