{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:20.044Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Luxembourg exports to Uzbekistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Luxembourg to Uzbekistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "LUX",
    "country_name": "Luxembourg"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "UZB",
    "country_name": "Uzbekistan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
    "importer_iso3": "UZB",
    "all_history_lane_count": 33,
    "current_lane_count": 11,
    "current_product_count": 11,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2002,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 2131500.196647406,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1229052.946656561,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 83289.2973911707,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1859145.0350580872,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1947464.2286399563,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 2,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 5,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 6,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6391386219140972,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 56.26600763061476,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3795.4093963016085,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 57.66140432873118,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 83.18473648459081,
    "top_product_hs6": "848071",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 1229052.946656561,
    "top_product_description": "Moulds: for rubber or plastics, injection or compression types",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "848071",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 4863.99267578125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.711471084848485,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.711471084848485,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 69238.90310600001,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1983,
    "buyer_population_latest": 34915.1,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 11.30599251867368,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.14382231876436,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.98102847598145,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.586000000000002,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 26.401999999999997,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 57.66140432873118,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 69238.90310600001,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1983,
    "buyer_population_2024": 34915.1
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 180046,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 35811.14600572638,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -80.11000188522578,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 42059,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.446674265254035,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 371170,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 782.498395111629,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.271099653012286
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 1301503.9999999998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 250.6490287469353,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 231.2397356023884
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 1462289,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.353784544649905,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 226.38091589058592
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 3275026,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 123.96571402780161,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 106.63979473013589
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 2319011.4917898467,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.19105094769181,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.232519574284602
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 2554645.239193603,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.160956435014935,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.43862680301769
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 3210820,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.68555315389016,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.6578086290500496
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 8050070,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 150.71695081007346,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 51.41384405564098
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 1843032.9999999998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -77.10537920788268,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.312034824587645
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 320826.478411583,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -82.5924723859213,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -53.59642773795402
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 2045283.8952289156,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 537.5047051462675,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -36.663900536129034
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 2586827.8624896584,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.477691851190734,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.963931412480378
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 2109188.401500217,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.464292422215657,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 87.33333156295615
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 1861263.9967716099,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.754493081427164,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.093823318927691
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 3054878.723923978,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 64.12925459379812,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.700120217725724
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 172007.2686453695,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -94.36942398733174,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -56.63455489350538
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 4319547.586585757,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2411.258751216756,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.39657855546969
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 4919795.365350856,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.896079779955507,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.215313942238875
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 7019686.076229183,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.68248077282728,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 244.28938298210653
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 2280447.703307053,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -67.51353723595489,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.1784295886092
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 7612270.80179992,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 233.80597988547513,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.661564774262482
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 5623588.17678973,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.124696254105494,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.125047177619925
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 4340825.612303366,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.81039301172013,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.93217566040566
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "hs_code": "848071",
      "hs_description": "Moulds: for rubber or plastics, injection or compression types",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33439915.781563774,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 53.76804495190387,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6264860549312616,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "hs_code": "847710",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: injection-moulding machines, for working rubber or plastics or for the manufacture of products from these materials",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24265836.876943003,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 89.67541799309382,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5677981966206453,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "hs_code": "841939",
      "hs_description": "Dryers: for products n.e.c. in heading no. 8419, not used for domestic purposes",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11677747.82086111,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 65.2778821866316,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.700016454288761,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "hs_code": "841850",
      "hs_description": "Furniture incorporating refrigerating or freezing equipment: for storage and display, n.e.c. in item no. 8418.1, 8418.2, 8418.3 or 8418.4 (chests, cabinets, display counters, show-cases and the like)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43521284.39395831,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8340629409335917,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "hs_code": "901580",
      "hs_description": "Surveying equipment: articles n.e.c. in heading no. 9015, including hydrographic, oceanographic, hydrological, meteorological or geophysical instruments and appliances (excluding compasses)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20754682.6645963,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "hs_code": "391990",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: plates, sheets, film, foil, tape, strip, other flat shapes thereof, self-adhesive, other than in rolls of a width not exceeding 20cm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18688416.61051439,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 74.85375286104824,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2612849971775926,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "hs_code": "382200",
      "hs_description": "Reagents: diagnostic or laboratory reagents on a backing and prepared diagnostic or laboratory reagents whether or not on a backing, other than those of heading no. 3002 or 3006: certified reference material",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 41169843.45497629,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "hs_code": "842890",
      "hs_description": "Lifting machinery: handling, loading or unloading machinery n.e.s. in heading no. 8428",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23260293.466795698,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 76.63230404016932,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.96021096756667,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "hs_code": "853890",
      "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: parts suitable for use solely or principally with the apparatus of heading no. 8535, 8536 or 8537",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26806583.40959835,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 46.06071586470611,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2708673864572417,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "hs_code": "850152",
      "hs_description": "Electric motors: AC motors, multi-phase, of an output exceeding 750W but not exceeding 75kW",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12981047.509437136,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8050503482723288,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "LUX",
    "importer_iso3": "UZB",
    "distance_km": 4874,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 69238.90310600001,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1983.0647228849414,
    "importer_population": 34915.1,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 3,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 2.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 86710.803337,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 135682.79427449263,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.711471084848485,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.711471084848485,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LUX-UZB/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LUX-UZB/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LUX-UZB/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LUX-UZB/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LUX-UZB/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}