{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.205Z", "seo": { "title": "Republic of Moldova exports to Cyprus: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Republic of Moldova to Cyprus, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MDA", "country_name": "Republic of Moldova" }, "importer": { "iso3": "CYP", "country_name": "Cyprus" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "all_history_lane_count": 14, "current_lane_count": 7, "current_product_count": 7, "first_observed_last_year": 2002, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 19853491.015073106, "attention_trade_usd": 19681577.506827988, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 15443606.195228308, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 4303163.342905176, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 19727445.69481743, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 3, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1215598158126956, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 17.40008017765606, "product_concentration_hhi": 4440.070216963206, "top1_product_share_pct": 60.75326374876101, "top3_product_share_pct": 99.13408927369701, "top_product_hs6": "100390", "top_product_trade_usd": 12061643.759723933, "top_product_description": "Cereals: barley, other than seed", "top_attention_product_hs6": "100390", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 1371.634521484375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.004600000102072954, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.177270234865901, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.177270234865901, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 6, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 27719.33767, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 22803, "buyer_population_latest": 1215.588, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.5147622240935075, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.7613807542020945, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.0891364389583824, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 20.394000000000002, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 16.052000000000003, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.13408927369701, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 27719.33767, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 22803, "buyer_population_2024": 1215.588 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 9845361.043053366, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 9586922.965398123, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.624973086564353, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 3665150.371824634, "yoy_growth_pct": -61.769272736902316, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 7563713.3236126825, "yoy_growth_pct": 106.36843120428958, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.412865576010265 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 4303517.062546404, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.10311776212454, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.431860022181116 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 2265402.2324512573, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.35928312758189, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.8173443280195 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 3230116.469267564, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.58467759045361, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.694324707412697 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 2473026.8399615497, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.438462250795745, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.8615799702324 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 5834597.562983811, "yoy_growth_pct": 135.92940718243588, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.07403402295224 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 7795756.862268677, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.61258901088511, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.13641691938585 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 4875876.4113257155, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.45473983514199, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.393383095068533 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 2351719.932703298, "yoy_growth_pct": -51.768262065857364, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.131678401044255 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 12485852.032775782, "yoy_growth_pct": 430.92427627737607, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.00020770748816 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 29226998.5768524, "yoy_growth_pct": 134.08093016103783, "cagr_3y_pct": 81.65353057593912 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 4522674.728461073, "yoy_growth_pct": -84.52569559419968, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.356908804862144 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 1303986.6053688983, "yoy_growth_pct": -71.1678003911503, "cagr_3y_pct": -52.907510587676335 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 965820.7727628195, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.93322900816235, "cagr_3y_pct": -67.90992186834764 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 4702896.3001947645, "yoy_growth_pct": 386.93261035809934, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.3110188076000284 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 7771274.024316131, "yoy_growth_pct": 65.24442658865969, "cagr_3y_pct": 81.30357353184941 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 7768689.03807719, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.03326335206882414, "cagr_3y_pct": 100.36278763462234 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 16836640.588231266, "yoy_growth_pct": 116.7243469999729, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.97836425381539 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 10408601.739698416, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.17886837250668, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.230063149275814 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 16245491.545580283, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.07755923276385, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.87776566372573 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 18836732.234585784, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.950521913942751, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.812593527293906 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 15211664.222933916, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.244675597160878, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.48229572900237 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 12952895.634206127, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.848924848882405, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.271905246766708 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 14967464.00031646, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.553034803972654, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.377986184767171 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 22902454.49169829, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.01492952456115, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.61332173805452 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 25901791.858635746, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.096139402982576, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.985620982567426 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "export_value_usd": 20841588.108372442, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.53611463593092, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.667689116179858 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "hs_code": "100390", "hs_description": "Cereals: barley, other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 42303987.064179555, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1846946253505133, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "hs_code": "100590", "hs_description": "Cereals: maize (corn), other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 64454322.672449514, "current_below_peak_pct": 79.25868753993099, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.850083279593973, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "hs_code": "230630", "hs_description": "Oil-cake and other solid residues: whether or not ground or in the form of pellets, resulting from the extraction of sunflower seed oils", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13026807.305345107, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2669233918378724, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "hs_code": "220421", "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35717360.93562871, "current_below_peak_pct": 12.533219124877329, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.066568709468522, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "hs_code": "190531", "hs_description": "Food preparations: sweet biscuits, whether or not containing cocoa", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17060527.589107674, "current_below_peak_pct": 46.17298928224869, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3684688273781137, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "hs_code": "220410", "hs_description": "Wine: sparkling", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13549171.352466803, "current_below_peak_pct": 28.93349566930131, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5599543804374778, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "hs_code": "392590", "hs_description": "Plastics: builders' ware, n.e.s. or included in heading no. 3925", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10900525.281610126, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.34668378410465833, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MDA", "importer_iso3": "CYP", "distance_km": 1368, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 27719.33767, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 22803.234048049177, "importer_population": 1215.588, "importer_biz_entry_days": 6, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 5.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 13679.221333000001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5314.531460475973, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.177270234865901, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.177270234865901, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-CYP/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-CYP/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-CYP/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-CYP/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MDA-CYP/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }