{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.755Z", "seo": { "title": "Morocco exports to Syrian Arab Republic: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Morocco to Syrian Arab Republic, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MAR", "country_name": "Morocco" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SYR", "country_name": "Syrian Arab Republic" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "all_history_lane_count": 17, "current_lane_count": 7, "current_product_count": 7, "first_observed_last_year": 2007, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 48059178.859292395, "attention_trade_usd": 47137494.8468012, "critical_trade_usd": 10092001.345446121, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 5779442.260196815, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 15952073.736618392, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 47908883.73913463, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 48059178.859292395, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 3, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 5, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 6, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6980744582733366, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 51.95012229344193, "product_concentration_hhi": 2781.884911360474, "top1_product_share_pct": 34.276879654018174, "top3_product_share_pct": 87.80654907082499, "top_product_hs6": "150790", "top_product_trade_usd": 16473186.900308998, "top_product_description": "Vegetable oils: soya-bean oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "top_attention_product_hs6": "150790", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 3964.063720703125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.6899999976158142, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.16070448921212, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.381889623030304, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 21.381889623030304, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 21445.775364, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1266, "buyer_population_latest": 18275.703, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 0.9043464757107378, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -1.065563203855846, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.9239347234722777, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened", "attention_trade_share_pct": 98.08218942901688, "critical_trade_share_pct": 20.999113145468986, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 21445.775364, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1266, "buyer_population_2024": 18275.703 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 8089793.999999999, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 15654202.616043527, "yoy_growth_pct": 93.5055777198224, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 7166555, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.21961005758791, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 12193621.639365792, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.14620887394003, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.656430570903979 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 8884970, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.134281653320848, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.204193983938676 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 7343277.113483409, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.351694901801473, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8153107445334928 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 56415188.09180248, "yoy_growth_pct": 668.256286940545, "cagr_3y_pct": 66.6304786394877 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 42845151.93357991, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.05387027362299, "cagr_3y_pct": 68.94625676251974 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 47465477.7534178, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.783777420139584, "cagr_3y_pct": 86.2784632009719 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 59115950.357848376, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.54514977170261, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5709571684144663 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 41709115.86350654, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.445241747739004, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8917596089067281 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 34891454.32891251, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.345734963322855, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.750028842450186 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 38910725.88917001, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.5193580708012, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.012893349121569 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 47626879.07107331, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.40038699542548, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.521840037933056 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 54027943.754796155, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.440025482607364, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.691057022427902 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 51294269.83199043, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.059740817108283, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.647779160877889 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 49577524.897632785, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.3468551945094016, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.347001942936532 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 42550084.425314106, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.174649676095918, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.652035139785662 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 33520222.87000636, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.221724180494594, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.221391518999981 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 45069987.852935135, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.45611035379903, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.1274199667938207 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 36004456.573607214, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.114341519037126, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.415796403737538 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 30987945.556679063, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.93302800355405, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.5843732732475866 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 47369068.830269024, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.86288903414966, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.6722580238007323 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 53652534.01600001, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.264911768153297, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.220658444701373 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 65557929.06499998, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.18980942344606, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.374120306935335 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 47612406.585999995, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.37353472713757, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.17094295681143734 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 38658200.89599998, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.806454729034673, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.349964330835903 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 70541285.548, "yoy_growth_pct": 82.4743105292802, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.4721971022994227 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 28613971.11699999, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.43656130631537, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.610968967217232 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 53772190.19233378, "yoy_growth_pct": 87.92285059792665, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.62771351961056 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "hs_code": "150790", "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: soya-bean oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17358070.954308983, "current_below_peak_pct": 43.82252648058463, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.740730121000971, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "hs_code": "170199", "hs_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 94104028.87419847, "current_below_peak_pct": 38.53180703616024, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5854204726515331, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "hs_code": "160413", "hs_description": "Fish preparations: sardines, sardinella and brisling or sprats, prepared or preserved, whole or in pieces (but not minced)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12489032.574696044, "current_below_peak_pct": 71.63794887982291, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5530281556720019, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "hs_code": "151219", "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 118686154.72868104, "current_below_peak_pct": 75.62507017831676, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1080200089045198, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "hs_code": "720839", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of less than 3mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23388997.501357984, "current_below_peak_pct": 77.75130132089365, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2825603671727277, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "hs_code": "721049", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, (not corrugated), plated or coated with zinc (not electrolytically)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12077686.760394584, "current_below_peak_pct": 99.03186434597546, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2010065172473028, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "hs_code": "850710", "hs_description": "Electric accumulators: lead-acid, of a kind used for starting piston engines, including separators, whether or not rectangular (including square)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12465888.771655187, "current_below_peak_pct": 91.1915548265384, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9282444346799137, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "distance_km": 4048, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 21445.775364, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1173.4582994700668, "importer_population": 18275.703, "importer_biz_entry_days": 15.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 8.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 132725.261467, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3554.05047330835, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.16070448921212, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.381889623030304, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 21.381889623030304 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-SYR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-SYR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-SYR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-SYR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-SYR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }