{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.762Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Morocco exports to Türkiye: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Morocco to Türkiye, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "MAR",
    "country_name": "Morocco"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "TUR",
    "country_name": "Türkiye"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
    "importer_iso3": "TUR",
    "all_history_lane_count": 267,
    "current_lane_count": 179,
    "current_product_count": 179,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1245070213.3567917,
    "attention_trade_usd": 460082133.4854755,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 512237053.09460104,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 167730250.84639996,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 598685975.0545919,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 14,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 114,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 45,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 48,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1147060763520695,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 18.74877553103378,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 865.5661321784565,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 18.841864731220504,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 39.29721970133743,
    "top_product_hs6": "870321",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 234594445.4094052,
    "top_product_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity not exceeding 1000cc",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "280920",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 3230.062255859375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.025725748389959335,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.964259491591921,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.772561373939395,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.64646355639394,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.126097817545455,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 815271.751724,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 9587,
    "buyer_population_latest": 85042.732,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 11.86543006803118,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 11.08568690227736,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7019294631897877,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.79,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.340000000000003,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 36.952304259617904,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 815271.751724,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 9587,
    "buyer_population_2024": 85042.732
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 50138849.00468914,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 95088672.2451487,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 89.6506883041047,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 49101972.00767455,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.36191225692536,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 40285227.759025306,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.955988096101727,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.03406937422244
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 40336184.2911026,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.126489373181915,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.862741845004464
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 62475384.98443465,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 54.88670057027565,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.360250967411087
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 38141899.806243055,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.948915935858786,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.8058762007561957
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 72131881.37922622,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 89.1145479004685,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.3791659909742
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 66383157.35490381,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.969740861324636,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.0429459114276405
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 89102585.13794741,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.22468693614389,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.68729111493911
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 115571503.4682637,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.70611715623903,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.01490051977588
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 155432596.66084835,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.49041675185149,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.78878562346825
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 175720022.3578798,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.052233658103463,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.403689813912035
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 321745088.15895015,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 83.10098293959281,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.67612194804555
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 203127243.04485336,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.86702594057834,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.330673608662599
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 365874306.3106884,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 80.1207463983047,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.693920413367334
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 383826281.30877864,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.906596251349238,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.057388138401332
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 381781610.612974,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.5327073197887056,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.40959978289976
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 461450134.94637555,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.867564628240952,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.043245581358004
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 540868152.8852029,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.210530873082618,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.112034545931616
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 681375407.3510427,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.97809719731492,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.298980201931084
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 798374443.6362137,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.171009552578887,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.049572095436563
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 802412943.4174895,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.5058403125834499,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.051807327962184
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 648921515.4063145,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.12873281398635,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.6135615248394575
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 677786537.3372786,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.448153011676714,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.311892340265634
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 632112729.0492694,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.73867150968227,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.64391031344378
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 896243401.6349772,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.78537473576496,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.36394295940406
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 1076503926.3196666,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.112898388523483,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.674037430305333
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 1327010719.2148817,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.27040215743972,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.04421590375885
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 1309999264.5820103,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.2819379969240985,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.48758651471953
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "870321",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity not exceeding 1000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1654599231.3610246,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4215709328503023,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "280920",
      "hs_description": "Phosphoric acid and polyphosphoric acids",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 222721454.37711045,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 25.435869164866247,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.673593615527531,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "230120",
      "hs_description": "Flours, meals and pellets: of fish or of crustaceans, molluscs or other aquatic invertebrates",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 246717524.63719472,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 17.092315736263885,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9713521151476515,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "310530",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: diammonium hydrogenorthophosphate (diammonium phosphate)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 210919127.04887,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 23.917389694891224,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9893669077351097,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "854430",
      "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: ignition wiring sets and other wiring sets of a kind used in vehicles, aircraft or ships",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 477564486.89185953,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.718409786362449,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "870331",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity not exceeding 1500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1768835835.4472508,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 61.36210609127616,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.749562099188494,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "170199",
      "hs_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 199022045.14169908,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 13.682201982251224,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8970533183392403,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "251010",
      "hs_description": "Natural calcium phosphates, natural aluminium calcium phosphates and phosphatic chalk: unground",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 82070052.85833922,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 41.09138093072197,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8606104244682551,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "870421",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1777364248.0582502,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 56.86761882458315,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.801377834078837,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "310540",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: ammonium dihydrogenorthophosphate (monoammonium phosphate) and mixtures thereof with diammonium hydrogenorthophosphate (diammonium phosphate)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 64730855.20498444,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 53.13916765793666,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7845552412960792,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
    "importer_iso3": "TUR",
    "distance_km": 3319,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013,
    "importer_population": 85042.732,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 132725.261467,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3554.05047330835,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.964259491591921,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.772561373939395,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.64646355639394,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.126097817545455
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-TUR/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-TUR/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-TUR/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-TUR/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-TUR/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}