{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.206Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Morocco exports to the United Arab Emirates: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Morocco to the United Arab Emirates, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "MAR",
    "country_name": "Morocco"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "ARE",
    "country_name": "United Arab Emirates"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
    "importer_iso3": "ARE",
    "all_history_lane_count": 250,
    "current_lane_count": 164,
    "current_product_count": 164,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1999,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 101798556.5754412,
    "attention_trade_usd": 19467179.70277372,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 64036083.99472734,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 13114997.25411945,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 32174634.591592178,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 9,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 117,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 64,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 72,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2616793092082308,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 28.615430533032672,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 507.98404202604706,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 18.64491728134075,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 29.20996290130579,
    "top_product_hs6": "710691",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 18980256.667089876,
    "top_product_description": "Metals: silver, unwrought, (but not powder)",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "081040",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 5957.76025390625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.5849999785423279,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.750516172387271,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.214629114545451,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.214629114545451,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3.8,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 358868.765175,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 36285,
    "buyer_population_latest": 9991.083,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.943547237156554,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.819807045643529,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0679101465127756,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.395999999999997,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 61.2,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 19.123237458034996,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 358868.765175,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 36285,
    "buyer_population_2024": 9991.083
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 3077132.5626022173,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 4697442.333333326,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 52.656482545583685,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 7503273.499999964,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 59.731040161074375,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 10045250.019056637,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.8782335344258,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 48.34452244706207
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 6185542.764570134,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.42320745789634,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.607124786987464
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 8974003.196000801,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.08028701058464,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.147999630066736
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 7050814.95212078,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.43066145482404,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.129111501623346
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 11421932.788265374,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.99450511504101,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.683812097479915
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 12857437.847972304,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.56796976761878,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.734299673490867
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 18087782.188331097,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40.679522640536426,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.89323949814849
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 28903130.571197316,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 59.793667738013134,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.27047242068573
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 25497858.862515938,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.78167084805276,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.636672748130707
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 37209177.71763617,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.9305972249179,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.18080933416216
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 38685968.86436781,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.968889498011352,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.205397248551208
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 51526105.19206149,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.19068050928471,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.42739833774368
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 206752448.7949354,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 301.2576693392096,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 77.11969803773488
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 772788912.6679103,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 273.77497445478406,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 171.3329072629528
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 211667218.87900355,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -72.60995656003115,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 60.155587876348626
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 105978637.59474641,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.93148294005434,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.969433694015848
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 76405910.30810627,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.90442296467691,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -53.759552976146985
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 93159808.14450002,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.927489337976304,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.933810569512104
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 109657562.29242392,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.709089870960515,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.1439907048563347
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 115893926.31179142,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.687126258321329,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.897675005981226
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 74058248.76032694,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.098248530223444,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.363611040742102
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 110476595.10484241,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.17527345586494,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.24834952700949486
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 90307575.05146396,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.25637370000227,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.978812201704477
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 112714896.76610658,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.812228322899,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.027750429536034
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 122809674.3068028,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.956027845763614,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.590699643942563
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 166078511.16931978,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.23243352508443,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.51701883678634
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 129669328.44181499,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.92287398963074,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.781669702552849
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "710691",
      "hs_description": "Metals: silver, unwrought, (but not powder)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1129015107.9024708,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 46.525660124314,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9596560819425808,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "081040",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: cranberries, bilberries and other fruits of the genus vaccinium, fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29030543.748267736,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 8.002111215599697,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.130109896670759,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "081020",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: raspberries, blackberries, mulberries and loganberries, fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28974510.309064925,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7461688651625795,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "081010",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: strawberries, fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 60709498.948924445,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 3.4286877038153323,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3144084283209094,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "620443",
      "hs_description": "Dresses: women's or girls', of synthetic fibres (not knitted or crocheted)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 179908145.15749505,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0674831416627595,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "070200",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables: tomatoes, fresh or chilled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 56816958.85058788,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 36.16620245934434,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2290589171781874,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "340220",
      "hs_description": "Washing and cleaning preparations: surface-active, whether or not containing soap (excluding those of heading no. 3401), put up for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 240011260.3243645,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 24.674941466663096,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8632495499721328,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "620640",
      "hs_description": "Blouses, shirts and shirt-blouses: women's or girls', of man-made fibres (not knitted or crocheted)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38872845.83512212,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 35.188966450633366,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1910127712182987,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "610910",
      "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of cotton, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 420674701.0060158,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9873396115479451,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "610510",
      "hs_description": "Shirts: men's or boys', of cotton, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 81081279.50988808,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 45.311546591698495,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.241640841606834,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "MAR",
    "importer_iso3": "ARE",
    "distance_km": 6084,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 358868.765175,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35918.90540545004,
    "importer_population": 9991.083,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 3.8,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 132725.261467,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3554.05047330835,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.750516172387271,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.214629114545451,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.214629114545451
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-ARE/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-ARE/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-ARE/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-ARE/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAR-ARE/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}