{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:06.137Z", "seo": { "title": "Morocco exports to Serbia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Morocco to Serbia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MAR", "country_name": "Morocco" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SRB", "country_name": "Serbia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "all_history_lane_count": 67, "current_lane_count": 45, "current_product_count": 45, "first_observed_last_year": 2007, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 28319425.80125389, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 19834763.28394636, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 668128.4403161895, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1510325.9923289735, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 24, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2424596990681447, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 5.731876340241184, "product_concentration_hhi": 768.8997086853548, "top1_product_share_pct": 16.979716946341725, "top3_product_share_pct": 37.23129716541946, "top_product_hs6": "853890", "top_product_trade_usd": 4808558.341882178, "top_product_description": "Electrical apparatus: parts suitable for use solely or principally with the apparatus of heading no. 8535, 8536 or 8537", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.247825097777777, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.247825097777777, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 10.836286255256834, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 12.018236663180426, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -1.0551410583952703, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 3931825.4199194214, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 6965813.040601749, "yoy_growth_pct": 77.16486101624791, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 9317133.15164943, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.75514239820252, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 3420639.279821901, "yoy_growth_pct": -63.28656868860634, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.536427206459237 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 4010182.982783595, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.234898354800787, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.811340672774143 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 5739411.82919809, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.12094619717784, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.913297030211059 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 3396357.0499593574, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.823952853825865, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.237186807259393 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 5484065.199099242, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.46904222466443, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.997400141464686 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 5782839.332949679, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.44804124319147, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.2515846056784454 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 5459033.616786157, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.599424392072072, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.138810468856015 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 10501267.003021223, "yoy_growth_pct": 92.36494479042119, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.178486933665 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 10727456.67357721, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.1539274307653677, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.871703941860268 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 14190662.495132824, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.28356848166849, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.49776350565006 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 19480282.6738437, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.27535751431712, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.87150691044333 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 43662541.650411375, "yoy_growth_pct": 124.13710509980098, "cagr_3y_pct": 59.662925014167435 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 23615236.45004883, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.914196568933974, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.50314482218476 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 26443439.633426487, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.976179825088341, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.723778267379224 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 36817783.78077148, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.23220387044901, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.525150228829833 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 42912201.94733288, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.552919651139586, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.028938616070736 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "853890", "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: parts suitable for use solely or principally with the apparatus of heading no. 8535, 8536 or 8537", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 155550782.3829494, "current_below_peak_pct": 4.243450720864754, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6787609553108687, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "854420", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: co-axial cable and other co-axial electric conductors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35739605.684442066, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3474551058708022, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "854720", "hs_description": "Insulating fittings: of plastics, for electrical machines, of insulating material only (except minor assembly parts), excluding those of heading no. 8546", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 116526781.05483463, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8943117466179588, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "392690", "hs_description": "Plastics: other articles n.e.s. in chapter 39", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 287990777.0682674, "current_below_peak_pct": 0.9878646606414586, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6718563885312794, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "854430", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: ignition wiring sets and other wiring sets of a kind used in vehicles, aircraft or ships", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 73236411.35054615, "current_below_peak_pct": 2.7454641464290086, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1645136245085892, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "081110", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: strawberries, uncooked or cooked by steaming or boiling in water, frozen, whether or not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17415197.562975377, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3622532634357583, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "620443", "hs_description": "Dresses: women's or girls', of synthetic fibres (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10953868.916768862, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2746864137155394, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "160413", "hs_description": "Fish preparations: sardines, sardinella and brisling or sprats, prepared or preserved, whole or in pieces (but not minced)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12995203.073474793, "current_below_peak_pct": 7.12797950950563, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5765505722051817, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "854442", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts, fitted with connectors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 98111676.57548419, "current_below_peak_pct": 17.49711738632357, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.138804490337128, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 780795065.3324084, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7904115500575774, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "distance_km": 2708, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "importer_population": 6844.078, "importer_biz_entry_days": 7, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 2.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 132725.261467, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3554.05047330835, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.247825097777777, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.247825097777777, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-SRB/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-SRB/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-SRB/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-SRB/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-SRB/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }