{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.111Z", "seo": { "title": "Morocco exports to Botswana: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Morocco to Botswana, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MAR", "country_name": "Morocco" }, "importer": { "iso3": "BWA", "country_name": "Botswana" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "all_history_lane_count": 3, "current_lane_count": 1, "current_product_count": 1, "first_observed_last_year": 2009, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 35412.56649904535, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 35412.56649904535, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 35412.56649904535, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 35412.56649904535, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0929663371381506, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 97.46835724297515, "product_concentration_hhi": 10000, "top1_product_share_pct": 100, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "853690", "top_product_trade_usd": 35412.56649904535, "top_product_description": "Electrical apparatus: n.e.s. in heading no. 8536, for switching or protecting electrical circuits, for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 7402.95361328125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 48, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 17613.846473, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7348, "buyer_population_latest": 2397.24, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0129069649398543, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4194113162523392, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.571193944045457, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 32.758, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 32.414, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 17613.846473, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7348, "buyer_population_2024": 2397.24 }, "history": [ { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 7494.139034504138, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 5994.274343997582, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.01383592699514, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 4443.583724475977, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.869530330629644, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 338.552527476514, "yoy_growth_pct": -92.38109263899514, "cagr_3y_pct": -64.38485052100879 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 2131.4463053178356, "yoy_growth_pct": 529.5762495719953, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.154447166577114 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 791.3339706660996, "yoy_growth_pct": -62.873379981857056, "cagr_3y_pct": -43.738822922355865 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 308.13909664305794, "yoy_growth_pct": -61.060802636378156, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.088886958582726 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 28003.82720627487, "yoy_growth_pct": 8988.047414740731, "cagr_3y_pct": 135.96504027407224 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 48240.02997229425, "yoy_growth_pct": 72.26227549884688, "cagr_3y_pct": 293.5645019318872 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 381.53667462662645, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.20908698679135, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.381589532290378 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 3551.1270971843273, "yoy_growth_pct": 830.7433160021842, "cagr_3y_pct": -49.760002512444125 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 721.9560709175953, "yoy_growth_pct": -79.669663992313, "cagr_3y_pct": -75.35657494415857 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 645.8800922394291, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.53748029038315, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.180499922415663 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 21338.30165739593, "yoy_growth_pct": 3203.755900481567, "cagr_3y_pct": 81.80167409721992 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 19683.494957146173, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.755100320630226, "cagr_3y_pct": 200.97503954698192 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 1065.6370028389424, "yoy_growth_pct": -94.586139274763, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.164167046495816 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 1605712.5402723514, "yoy_growth_pct": 150581.004506657, "cagr_3y_pct": 322.1848547370887 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 2362950.9230278074, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.15902527777591, "cagr_3y_pct": 393.3072476410991 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 2637975.502328769, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.639030528342676, "cagr_3y_pct": 1252.7591762241934 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 1758011.8508632048, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.35753689481741, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.0666118964970845 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 1789640.5429886945, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.7991171168703746, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.847125349791863 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 1388919.3910394637, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.391152989863972, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.25132073244723 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 1423336.434656448, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.4779727203050106, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.797279451373872 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 1387459.7377052824, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.5206055348274137, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.1346938935973 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "hs_code": "853690", "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: n.e.s. in heading no. 8536, for switching or protecting electrical circuits, for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18250472.883364383, "current_below_peak_pct": 97.46835724297515, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0929663371381506, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "distance_km": 7359, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 17613.846473, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7347.552382323007, "importer_population": 2397.24, "importer_biz_entry_days": 48, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 132725.261467, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3554.05047330835, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-BWA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-BWA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-BWA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-BWA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-BWA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }