{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:20.036Z", "seo": { "title": "Luxembourg exports to Kenya: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Luxembourg to Kenya, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "LUX", "country_name": "Luxembourg" }, "importer": { "iso3": "KEN", "country_name": "Kenya" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "all_history_lane_count": 23, "current_lane_count": 6, "current_product_count": 6, "first_observed_last_year": 1999, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1803240.549660249, "attention_trade_usd": 1603985.4604284358, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1708924.1713439538, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 20797.24819609891, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1661652.0701207654, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 4, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3876215168248986, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 28.77221955078542, "product_concentration_hhi": 7943.729172708648, "top1_product_share_pct": 88.95016589609439, "top3_product_share_pct": 95.85056365473523, "top_product_hs6": "847710", "top_product_trade_usd": 1603985.4604284358, "top_product_description": "Machinery: injection-moulding machines, for working rubber or plastics or for the manufacture of products from these materials", "top_attention_product_hs6": "847710", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 6377.83984375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 15.800892595454547, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 15.800892595454547, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 23, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 110347.079517, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2007.0000000000002, "buyer_population_latest": 54985.703, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.6939927181435905, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6964619039059992, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9642087608958247, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.871999999999996, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 6.416000000000001, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 88.95016589609439, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 110347.079517, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2007.0000000000002, "buyer_population_2024": 54985.703 }, "history": [ { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2232797.6072176513, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2325658.5208084234, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.158948992537148, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 692816.4269049644, "yoy_growth_pct": -70.20988160101277, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 371024.7923118837, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.44688291105167, "cagr_3y_pct": -45.02255861444409 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 813917.1689966355, "yoy_growth_pct": 119.37002212845553, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.528839910761285 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 779073.364636538, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.281001272285678, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.9888383513144277 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 816768.3574703494, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.838439426227503, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.086428756802587 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 574845.9642106257, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.619461998869856, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.945249278367253 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 697057.4596602706, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.259868392303115, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.640011202803506 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 1429155.8674914967, "yoy_growth_pct": 105.02698130338261, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.501808284980385 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 918670.747267567, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.71934537273046, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.914793511827654 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2090635.4184134556, "yoy_growth_pct": 127.57178506354995, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.212611524624926 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2195020.7332340083, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.992994660913608, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.377115386220929 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 4124448.7180168913, "yoy_growth_pct": 87.90021686675291, "cagr_3y_pct": 64.96887275242729 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 3056496.6391322385, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.893207841802024, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.496344238511671 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2923195.4028097806, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.361242692558731, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.020362973402008 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 9355179.355448842, "yoy_growth_pct": 220.03263779276017, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.38992659485624 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 5468804.658686109, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.542492656745786, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.40115803961924 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 3365976.389803111, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.45133260598499, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.8136245273140865 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 9049740.779937742, "yoy_growth_pct": 168.85930654038535, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.1003684153843118 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2304702.9359518155, "yoy_growth_pct": -74.53293976042848, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.026546761151746 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 3040688.977639614, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.93409572257282, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.331055172081565 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 3100776.512346221, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.9761157799588869, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.024698977706965 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 1965531.9473676486, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.611621652138446, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.167969255116811 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2730732.9075130834, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.93098563827646, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.520345096645472 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 4542123.7138897, "yoy_growth_pct": 66.33350341195674, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.5697921801351 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "847710", "hs_description": "Machinery: injection-moulding machines, for working rubber or plastics or for the manufacture of products from these materials", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12841543.401770234, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.20568736087497, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4164701496491938, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "392020", "hs_description": "Plastics: of polymers of propylene, plates, sheets, film, foil and strip (not self-adhesive), non-cellular and not reinforced, laminated, supported or similarly combined with other materials", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29873122.786883336, "current_below_peak_pct": 18.970489892108155, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8540777462225785, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "853710", "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30147284.924840994, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8357000293426706, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "870193", "hs_description": "Tractors: n.e.c. in heading no 8701 (other than tractors of heading no 8709): of an engine power exceeding 37kW but not exceeding 75kW", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20114695.326985, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3516338709270501, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "841869", "hs_description": "Refrigerating or freezing equipment: heat pumps, other than compression type units whose condensers are heat exchangers", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10474777.296095947, "current_below_peak_pct": 94.72464217242714, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1916350889761174, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "902750", "hs_description": "Instruments and apparatus: using optical radiations (UV, visible, IR), (other than spectrometers, spectrophotometers and spectrographs)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11262130.545218697, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.17043960250298, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LUX", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "distance_km": 6358, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 110347.079517, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2006.832203582084, "importer_population": 54985.703, "importer_biz_entry_days": 23, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 22.4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 86710.803337, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 135682.79427449263, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 15.800892595454547, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 15.800892595454547, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LUX-KEN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LUX-KEN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LUX-KEN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LUX-KEN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LUX-KEN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }