{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.744Z", "seo": { "title": "Morocco exports to Portugal: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Morocco to Portugal, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MAR", "country_name": "Morocco" }, "importer": { "iso3": "PRT", "country_name": "Portugal" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "all_history_lane_count": 291, "current_lane_count": 208, "current_product_count": 208, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 557284721.7699417, "attention_trade_usd": 232595204.7123558, "critical_trade_usd": 11499430.120555408, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 282119254.8679555, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 75147785.97689855, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 1341357.18412235, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 238825370.20731542, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 41, "high_volatility_lane_count": 145, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 88, "declining_demand_lane_count": 4, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 125, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1459544318429915, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 16.02384160861265, "product_concentration_hhi": 567.4228595033534, "top1_product_share_pct": 16.320775281490977, "top3_product_share_pct": 35.43881320991573, "top_product_hs6": "870321", "top_product_trade_usd": 90953187.11815442, "top_product_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity not exceeding 1000cc", "top_attention_product_hs6": "854430", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 561.6361694335938, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.09743183851242065, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.476462091758586, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868686, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.1947699692886384, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.7256431575800475, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 6.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 249886.464355, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 24262, "buyer_population_latest": 10299.423, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.462941650481978, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.644844908749368, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7817840835313117, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.083999999999996, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 19.34, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 41.73722975459137, "critical_trade_share_pct": 2.063474857884693, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 249886.464355, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 24262, "buyer_population_2024": 10299.423 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 59528864.667226866, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 56467189.4497961, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.143177573679381, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 52109304.89229532, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.717551732188288, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 50605182.84309533, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.8864749823642066, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.269651970723133 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 57314585.847041704, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.258331710309811, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.4977477308326428 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 57993827.92201884, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.1851120704071016, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.6307954851824364 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 50162368.44470343, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.503953365254572, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.29253414158457725 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 78118039.2544508, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.730364567144285, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.873747082140838 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 91909300.68651675, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.65438759560287, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.589443324754917 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 127453045.44930798, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.672631058333764, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.45540031020866 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 98386816.73095249, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.805440714177383, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.992897031055501 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 131589332.12066358, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.74691497592237, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.707739707417032 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 155925747.05420348, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.49421570984502, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.952072679280774 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 134100735.22029258, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.997054525141383, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.874434176885671 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 104708443.68740247, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.91806889395963, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.334016243441233 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 170140875.17492646, "yoy_growth_pct": 62.49011940514231, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.9509305148959664 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 224618173.47031012, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.01893621351957, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.76028855692846 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 238256779.20901442, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.071906617345468, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.528899787743935 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 205878319.37773156, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.58973286668933, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.561579864493594 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 205350392.17029178, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.2564268102806744, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.945230670265464 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 208792512.0915689, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.6762178464322819, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.304859522282955 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 200783233.62097296, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.8359989016671925, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8318351184960049 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 205282736.90245384, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.240975603558004, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.010983291930533046 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 259767376.3654637, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.541267076393193, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.553173536440849 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 292174883.7354145, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.475587898442274, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.319629313535275 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 258496389.7254118, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.526827213697466, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.985974262676443 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 395694249.56113505, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.075348549920534, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.060178549661064 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 455602864.1509197, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.140127675908687, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.96168622578249 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 570066549.8229045, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.123565868117193, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.1638419336943 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 600325114.9813472, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.307900484222894, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.905881276380285 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "hs_code": "870321", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity not exceeding 1000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 626804028.3594722, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9608563505006296, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "hs_code": "870322", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 893925705.847104, "current_below_peak_pct": 0.859430697837534, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.272046129087573, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "hs_code": "870894", "hs_description": "Vehicle parts: steering wheels, steering columns and steering boxes: parts thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 147482424.82483217, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7032021831662791, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "hs_code": "854430", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: ignition wiring sets and other wiring sets of a kind used in vehicles, aircraft or ships", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 172285206.659982, "current_below_peak_pct": 18.325148742727993, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5476081673370933, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "hs_code": "851220", "hs_description": "Lighting or visual signalling equipment: electrical, of a kind used on motor vehicles (excluding articles of heading no. 8539)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 145698137.4877895, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2149120982783594, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "hs_code": "070200", "hs_description": "Vegetables: tomatoes, fresh or chilled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 65931636.47621135, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.00945309981498, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7215653691315325, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "hs_code": "870331", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity not exceeding 1500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 397103597.7267823, "current_below_peak_pct": 45.43601257668078, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9322044618950567, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "hs_code": "310530", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: diammonium hydrogenorthophosphate (diammonium phosphate)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13043381.772912651, "current_below_peak_pct": 33.0519454230548, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7172960676884794, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "hs_code": "030752", "hs_description": "Molluscs: octopus (Octopus spp.), frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 153794217.87778357, "current_below_peak_pct": 60.501446994919675, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5794997185923232, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "hs_code": "621132", "hs_description": "Track suits and other garments n.e.c.: men's or boys', of cotton (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21019753.098071665, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7444843100043743, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "distance_km": 585, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 249886.46435499997, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 24262.180935281518, "importer_population": 10299.423, "importer_biz_entry_days": 6.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.9, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 132725.261467, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3554.05047330835, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.476462091758586, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868686, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.1947699692886384, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.7256431575800475 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-PRT/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-PRT/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-PRT/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-PRT/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-PRT/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }