{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:21.702Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Lithuania exports to Serbia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Lithuania to Serbia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "LTU",
    "country_name": "Lithuania"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "SRB",
    "country_name": "Serbia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
    "importer_iso3": "SRB",
    "all_history_lane_count": 149,
    "current_lane_count": 109,
    "current_product_count": 109,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2008,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 34720340.77699578,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 28025574.279380243,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2323921.982644224,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1923142.6324039008,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 74,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 23,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 18,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2606550755632848,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 16.907381690497896,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 844.3964446221919,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 18.902672191429662,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 43.97665354212936,
    "top_product_hs6": "560122",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 6563072.200822794,
    "top_product_description": "Wadding: other articles thereof, of man-made fibres",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": null,
    "shares_land_border": null,
    "shares_official_language": null,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": null,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.1206858120000005,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.2478250977777785,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.5056420136691853,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.742183084108593,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null,
    "buyer_population_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 10.836286255256834,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 12.018236663180426,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -1.0551410583952703,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null,
    "buyer_population_2024": null
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 3497765.270638038,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 4953151.277215771,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.6090244475511,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 7460651.7173691,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.62434599338195,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 4468777.397614665,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.10205050570943,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.509064719312786
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 5036064.260740571,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.694453373952141,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5548965690682195
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 10376862.306773843,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 106.05103051738838,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.62541739841394
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 14986436.778434016,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.42165979836814,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 49.68210705884366
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 21745163.026694845,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.098954128888494,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 62.83851566101766
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 16944235.551929913,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.078139717192315,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.756613825274293
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 13947242.192767888,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.687391974556643,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.3669959627067305
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 16634212.434888095,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.265244017297476,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.543791714622117
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 18610841.158968434,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.882911390109573,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1766305021406316
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 18922070.794971626,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.6723028977828402,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.703182672868405
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 30116060.11860558,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 59.15837354656055,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.879866717904008
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 46765816.65482901,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.285307808033224,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.95259660090748
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 32326041.903527714,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.87677236105798,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.544047547731026
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 47793524.110329084,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.84836403096235,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.642539529997215
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 50687718.156230845,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.0556196676785135,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.7207242219561056
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 49585392.190265045,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.174739771414025,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.327729061063788
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "hs_code": "560122",
      "hs_description": "Wadding: other articles thereof, of man-made fibres",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34463384.273985215,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 46.40168696571029,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1681840170710398,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "hs_code": "210690",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 255773461.20500118,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0695465016225738,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "hs_code": "240220",
      "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 128412578.19860478,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3280727412667044,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "hs_code": "230910",
      "hs_description": "Dog or cat food: put up for retail sale, used in animal feeding",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 77405410.497422,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4407849728516717,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 780795065.3324084,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 14.950832541646134,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8717088027148856,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "hs_code": "870899",
      "hs_description": "Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 131154855.33555837,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.478407917260468,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "hs_code": "190190",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: of flour, meal, starch, malt extract or milk products, for uses n.e.s. in heading no. 1901",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33556134.48038628,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 13.656767628613684,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.682834777138079,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "hs_code": "441875",
      "hs_description": "Wood: assembled flooring panels, not of bamboo or with at least the top layer (wear layer) of bamboo, multilayer",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15777020.61053426,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3081018108640234,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "hs_code": "391732",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: tubes, pipes and hoses thereof, other than those of item no. 3917.31, not reinforced or otherwise combined with other materials, without fittings",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 46230071.62378001,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7830050653258926,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "hs_code": "081190",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: fruit and nuts n.e.s. in heading no. 0811, uncooked or cooked, frozen whether or not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31213852.707745366,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8692211503131441,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
    "importer_iso3": "SRB",
    "distance_km": 1151,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": null,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494,
    "importer_population": 6844.078,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 2.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 65503.84970499999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23433.3909075201,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.1206858120000005,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.2478250977777785,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.5056420136691853,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.742183084108593
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-SRB/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-SRB/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-SRB/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-SRB/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-SRB/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}