{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.720Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Republic of Moldova exports to Egypt: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Republic of Moldova to Egypt, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "MDA",
    "country_name": "Republic of Moldova"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "EGY",
    "country_name": "Egypt"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
    "importer_iso3": "EGY",
    "all_history_lane_count": 31,
    "current_lane_count": 7,
    "current_product_count": 7,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 40837007.867208555,
    "attention_trade_usd": 40250805.069079064,
    "critical_trade_usd": 18958717.04143524,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 19854795.236477673,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 23439425.85962101,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 40837007.867208555,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 4,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 4,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 4,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 7,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0746144740002137,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 37.569818786974245,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3128.2705054915914,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 46.4253333718379,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 87.8767589654939,
    "top_product_hs6": "151211",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 18958717.04143524,
    "top_product_description": "Vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, crude, not chemically modified",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "151211",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 1897.97216796875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 27.95191319003831,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.95191319003831,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 12.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 404142.766093,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3876,
    "buyer_population_latest": 104258.324,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.071702156521417,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.415004099572471,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6176321736395494,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.274,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 5.094,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 98.56453048657318,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 46.4253333718379,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 404142.766093,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3876,
    "buyer_population_2024": 104258.324
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 109234.65958550519,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 804036.3445639461,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 636.0633956428214,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 257671.3208570258,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -67.95277693612607,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 992497.5297283473,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 285.1796647090015,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 108.66822651597387
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 295315.8058668395,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -70.24518479681564,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.385053722565946
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 3581243.739106726,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1112.682717267609,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 140.43033715740435
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 2557.944560707914,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.9285738490018,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -86.28948091294588
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 571.0729460775881,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -77.67453779688083,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -87.54142708768686
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 380686.74198876595,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 66561.66636040302,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -52.62913766284492
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 622377.6826495032,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 63.48814234982461,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 524.2917961360354
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 742991.073784284,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.379453103350606,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 991.6849837836739
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 1400870.567292937,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 88.54473717401056,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.38677177474776
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 1484918.6284613302,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.999702123145378,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.623511814166875
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 153107.71755572798,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -89.68915099985122,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -40.93396359992323
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 2298412.599221279,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1401.173576299121,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.94421955618195
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 1330202.8556294101,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.12514950187387,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.60117505603611
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 1329436.7789434823,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.057590966872889116,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 105.53708946684624
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 893077.7804852139,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.822846890474,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.028417688306295
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 11988563.055344066,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1242.38733930102,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 108.10527337152314
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 16314636.250705939,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.08500180873193,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 130.65873290451026
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 7326376.455058721,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -55.093228298352614,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 101.68177211749638
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 5398734.718952157,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.310983989575977,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.350683709270083
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 2814814.9198471135,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -47.861581159641744,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -44.32962462394511
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 1898155.4933676033,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.565531041355236,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -36.24990271044175
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 6431479.665334579,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 238.82786145850466,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.008243291083759
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 8928044.626256678,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.8178940280024,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 46.927188853978066
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 11493966.240975924,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.740017799340656,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 82.26895781665604
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 36668776.24209004,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 219.02630887644392,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 78.6467714127014
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 67807421.64046477,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 84.91869265773974,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 96.56534794079847
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 41196661.5833684,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.24461277733664,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 53.037326064061304
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "151211",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, crude, not chemically modified",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 636852348.1487173,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 60.832373946595865,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9418505207892306,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "100119",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, durum wheat, other than seed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3409607901.121333,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.206328138831315,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "100199",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 629504960.3410025,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2755709612835848,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "100590",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: maize (corn), other than seed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1968420093.5627544,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 83.7390683624899,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2417848159784017,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "230630",
      "hs_description": "Oil-cake and other solid residues: whether or not ground or in the form of pellets, resulting from the extraction of sunflower seed oils",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 42682490.70046969,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 84.98896876701905,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7629543381263364,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "071310",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: peas (pisum sativum), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10900059.054422336,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 7.324437827331291,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5928140915611687,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "902830",
      "hs_description": "Meters: electricity supply or production meters, including calibrating meters thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19782362.711026922,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 86.6688536765417,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.800311970309307,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "MDA",
    "importer_iso3": "EGY",
    "distance_km": 1895,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 404142.76609299995,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3876.3597052739883,
    "importer_population": 104258.324,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 12.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 20.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 13679.221333000001,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5314.531460475973,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 27.95191319003831,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.95191319003831,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-EGY/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-EGY/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-EGY/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-EGY/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-EGY/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}