{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:21.742Z", "seo": { "title": "Luxembourg exports to Pakistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Luxembourg to Pakistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "LUX", "country_name": "Luxembourg" }, "importer": { "iso3": "PAK", "country_name": "Pakistan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "all_history_lane_count": 36, "current_lane_count": 12, "current_product_count": 12, "first_observed_last_year": 2003, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 2669133.5197276454, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 463157.8592752033, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 901353.1260704427, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 996453.4648465285, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 4, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 6, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 7, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0595329302683325, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 49.691920462136814, "product_concentration_hhi": 2922.1946592909094, "top1_product_share_pct": 49.64094421503022, "top3_product_share_pct": 73.39012707073354, "top_product_hs6": "847790", "top_product_trade_usd": 1324983.0815526731, "top_product_description": "Machinery: parts of those for working rubber or plastics", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 5645.36962890625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 18.082929503535354, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 18.082929503535354, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 346343.170486, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1538, "buyer_population_latest": 225199.936, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.97495743635785, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2398006628906222, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.713907734019493, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 16.71, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 7.442, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 346343.170486, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1538, "buyer_population_2024": 225199.936 }, "history": [ { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 2549147.7165728165, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 2606120.8411604334, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.2349871769774987, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 1638745.205264361, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.119369931646254, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 2185087.9679553825, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.339091454603874, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.00706468700769 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 3228089.9898289037, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.73272459366809, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.3949090621142854 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 3284804.493444006, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.756905903918371, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.085757138637188 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 8625738.609477358, "yoy_growth_pct": 162.59519026758161, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.04319079638678 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 3632925.9434058457, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.882726246605245, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.0168355389594845 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 4605716.656935007, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.777058731265413, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.925548201680925 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 1375233.7734676893, "yoy_growth_pct": -70.1407212839082, "cagr_3y_pct": -45.775767704382474 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 1801616.1043991905, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.004352798605762, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.846783061311346 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 7831315.171272053, "yoy_growth_pct": 334.6827913088437, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.356432253595134 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 3047246.9222563375, "yoy_growth_pct": -61.088950506874205, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.36981199581328 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 10119677.704458522, "yoy_growth_pct": 232.09247437570286, "cagr_3y_pct": 77.76031394760406 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 11420033.05060283, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.849770359498681, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.399433788695326 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 15036007.079203863, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.663428753475962, "cagr_3y_pct": 70.24523220687632 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 12285714.346935429, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.29137694456352, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.678748161549897 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 7553694.296364057, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.51644208016065, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.870742191181927 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 3242962.8886745116, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.06785631719966, "cagr_3y_pct": -40.02966349445273 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 8042270.298891484, "yoy_growth_pct": 147.9914379217143, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.172076011604428 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 10446108.358537177, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.890043113535093, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.411932480971142 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 4775336.367596928, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.285977096013546, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.768141373430609 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 16139634.05220127, "yoy_growth_pct": 237.97899896050984, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.135792236663335 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 6827585.425824212, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.69677674387541, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.216424590540543 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 6291708.361262451, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.848705378842935, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.628011964879658 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 5170523.259984776, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.820042457478202, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.57518935058513 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "847790", "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of those for working rubber or plastics", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15780979.049136434, "current_below_peak_pct": 47.90931549009093, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9641943149550112, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "847780", "hs_description": "Machinery: for working rubber or plastics n.e.s. in heading no. 8477", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43180994.167068295, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9676641109629428, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "392020", "hs_description": "Plastics: of polymers of propylene, plates, sheets, film, foil and strip (not self-adhesive), non-cellular and not reinforced, laminated, supported or similarly combined with other materials", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10100663.505879844, "current_below_peak_pct": 79.09017451112383, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.149123232950916, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "560312", "hs_description": "Nonwovens: whether or not impregnated, coated, covered or laminated, of man-made filaments, (weighing more than 25g/m2 but not more than 70g/m2)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10139475.696633616, "current_below_peak_pct": 58.55020824126458, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5143752729382319, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "848071", "hs_description": "Moulds: for rubber or plastics, injection or compression types", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21784746.75684581, "current_below_peak_pct": 92.81388316807451, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9387490447434581, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "841869", "hs_description": "Refrigerating or freezing equipment: heat pumps, other than compression type units whose condensers are heat exchangers", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18632922.744723547, "current_below_peak_pct": 84.87618457101699, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.224140246957894, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "320890", "hs_description": "Paints and varnishes: based on polymers n.e.s. in heading no. 3208, dispersed or dissolved in a non-aqueous medium", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19179472.167177085, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7226439096198859, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "392099", "hs_description": "Plastics: plates, sheets, film, foil and strip (not self-adhesive), of plastics n.e.c. in heading no. 3920, non-cellular and not reinforced, laminated, supported or similarly combined with other materials", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11716467.743131697, "current_below_peak_pct": 68.52950948796024, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.454912309540336, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "842199", "hs_description": "Machinery: parts for filtering or purifying liquids or gases", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22209187.303903144, "current_below_peak_pct": 29.66156601324809, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9055763129358623, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "481141", "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: self-adhesive, in rolls or sheets, other than goods of heading no. 4803, 4809, 4810 or 4818", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22553447.579626888, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4015860950685415, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "distance_km": 5867, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 346343.170486, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1537.9363628504764, "importer_population": 225199.936, "importer_biz_entry_days": 16.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 86710.803337, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 135682.79427449263, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 18.082929503535354, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 18.082929503535354, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LUX-PAK/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LUX-PAK/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LUX-PAK/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LUX-PAK/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LUX-PAK/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }