{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:12.430Z", "seo": { "title": "China, Macao SAR exports to Sweden: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from China, Macao SAR to Sweden, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MAC", "country_name": "China, Macao SAR" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SWE", "country_name": "Sweden" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "all_history_lane_count": 46, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 376216.35346196726, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 297836.3042649077, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 376216.35346196726, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0, "access_friction_trade_usd": 376216.35346196726, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0, "access_friction_lane_count": 2, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3790082622733983, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 60.32513584884928, "product_concentration_hhi": 6701.337962985099, "top1_product_share_pct": 79.16623015565347, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "940161", "top_product_trade_usd": 297836.3042649077, "top_product_description": "Seats: with wooden frames, upholstered, (excluding medical, surgical, dental, veterinary or barber furniture)", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 8201.037109375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222223, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222223, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 627437.8988869999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 60239, "buyer_population_latest": 10415.811, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.6041298879049046, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.033187461230712, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.559565412862506, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.328000000000003, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 28.238, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 627437.8988869999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 60239, "buyer_population_2024": 10415.811 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 11012498.819363814, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 14328307.572943455, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.109503828043938, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 15462021.084103992, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.9124035088509626, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 11236902.149326669, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.325786918768546, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6746761856225136 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 12998197.13269877, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.674204153122751, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.1953822146830846 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 17088803.176833544, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.470564743508046, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.390776142204177 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 12068916.83468525, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.37529498235142, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.4095753238774664 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 11215934.854114214, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.067593490408541, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.796966600289798 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 10500106.878773574, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.3822408444006, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.985300515716283 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 10825014.819340717, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.0943298417653198, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.5608438426482425 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 8751209.103773301, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.157532346858417, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.938610039012728 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 11834148.922835948, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.22872991040016, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.06733589299777 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 10217387.848528571, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.661828027088363, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.90720108153567 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 6861207.163000986, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.84773696841621, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.790112872985144 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 5435461.347193293, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.779810052901738, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.84457630578275 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 5108386.716871108, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.017421694868219, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.631538385905866 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 3599890.124621393, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.529804140859373, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.34532026173238 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 2884104.0028109984, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.883554692816496, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.042298673782742 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 4003839.5625665286, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.824382153493, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.799990341943497 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 4295689.233737648, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.289244901312664, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.0672241642304225 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 3671550.5590477106, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.529418696959118, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.379264292702459 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 2570109.8265818744, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.999334470598072, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.736911117383311 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 695611.1430087062, "yoy_growth_pct": -72.93457517596296, "cagr_3y_pct": -45.49396906823853 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 1107416.9829391548, "yoy_growth_pct": 59.20058125424459, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.936344515374984 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 3085349.9035718, "yoy_growth_pct": 178.6077828952095, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.279845365313053 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 1938274.0875578872, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.1781435449504, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.71796733994984 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 2276491.1910036765, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.44939508900536, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.150556386474967 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 2093958.5057784002, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.018159083883825, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.120438225977292 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 660989.4368174925, "yoy_growth_pct": -68.43349880174542, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.134981812206483 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 1098678.0648941728, "yoy_growth_pct": 66.21718951879888, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.560498206020984 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "hs_code": "940161", "hs_description": "Seats: with wooden frames, upholstered, (excluding medical, surgical, dental, veterinary or barber furniture)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 237482524.10335347, "current_below_peak_pct": 58.52955790253957, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5190510334992573, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "hs_code": "732393", "hs_description": "Steel, stainless: table, kitchen and other household articles and parts thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 55027151.16685244, "current_below_peak_pct": 67.14815146349778, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8468598157208722, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MAC", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "distance_km": 8212, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 627437.8988869999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 60238.98656446434, "importer_population": 10415.811, "importer_biz_entry_days": 7.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 29905.190182, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 45421.62663523651, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222223, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222223, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAC-SWE/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAC-SWE/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAC-SWE/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAC-SWE/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MAC-SWE/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }