{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.375Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Latvia exports to Lithuania: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Latvia to Lithuania, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "LVA",
    "country_name": "Latvia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LTU",
    "country_name": "Lithuania"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
    "importer_iso3": "LTU",
    "all_history_lane_count": 663,
    "current_lane_count": 647,
    "current_product_count": 647,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2009,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 2997540393.9054394,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1179299346.770139,
    "critical_trade_usd": 154498732.6833685,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1517898661.351033,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 465313657.8931484,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1218625012.7945833,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 110,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 348,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 250,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 216,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0558815462434505,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 20.991274719937135,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 208.53183808433013,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 7.582739276678259,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 18.25649229648743,
    "top_product_hs6": "851712",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 227295672.78296393,
    "top_product_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "040120",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 263.48968505859375,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.8608428835868835,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.2710719514421456,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 1.5242361690613024,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.5242361690613024,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 5.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 65503.849705,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 23433,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2795.321,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.014668841947326,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.425656534698645,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5432407108000303,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.136,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 21.744,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 39.34223369159179,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 5.1541835098367095,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 65503.849705,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 23433,
    "buyer_population_2024": 2795.321
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 114597997.45720956,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 149831985.36607674,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.745727404201297,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 177881449.57667622,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.720611718564406,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 204076786.46969494,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.726289309738938,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.210113932182573
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 197233637.7590266,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.3532224948497724,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.595355621481572
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 102139309.28267968,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.21405190149661,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.883467097313165
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 114716783.15377751,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.314038502344427,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.470138224585686
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 141710220.0972572,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.530503733961105,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.434642740684474
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 187468474.97087207,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.29001750347329,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.436745374946156
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 422328521.1566855,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 125.27975502137348,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.409666098162205
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 591024863.1982253,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.94434038684136,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 60.96626224231301
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 896844550.1254638,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.74396306651976,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 68.49860471868247
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 1294547350.9786215,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.34467498269585,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.26327890440931
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 1582052323.2495568,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.20891897492927,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.847595711375014
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 1163560195.0268722,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.452483402261695,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.066295115664612
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 1442163940.5726461,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.944076699816954,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.6650187745008056
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 2105150193.3927612,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.971628756496315,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.990222646137914
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 1979134140.0134366,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.986083737627823,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.37007266036277
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 2217677620.6277537,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.0529213150099,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.423594214964954
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 2531856335.5963616,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.167014720546888,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.345387375541245
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 2338655900.566419,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.630781901550332,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.721593056940488
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 2204054015.755132,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.755523280645369,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.20519360421147326
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 2286361832.225585,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.7343829090437763,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.342557261191259
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 2583884496.5448403,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.012929980100374,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.3797767418889624
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 2502726403.81269,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.1409334604807104,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.327078823411568
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 2551183741.2927094,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.9361819736347874,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.720736588202822
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 3564032136.6150303,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.70111516974082,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.315635938007041
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 4205762809.9494734,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.00574879057999,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.88958204747755
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 3845271779.971757,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.57135902017373,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.655554956923279
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 3603544570.9400697,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.286349128577406,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.3681907469876622
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "851712",
      "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 783207897.325395,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0588001576657327,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "040120",
      "hs_description": "Dairy produce: milk and cream, not concentrated, not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter, of a fat content exceeding 1% but not exceeding 6% (by weight)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 250776089.65069956,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 18.84656751473166,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8379627136142183,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "271600",
      "hs_description": "Electrical energy",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 822073974.3617569,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 80.98143882812398,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5724576238524952,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1211577080.5744069,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6733769395042303,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "852872",
      "hs_description": "Reception apparatus for television, whether or not incorporating radio-broadcast receivers or sound or video recording or reproducing apparatus: incorporating a colour video display or screen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 180384016.87191665,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 11.872859824543145,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8853869285224925,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "271121",
      "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: in gaseous state, natural gas",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 117833996.13308743,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 25.313715088752875,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0869099461862117,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "870322",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 216371925.11218002,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0422348355752138,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "870332",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 2500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 330518408.6026105,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 2.2707337326945884,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.848517772595227,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "382600",
      "hs_description": "Biodiesel and mixtures thereof: not containing or containing less than 70% by weight of petroleum oils or oils obtained from bituminous minerals",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 156529091.74927694,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 16.346373716531957,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5025972923489094,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "847130",
      "hs_description": "Data processing machines: portable, digital and automatic, weighing not more than 10kg, consisting of at least a central processing unit, a keyboard and a display",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 244004488.3255012,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 6.8425042048543,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9900388231404466,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "LVA",
    "importer_iso3": "LTU",
    "distance_km": 262,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": null,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 65503.84970499999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23433.3909075201,
    "importer_population": 2795.321,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 5.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 38872.546229,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 20642.167922356122,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.2710719514421456,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 1.5242361690613024,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.5242361690613024
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LVA-LTU/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LVA-LTU/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LVA-LTU/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LVA-LTU/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LVA-LTU/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}