{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:12.437Z", "seo": { "title": "Morocco exports to New Caledonia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Morocco to New Caledonia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MAR", "country_name": "Morocco" }, "importer": { "iso3": "NCL", "country_name": "New Caledonia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "all_history_lane_count": 1, "current_lane_count": 1, "current_product_count": 1, "first_observed_last_year": 2024, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 337321.69745848555, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0, "access_friction_trade_usd": 337321.69745848555, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 337321.69745848555, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0, "access_friction_lane_count": 1, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8059153936610549, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 43.280179581714364, "product_concentration_hhi": 10000, "top1_product_share_pct": 100, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "870322", "top_product_trade_usd": 337321.69745848555, "top_product_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 18569.453125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.32010000944137573, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 9435.529927, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 34695, "buyer_population_latest": 272.62, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -2.0373796350958373, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -2.6497579926365367, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6290465692878167, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_product_mix", "market_access_friction", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 9435.529927, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 34695, "buyer_population_2024": 272.62 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 854990.3068062768, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 860090.942573274, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.5965723501650144, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 931737.3002602285, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.330090940453161, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 825020.0575153285, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.453576315458713, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.1823688817943268 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 848936.6957294232, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.8989159713429524, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.4341717586385463 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 818676.3166247953, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.564503602783664, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.220422935503921 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 1140561.8270510691, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.31779921927265, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.399893354591573 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 971309.4472454017, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.839386676938915, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.590948643350634 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 1302280.693038826, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.07474793249945, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.734024476879906 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 1217378.7824633364, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.519478560138536, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.196408116819293 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 1367406.7280071771, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.323850859324391, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.07619199290546 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 1511946.180864576, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.57033360279329, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.10190233319765 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 1351770.0642474326, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.594035597586537, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5521289551489366 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 2271964.7100728126, "yoy_growth_pct": 68.07331144277688, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.440788405852015 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 1578804.1402251178, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.509301785126762, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.4527853101674593 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 2859916.852403857, "yoy_growth_pct": 81.14449915212842, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.37590773029641 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 2108165.802400872, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.285765943548768, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.4633741625263106 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 2670236.320195122, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.661589764625692, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.144449251366446 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 2586675.6625185926, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.12933567132454, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.291898712860375 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 2256894.3049641917, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.749234947890587, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.2983947372074764 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 1835341.2618357085, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.678457480319256, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.748442945617022 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 1913425.0881622036, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.254458173538556, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.560845054292122 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 1978940.485114729, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.4239854676229475, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.286358948874314 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 1998458.108398136, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.9862663091798618, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.878843496612249 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 2461222.0232363576, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.156047799728462, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.754301367716511 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 2405313.5304277493, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.271574538208143, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.720123782767651 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 1238202.7758206376, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.5221880575194, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.749112657523632 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 1597557.7659999998, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.02230532807475, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.416475695876073 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 4567167.727999999, "yoy_growth_pct": 185.88435580863995, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.82977647661233 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "export_value_usd": 3344851.217714312, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.763118481329563, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.27131529211343 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "hs_code": "870322", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10635235.485458484, "current_below_peak_pct": 43.280179581714364, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8059153936610548, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "NCL", "distance_km": 18626, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 9435.529927, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 34610.556551243484, "importer_population": 272.62, "importer_biz_entry_days": null, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 132725.261467, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3554.05047330835, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-NCL/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-NCL/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-NCL/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-NCL/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-NCL/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }