{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:19.946Z", "seo": { "title": "Lithuania exports to Zambia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Lithuania to Zambia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "LTU", "country_name": "Lithuania" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ZMB", "country_name": "Zambia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "all_history_lane_count": 11, "current_lane_count": 4, "current_product_count": 4, "first_observed_last_year": 2011, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 13775640.512361802, "attention_trade_usd": 13762191.67064451, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1049847.638086398, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 12712344.032558113, "access_friction_trade_usd": 13775640.512361802, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 13775640.512361802, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 4, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.14994341919744822, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0, "product_concentration_hhi": 7303.642991393915, "top1_product_share_pct": 84.79057600127408, "top3_product_share_pct": 99.90237229473851, "top_product_hs6": "100119", "top_product_trade_usd": 11680444.938296435, "top_product_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, durum wheat, other than seed", "top_attention_product_hs6": "100119", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 7812.64306640625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.05119999870657921, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.733624088888885, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.733624088888885, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 21203.05908, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1121, "buyer_population_latest": 18920.656, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6556563915409939, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -1.1688252989154657, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.8578853777657898, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 36.05800000000001, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 34.70399999999999, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened", "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.90237229473851, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 21203.05908, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1121, "buyer_population_2024": 18920.656 }, "history": [ { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 10336.081064527827, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 13392.534858577574, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.57072196868815, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 47219.50876746534, "yoy_growth_pct": 252.58081659740807, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 10050.638328491705, "yoy_growth_pct": -78.71507224273226, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9291445985004199 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 13028.999270634768, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.633550077112613, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9131342206493143 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 268766.1455085236, "yoy_growth_pct": 1962.8303058875638, "cagr_3y_pct": 78.54637316548616 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 1015236.5527630536, "yoy_growth_pct": 277.73974502709694, "cagr_3y_pct": 365.7196190301278 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 61072.81567077349, "yoy_growth_pct": -93.98437580832186, "cagr_3y_pct": 67.35767264639662 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 748124.499545695, "yoy_growth_pct": 1124.9713580893756, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.669444170534085 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 57318.47346696396, "yoy_growth_pct": -92.33837770293967, "cagr_3y_pct": -61.63730374039231 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 130672.56620675606, "yoy_growth_pct": 127.97635439832575, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.858229247085077 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 159791.70951796934, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.284052541785737, "cagr_3y_pct": -40.224008480199494 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 147162.98794138373, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.903239545206475, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.930857283020146 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 2281927.145728607, "yoy_growth_pct": 1450.6121326087223, "cagr_3y_pct": 159.44130382867843 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 1188727.5404691997, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.9068583458371, "cagr_3y_pct": 95.21328086320932 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 684734.6366949899, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.39768042854295, "cagr_3y_pct": 66.94544211870512 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 880405.3681314758, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.576140441928022, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.200739278343235 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 797949.6435306116, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.365654457089878, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.44161949962528 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 1338897.7395582593, "yoy_growth_pct": 67.79225987672181, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.04750679846439 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 3346748.101434688, "yoy_growth_pct": 149.96293611929437, "cagr_3y_pct": 56.06785013333142 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 12194791.289090097, "yoy_growth_pct": 264.37732746789095, "cagr_3y_pct": 148.16067529422406 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 13943109.862799527, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.336601031241415, "cagr_3y_pct": 118.37558445742941 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "100119", "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, durum wheat, other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43163621.68375066, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.06942801909155928, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "630900", "hs_description": "Clothing: worn, and other worn articles", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13515681.473925523, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1772290702387394, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "100199", "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30515833.086553067, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.009580347311742742, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "847150", "hs_description": "Digital processing units: other than those of subheadings 8471.41 or 8471.49, whether or not containing in the same housing one or two of the following types of unit: storage units, input units or output units", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10516798.581148088, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6557721088082986, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "distance_km": 7773, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 21203.05908, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1120.6302297341065, "importer_population": 18920.656, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 34, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 65503.84970499999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23433.3909075201, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.733624088888885, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.733624088888885, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-ZMB/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-ZMB/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-ZMB/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-ZMB/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-ZMB/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }