{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.097Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Morocco exports to Malawi: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Morocco to Malawi, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "MAR",
    "country_name": "Morocco"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "MWI",
    "country_name": "Malawi"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
    "importer_iso3": "MWI",
    "all_history_lane_count": 6,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2010,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 68354.00827744506,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 68354.00827744506,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 68354.00827744506,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "870323",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 68354.00827744506,
    "top_product_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 6861.10302734375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 24.516091226666664,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 24.516091226666664,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 37,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 12626.718073999999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 643,
    "buyer_population_latest": 19647.68,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 0.4742394112035031,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -2.0937742938528903,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.622931980611698,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 16.302,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 4.328,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 12626.718073999999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 643,
    "buyer_population_2024": 19647.68
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 111178.16869899469,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 5034.556832682267,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -95.47163180362064,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 5144.215041717486,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.1781104609518653,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 563043.217156561,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10845.172637428841,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 71.727852217522
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 2769.687106829482,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.5080862316721,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.061158277921063
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 15754.90459901078,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 468.83337327752315,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.221935581375064
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 16845.639323802923,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.923143951380251,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -68.95569637791523
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 630.2625346551987,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -96.25860127632771,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -38.94841724658535
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 767.7034846371885,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.80693638361042,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -63.474802069893066
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 31861.633634372953,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4050.252574329599,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.668809632837018
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 232670.5112371836,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 630.252923962361,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 617.3646151883529
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 738907.271719405,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 217.57667432387478,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 887.337145304965
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 75831.33007112876,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -89.73736854765652,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.514021734076984
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 513.3569498056781,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.32302789714468,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -86.98154736743186
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 103423.67317927271,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20046.54193703267,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -48.078965237954385
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 2562869.338208068,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2378.0296999949296,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 223.31505708736424
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 251011.34400292204,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -90.20584700668249,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 687.8157054434979
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 445138.5090312742,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 77.33800470232623,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 62.6641081000924
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 399333.9993356392,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.289945436380322,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -46.18913902939382
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 51339.911498443915,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -87.14361622505054,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -41.081196035405945
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 25831.59651770647,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.68515573212584,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -61.284456485068915
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 1238681.6511272117,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4695.219104162406,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.839266791455515
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 33593.13463220157,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -97.28799287519666,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.184259967381884
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 628317.4675026798,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1770.3746297625642,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 189.74055987496462
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "hs_code": "870323",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26314591.883898236,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
    "importer_iso3": "MWI",
    "distance_km": 6855,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 12626.718073999999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 642.6569485048616,
    "importer_population": 19647.68,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 37,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 32.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 132725.261467,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3554.05047330835,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 24.516091226666664,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 24.516091226666664,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-MWI/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-MWI/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-MWI/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-MWI/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-MWI/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}