{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:06.114Z", "seo": { "title": "Morocco exports to Ecuador: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Morocco to Ecuador, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MAR", "country_name": "Morocco" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ECU", "country_name": "Ecuador" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "all_history_lane_count": 21, "current_lane_count": 9, "current_product_count": 9, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 2002456.8606788467, "attention_trade_usd": 1417344.990566513, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1609435.6886137065, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 241199.8086834822, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1453379.630225981, "access_friction_trade_usd": 2002456.8606788467, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 4, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 9, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9663311659663947, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 45.2013046646987, "product_concentration_hhi": 5166.368640097659, "top1_product_share_pct": 70.78030085931655, "top3_product_share_pct": 85.08725658274899, "top_product_hs6": "310530", "top_product_trade_usd": 1417344.990566513, "top_product_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: diammonium hydrogenorthophosphate (diammonium phosphate)", "top_attention_product_hs6": "310530", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 8348.7900390625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.21559999883174896, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.845334240202018, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.845334240202018, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 48.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 106165.866, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5935, "buyer_population_latest": 17888.474, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.990587628199348, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.0708328763464845, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.9010945888597854, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.951999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 25.912, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 70.78030085931655, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 106165.866, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5935, "buyer_population_2024": 17888.474 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 160816.84547699484, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 202671.10235786706, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.026040217820068, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 916893.4915420596, "yoy_growth_pct": 352.40465013263326, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 194652.76279835182, "yoy_growth_pct": -78.7704063128446, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.571974234888467 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 53340.021698878576, "yoy_growth_pct": -72.59734671521949, "cagr_3y_pct": -35.915384032846035 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 176271.5551978816, "yoy_growth_pct": 230.46772307853698, "cagr_3y_pct": -42.285121984917396 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 466867.6398259714, "yoy_growth_pct": 164.8570492850466, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.858021042565014 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 85507.50040912647, "yoy_growth_pct": -81.68485174063466, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.03533637859076 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 73148.65352205209, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.453523758665831, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.41101453968613 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 231766.55044358326, "yoy_growth_pct": 216.84322169199288, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.819362363479765 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 11706.063556877067, "yoy_growth_pct": -94.94920059237515, "cagr_3y_pct": -48.46105129541576 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 36042.314783508155, "yoy_growth_pct": 207.8944053941519, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.016668842221332 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 38327.82907224011, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.341197291184342, "cagr_3y_pct": -45.11068368228268 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 1538.4269940022439, "yoy_growth_pct": -95.98613584113355, "cagr_3y_pct": -49.158072777343556 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 97996.53422699853, "yoy_growth_pct": 6269.917754241876, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.5723359357536 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 1711.5441216849963, "yoy_growth_pct": -98.2534646401674, "cagr_3y_pct": -64.52209557765276 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 3930625.0650235265, "yoy_growth_pct": 229553.73870431512, "cagr_3y_pct": 1267.0830831759774 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 192903.54136871343, "yoy_growth_pct": -95.09229351114519, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.326572162568638 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 2342117.478130075, "yoy_growth_pct": 1114.1391814333679, "cagr_3y_pct": 1010.2144065499689 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 3216799.5334604606, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.34578062363991, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.462133629883072 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 3819056.640514383, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.722245535955008, "cagr_3y_pct": 170.5236881041786 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 1678491.2892052797, "yoy_growth_pct": -56.049583779432865, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.510900300653292 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 3041411.903723764, "yoy_growth_pct": 81.19914731066554, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.8514816009907897 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 4229828.721809253, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.07451064521865, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.4639117518011187 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 5346156.421271418, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.391794393619584, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.132130351224234 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 2162748.802615268, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.545725336242114, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.742727232580961 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 8741000.180815374, "yoy_growth_pct": 304.1616007483377, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.373607488045828 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 5919838.8549955785, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.27504024095139, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.456093270279492 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 6340553.294047566, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.106856273578455, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.12220735298502 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 5014842.099710512, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.90844651651482, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.906820362758268 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "310530", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: diammonium hydrogenorthophosphate (diammonium phosphate)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 52694872.10931165, "current_below_peak_pct": 49.256744503394195, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0102241539753927, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "330300", "hs_description": "Perfumes and toilet waters", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21614115.974546526, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.394321393053644, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "610910", "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20691769.651182212, "current_below_peak_pct": 38.93015746701996, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6475350424428727, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "620462", "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: women's or girls', of cotton (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14848965.41012522, "current_below_peak_pct": 59.05875239520497, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5431502081870317, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "310540", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: ammonium dihydrogenorthophosphate (monoammonium phosphate) and mixtures thereof with diammonium hydrogenorthophosphate (diammonium phosphate)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11718347.492014706, "current_below_peak_pct": 60.97821449034741, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.35259396263541487, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "620342", "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: men's or boys', of cotton (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14754650.531060945, "current_below_peak_pct": 78.5779921902147, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4923320548151173, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "610990", "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of textile materials (other than cotton), knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10451284.502219802, "current_below_peak_pct": 66.39189674871795, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8395358347867967, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "851220", "hs_description": "Lighting or visual signalling equipment: electrical, of a kind used on motor vehicles (excluding articles of heading no. 8539)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26679114.878162157, "current_below_peak_pct": 33.633423430629485, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8626273239346284, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "640399", "hs_description": "Footwear: n.e.c. in heading no. 6403, (not covering the ankle), outer soles of rubber, plastics or composition leather, uppers of leather", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19015839.720180333, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6540895907439725, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "distance_km": 8514, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 106165.866, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5934.8754958080835, "importer_population": 17888.474, "importer_biz_entry_days": 48.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 33, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 132725.261467, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3554.05047330835, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.845334240202018, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.845334240202018, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-ECU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-ECU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-ECU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-ECU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-ECU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }