{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.755Z", "seo": { "title": "Republic of Moldova exports to Germany: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Republic of Moldova to Germany, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MDA", "country_name": "Republic of Moldova" }, "importer": { "iso3": "DEU", "country_name": "Germany" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "all_history_lane_count": 149, "current_lane_count": 102, "current_product_count": 102, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 198286445.6703449, "attention_trade_usd": 25691979.789372254, "critical_trade_usd": 10190823.850175045, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 102115859.89668421, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 63580839.001230635, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 1165457.881902336, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 31586646.794475053, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 5, "high_volatility_lane_count": 52, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 37, "declining_demand_lane_count": 6, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 16, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0627178342219572, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 37.2155503717505, "product_concentration_hhi": 721.8822717832701, "top1_product_share_pct": 20.135240387151647, "top3_product_share_pct": 38.14149896073765, "top_product_hs6": "854430", "top_product_trade_usd": 39925452.490862794, "top_product_description": "Insulated electric conductors: ignition wiring sets and other wiring sets of a kind used in vehicles, aircraft or ships", "top_attention_product_hs6": "080232", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 1656.77197265625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.025299999862909317, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.5818821482375476, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.8834974298850575, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.3290857276960995, "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.5544117021889585, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4223116.205969, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 50802, "buyer_population_latest": 83129.288, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.422772294996279, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3176380750794765, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.10175824948728263, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.237999999999996, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 27.802, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 12.957002533640486, "critical_trade_share_pct": 5.1394455207076986, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4223116.205969, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 50802, "buyer_population_2024": 83129.288 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 61363089.789790995, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 44132076.10252933, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.080420569253008, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 36356055.779279314, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.619883336520292, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 35907581.64858357, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.2335610150299825, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.357633385046167 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 48225505.70933934, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.30452148325527, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.0008504793840762 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 53403044.83547513, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.736101260070585, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.67450877557328 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 56268098.31467731, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.364962780734461, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.151643777515478 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 63936367.86038015, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.628094382750099, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.855985261983458 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 87374321.15381564, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.65824956559574, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.83453663029637 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 110709235.92633668, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.706833843597757, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.306578563727754 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 79275598.41783859, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.392967619624155, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.431223719745406 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 104540587.22936597, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.86981784528826, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.1614985385401555 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 155314091.97569287, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.56822224934314, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.946108944742285 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 128124212.91381916, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.50638252846304, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.35381897563817 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 95901089.68588808, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.149909213183207, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.834325703933638 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 102505476.65823859, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.8866652026398745, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.934639516787927 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 136832071.63884997, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.487571688543994, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.216003640619957 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 103216785.23502968, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.56681829136035, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.4807422342826957 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 145134957.05026922, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.61177813258745, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.290147701787447 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 167843829.86410838, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.646728586534596, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.0465050983295585 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 155195153.73141515, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.53597921528244, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.56253341485696 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 158842297.09855145, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.3500368919045833, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.053965989803298 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 201602896.3865914, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.920159220254636, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.299314086644614 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 254071158.47818694, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.025549747550734, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.858001021115854 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 265643148.89508784, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.554625753750963, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.698205579855998 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 270275366.82529956, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.7437746651772779, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.264716722175415 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 282130645.48376125, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.386370388731975, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5535435651242286 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 282287249.68005466, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.05550768723647792, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.046366948186029 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 294560907.6556636, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.347932111535302, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.9096768935466644 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 222359228.73833779, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.511629697219796, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.629144582425584 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "854430", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: ignition wiring sets and other wiring sets of a kind used in vehicles, aircraft or ships", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6093561346.944844, "current_below_peak_pct": 41.48372739712502, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3265079654850291, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "940190", "hs_description": "Seat: parts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4027666149.077199, "current_below_peak_pct": 71.8205875304355, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7544652621369099, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "620342", "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: men's or boys', of cotton (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2733442677.6433687, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2552233281140124, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "080232", "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: walnuts, fresh or dried, shelled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 233474476.91815057, "current_below_peak_pct": 56.47042806036239, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.832509082564379, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "200979", "hs_description": "Juice: apple, of a Brix value exceeding 20, unfermented, not containing added spirit, whether or not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 325970613.5253894, "current_below_peak_pct": 59.271752484728864, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6897579319508719, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "080940", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: plums and sloes, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 91948650.3568789, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4536510863705523, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "620343", "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: men's or boys', of synthetic fibres (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 920837516.7848465, "current_below_peak_pct": 14.293452166104798, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8746522655725076, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "120600", "hs_description": "Oil seeds: sunflower seeds, whether or not broken", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 272074433.0395665, "current_below_peak_pct": 29.381191819136642, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0127312874750205, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "940510", "hs_description": "Chandeliers and other electric ceiling or wall light fittings: excluding those used for lighting public open spaces or thoroughfares", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1177628952.1480503, "current_below_peak_pct": 9.443485770267145, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9650785422048026, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "850450", "hs_description": "Electrical inductors: n.e.c. in heading no. 8504", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 998800567.7700621, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6061398485801592, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "distance_km": 1267, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "importer_population": 83129.288, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 13679.221333000001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5314.531460475973, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.5818821482375476, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.8834974298850575, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.3290857276960995, "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.5544117021889585 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-DEU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-DEU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-DEU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-DEU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-DEU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }