{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.418Z", "seo": { "title": "Luxembourg exports to the United States: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Luxembourg to the United States, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "LUX", "country_name": "Luxembourg" }, "importer": { "iso3": "USA", "country_name": "United States" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "all_history_lane_count": 218, "current_lane_count": 101, "current_product_count": 101, "first_observed_last_year": 1999, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 508372679.7459073, "attention_trade_usd": 122069986.20207776, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 151098092.41427112, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 57145419.30486255, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 80327.8647224039, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 112098892.87650253, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 14, "high_volatility_lane_count": 64, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 40, "declining_demand_lane_count": 1, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 26, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8343948978533177, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 31.67225636383602, "product_concentration_hhi": 694.4453738517742, "top1_product_share_pct": 16.197487855478208, "top3_product_share_pct": 37.550665350696356, "top_product_hs6": "721633", "top_product_trade_usd": 82343603.06241246, "top_product_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: H sections, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or extruded, of a height of 80mm or more", "top_attention_product_hs6": "730110", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 6062.7314453125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.661547118333333, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.661547118333333, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.2, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 22996100, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 69288, "buyer_population_latest": 331893.738, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.1023377268677015, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.47830267128826, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5916240968762754, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.094, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 17.618, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 24.01190918896158, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 22996100, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 69288, "buyer_population_2024": 331893.738 }, "history": [ { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 293884884.00618315, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 314205390.057022, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.914444109487206, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 292851633.8559226, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.796113904100787, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 289808267.26602477, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.0392178967302934, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.46453709644012076 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 250780627.2373929, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.466710386424928, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.24013288871157 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 285397239.8012447, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.803543337932211, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8557863886719419 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 382433700.92947114, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.00049040271176, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.685308734582376 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 523772751.6102977, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.9577917263344, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.825148416944657 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 477288907.60624355, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.87481142559311, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.698124686150685 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 533615819.87227935, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.801429148758814, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.743991428939783 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 444194149.5465749, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.757687271548182, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.345054235200541 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 450797353.3799499, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.4865580377669163, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.8854675147577327 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 557102574.6546183, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.5815983562508, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.4461313150995636 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 528875194.0468287, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.066819270273426, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.988835642029167 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 634043289.5817695, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.885238846280394, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.041569608652924 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 659129443.7244215, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.95653649440868, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.765781379974921 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 597924703.4859444, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.285693549454976, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.1752216225948935 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 485103505.62914795, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.86879689015033, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.538461846100454 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 288513393.4031596, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.52539508470952, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.072618584341253 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 527936361.28828895, "yoy_growth_pct": 82.98504449343436, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.064717375282035 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 579326270.62779, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.734110606455971, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.09533047410995 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 435275455.0923418, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.86523101728958, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.691896241661272 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 553088225.0331851, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.066256220638472, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5634892083059793 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 652665947.4033695, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.003949074166204, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.05331251353136 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 618652823.1466796, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.211413954107924, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.433122897072568 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 592324854.347568, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.255693632043666, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.3108865332406747 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "721633", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: H sections, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or extruded, of a height of 80mm or more", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 311109499.5002899, "current_below_peak_pct": 24.97397409498999, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5071982171335775, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "730110", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: sheet piling, whether or not drilled, punched or made from assembled elements", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 99504628.01937653, "current_below_peak_pct": 46.29511795285667, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4070397336708474, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "730890", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6923064195.391989, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7742458660590192, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "760711", "hs_description": "Aluminium: foil, (not backed), rolled (but not further worked), of a thickness not exceeding 0.2mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 845467228.493997, "current_below_peak_pct": 28.842942938975874, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.181149760145795, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "560312", "hs_description": "Nonwovens: whether or not impregnated, coated, covered or laminated, of man-made filaments, (weighing more than 25g/m2 but not more than 70g/m2)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 448847945.16140157, "current_below_peak_pct": 48.90468550754944, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5522710099584914, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "848180", "hs_description": "Taps, cocks, valves and similar appliances: for pipes, boiler shells, tanks, vats or the like, including thermostatically controlled valves", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 9778041981.629347, "current_below_peak_pct": 36.38946347064, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.24211820792339164, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "721632", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: I sections, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or extruded, of a height of 80mm or more", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 132110296.21382932, "current_below_peak_pct": 48.27557154737791, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8301673601108116, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "848110", "hs_description": "Valves: pressure reducing, for pipes, boiler shells, tanks, vats or the like", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 541157874.5089734, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 3.024214111860388, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "871639", "hs_description": "Trailers and semi-trailers: (other than tanker type)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2897760374.177903, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0548275373984075, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "400821", "hs_description": "Rubber: vulcanised (other than hard rubber), in plates, sheets and strip, of non-cellular rubber", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 329909699.2754218, "current_below_peak_pct": 4.334908146472919, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0161914277036468, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "USA", "distance_km": 6074, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 22996100, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 69287.53804930179, "importer_population": 331893.738, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4.2, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 86710.803337, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 135682.79427449263, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.661547118333333, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.661547118333333, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LUX-USA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LUX-USA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LUX-USA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LUX-USA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LUX-USA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }