{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.692Z", "seo": { "title": "Morocco exports to Kenya: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Morocco to Kenya, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MAR", "country_name": "Morocco" }, "importer": { "iso3": "KEN", "country_name": "Kenya" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "all_history_lane_count": 25, "current_lane_count": 7, "current_product_count": 7, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 58035394.83435685, "attention_trade_usd": 57764370.40751117, "critical_trade_usd": 42748849.53367032, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 57834477.99263737, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 42818957.11879653, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 57891218.04248535, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 4, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 5, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2254464607984037, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 47.474718943867494, "product_concentration_hhi": 6095.270891423264, "top1_product_share_pct": 73.65996157290392, "top3_product_share_pct": 99.75216220895801, "top_product_hs6": "310530", "top_product_trade_usd": 42748849.53367032, "top_product_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: diammonium hydrogenorthophosphate (diammonium phosphate)", "top_attention_product_hs6": "310530", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 6019.39111328125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 27.705803971515152, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.705803971515152, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 23, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 110347.079517, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2007.0000000000002, "buyer_population_latest": 54985.703, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.6939927181435905, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6964619039059992, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9642087608958247, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.871999999999996, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 6.416000000000001, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.53300149396892, "critical_trade_share_pct": 73.65996157290392, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 110347.079517, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2007.0000000000002, "buyer_population_2024": 54985.703 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 836830.1842470656, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 498644.0097791287, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.41276005982246, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 344884.4104609953, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.835545259280327, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 239615.84889843504, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.52285298191685, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.088772295181954 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 359831.06975815736, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.169978910984916, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.304769296457927 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 598840.9141853588, "yoy_growth_pct": 66.42279239195217, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.19303461522728 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 682028.7978650569, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.891482981396464, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.71931923341305 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 1109302.0545298522, "yoy_growth_pct": 62.64739230986749, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.54045192182225 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 908518.5982922427, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.09998056144466, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.90549178748537 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 1526372.3550376415, "yoy_growth_pct": 68.0067263242369, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.80346832338916 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 6066675.366352528, "yoy_growth_pct": 297.4571045086125, "cagr_3y_pct": 76.18420843200427 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2661797.6139218193, "yoy_growth_pct": -56.124278073541056, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.09146708022149 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2562045.081635258, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.747562615761324, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.843497728052693 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 1380268.746342497, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.12628964898921, "cagr_3y_pct": -38.95206669470057 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 608963.4987222723, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.88080217450888, "cagr_3y_pct": -38.83935218899459 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 21985574.59200695, "yoy_growth_pct": 3510.3271605173545, "cagr_3y_pct": 104.73103612162657 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 25694941.70035637, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.871822443512553, "cagr_3y_pct": 165.02977067694454 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 5198008.978919965, "yoy_growth_pct": -79.7703024994687, "cagr_3y_pct": 104.36911041240884 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 32367311.036066107, "yoy_growth_pct": 522.6867088404173, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.760004426300586 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 7042498.026634446, "yoy_growth_pct": -78.2419428701162, "cagr_3y_pct": -35.04293916925637 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2500340.1464408366, "yoy_growth_pct": -64.4964025977054, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.64728984867146 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 35533484.20437658, "yoy_growth_pct": 1321.146009072305, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.159776109477974 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 15516024.10949692, "yoy_growth_pct": -56.33407627505933, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.122152029645854 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 10108536.018837202, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.85099051470245, "cagr_3y_pct": 59.30511591188419 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 4088881.7643265827, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.55020829220994, "cagr_3y_pct": -51.36052042168776 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 16045959.128880534, "yoy_growth_pct": 292.42903203691, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.1257476067617844 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 26423085.92880836, "yoy_growth_pct": 64.67127777516532, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.75216230652938 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 128715612.19688733, "yoy_growth_pct": 387.13315524040377, "cagr_3y_pct": 215.74917515594018 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 34136676.22983948, "yoy_growth_pct": -73.47899322607192, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.61309334292681 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 65779752.23452418, "yoy_growth_pct": 92.69524599183127, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.53024770513768 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "310530", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: diammonium hydrogenorthophosphate (diammonium phosphate)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 121856850.71862997, "current_below_peak_pct": 56.400951909206476, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1615136902104801, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "310559", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the two fertilizing elements nitrogen and phosphorus, other than nitrates and phosphates", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15251139.057538351, "current_below_peak_pct": 22.0231378003771, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.415741658549047, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "490700", "hs_description": "Unused postage, revenue or similar stamps of current or new issue in the country in which they have, or will have, a recognised face value: stamp-impressed paper: cheque forms: banknotes, stock, share or bond certificates and the like of similar title", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20150014.444413327, "current_below_peak_pct": 47.89903744820329, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8054487339845735, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "390720", "hs_description": "Polyethers: in primary forms, excluding polyacetals", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39915567.83682775, "current_below_peak_pct": 97.23611794256675, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.13916227815515, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "300460", "hs_description": "Medicaments: containing antimalarial active principles described in Subheading Note 2 to this Chapter, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17726649.453144502, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.11135599401422039, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "940389", "hs_description": "Furniture: of cane, osier, or similar materials (other than bamboo or rattan)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19718394.25536327, "current_below_peak_pct": 37.014643652858304, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9856414930965202, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "842240", "hs_description": "Machinery: for packing or wrapping", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10656610.044684935, "current_below_peak_pct": 82.42630937879358, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.055524281901625, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "distance_km": 6042, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 110347.079517, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2006.832203582084, "importer_population": 54985.703, "importer_biz_entry_days": 23, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 22.4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 132725.261467, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3554.05047330835, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 27.705803971515152, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.705803971515152, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-KEN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-KEN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-KEN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-KEN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-KEN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }