{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.180Z", "seo": { "title": "Morocco exports to Belarus: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Morocco to Belarus, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MAR", "country_name": "Morocco" }, "importer": { "iso3": "BLR", "country_name": "Belarus" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "all_history_lane_count": 37, "current_lane_count": 20, "current_product_count": 20, "first_observed_last_year": 2000, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 38071937.78336594, "attention_trade_usd": 32235298.132986046, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1158302.2185779335, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 3958975.1795958034, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 33177849.37739934, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 7, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 9, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 8, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.767212786148408, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 30.2252024183516, "product_concentration_hhi": 7204.6779967079565, "top1_product_share_pct": 84.66944424108092, "top3_product_share_pct": 91.42131669940568, "top_product_hs6": "251020", "top_product_trade_usd": 32235298.132986046, "top_product_description": "Natural calcium phosphates, natural aluminium calcium phosphates and phosphatic chalk: ground", "top_attention_product_hs6": "251020", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 3470.514404296875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.534295208045977, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.745829931417626, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 8.623247981609195, "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.1225819498084313, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 68218.816484, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7304, "buyer_population_latest": 9340.314, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3542249002150193, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.9960922051038628, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.6172032922380555, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 32.812, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 30.426000000000005, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 84.66944424108092, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 68218.816484, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7304, "buyer_population_2024": 9340.314 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 1955909.3772170222, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 1475758.3264723772, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.54873709066373, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 1649794.3772347772, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.792991280517606, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 1570917.6174333005, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.78100549316226, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.0459691694451765 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 1381355.6530310346, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.066957700301838, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.1794525471544035 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 2143023.747526337, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.13917381262492, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.110292871433213 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 5426024.359515384, "yoy_growth_pct": 153.1947845085044, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.16205114556151 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 4640633.863246334, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.47451106428862, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.769690329720405 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 4711698.117532907, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.5313480093613885, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.03197467067551 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 3838620.9483106267, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.529989558826664, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.895870863155233 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 5659126.176688843, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.42602233699109, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.8375755581381314 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 4448144.066733747, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.398747300305686, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.9004242417386408 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 5114023.365930519, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.969823126383686, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.034572286619614 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 7512941.48130107, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.908626412465715, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.905698226346216 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 6356081.0082413545, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.398236176057289, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.634177749884046 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 9378630.73538854, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.55366904902751, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.40305094710624 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 41415149.29753682, "yoy_growth_pct": 341.5905739978051, "cagr_3y_pct": 76.6511253313698 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 24176200.00514386, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.62474259972848, "cagr_3y_pct": 56.0987907511729 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 14609558.879556213, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.57049132432804, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.92200623938924 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 5247787.548344585, "yoy_growth_pct": -64.07976728381553, "cagr_3y_pct": -49.77279582212789 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 181892143.7694854, "yoy_growth_pct": 3366.0729325230272, "cagr_3y_pct": 95.94851081245675 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 11511513.415278284, "yoy_growth_pct": -93.67124210165613, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.636912866832757 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 17232320.67771464, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.69639573927438, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.63548607097079 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 31100137.450815767, "yoy_growth_pct": 80.4756192300635, "cagr_3y_pct": -44.49704288559031 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 28685621.61243527, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.763682209440404, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.57427182029633 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 38616123.92817327, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.618396804875594, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.860418210247452 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 50605503.721760005, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.047600261194553, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.619270430348564 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 31872090.67525045, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.01852895192963, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5735262189781736 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 33193280.694920477, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.145288218246601, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.918979798076906 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 44789889.44035414, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.93661519033964, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.9875807713587785 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "251020", "hs_description": "Natural calcium phosphates, natural aluminium calcium phosphates and phosphatic chalk: ground", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 92951709.27370422, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.13313372652347, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7339442739740605, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "080522", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: clementines, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18633566.6350361, "current_below_peak_pct": 53.58021667722057, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6862073922498029, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "870421", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 50832749.532151386, "current_below_peak_pct": 75.02947921479036, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8509115507882608, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "070200", "hs_description": "Vegetables: tomatoes, fresh or chilled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36264267.6158387, "current_below_peak_pct": 94.84400396252633, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0622312505360774, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 172961979.33403563, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9786521978417903, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "740400", "hs_description": "Copper: waste and scrap", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 44136826.85850272, "current_below_peak_pct": 33.727461496253085, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.2424292198052708, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "870331", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity not exceeding 1500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 266418771.00678414, "current_below_peak_pct": 57.08807522219328, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6851015567125084, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "080521", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: mandarins (including tangerines and satsumas), fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16491658.828736953, "current_below_peak_pct": 40.04644421385934, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6917761285803569, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "620462", "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: women's or girls', of cotton (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22789118.839160617, "current_below_peak_pct": 36.6062954147492, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0139673283320987, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "640399", "hs_description": "Footwear: n.e.c. in heading no. 6403, (not covering the ankle), outer soles of rubber, plastics or composition leather, uppers of leather", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 75327777.17948836, "current_below_peak_pct": 43.51635336151843, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8333407385320009, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MAR", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "distance_km": 3561, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 68218.816484, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7303.696265885707, "importer_population": 9340.314, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 132725.261467, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3554.05047330835, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.534295208045977, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.745829931417626, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 8.623247981609195, "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.1225819498084313 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-BLR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-BLR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-BLR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-BLR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-BLR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }