{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:20.004Z", "seo": { "title": "Lithuania exports to Pakistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Lithuania to Pakistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "LTU", "country_name": "Lithuania" }, "importer": { "iso3": "PAK", "country_name": "Pakistan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "all_history_lane_count": 43, "current_lane_count": 18, "current_product_count": 18, "first_observed_last_year": 1999, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 17044390.88453039, "attention_trade_usd": 3361213.1332714087, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 7717210.430312534, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 414879.22019524884, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 8404976.788377848, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 9, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 5, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9672262913285312, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 9.647192402119645, "product_concentration_hhi": 1653.4987852269878, "top1_product_share_pct": 26.520239011560758, "top3_product_share_pct": 62.79067880771241, "top_product_hs6": "071310", "top_product_trade_usd": 4520213.200642135, "top_product_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: peas (pisum sativum), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "top_attention_product_hs6": "720429", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 4358.06982421875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.03200000151991844, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 26.83762977662835, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 26.83762977662835, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 346343.170486, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1538, "buyer_population_latest": 225199.936, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.97495743635785, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2398006628906222, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.713907734019493, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 16.71, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 7.442, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 19.720347626632226, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 346343.170486, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1538, "buyer_population_2024": 225199.936 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 736597.9999999999, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 2486398, "yoy_growth_pct": 237.55155457929567, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 1102358.0921702653, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.664455482579015, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 4449078.707209981, "yoy_growth_pct": 303.5965026982173, "cagr_3y_pct": 82.11533532144857 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 6666712.17435521, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.84477940458616, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.924983082044264 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 8423035.109810567, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.344664199114387, "cagr_3y_pct": 96.96178530847159 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 9145906.01003133, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.582071554929339, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.15073697482282 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 9603013.722013183, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.9979489345341355, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.935882011582112 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 5525360.66177395, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.462222571773964, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.111158491354358 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 16061962.749203904, "yoy_growth_pct": 190.69528185418244, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.649064876199752 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 21171663.2321858, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.812428921460146, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.15148947308719 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 23424337.352568034, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.640043229847196, "cagr_3y_pct": 61.846095853125526 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 39883559.78669884, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.26547725298349, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.4144779910788 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 5659059.570799625, "yoy_growth_pct": -85.81104695502401, "cagr_3y_pct": -35.58360304920812 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 50190430.758329034, "yoy_growth_pct": 786.9040894587566, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.919279494997618 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 2348638.2751808404, "yoy_growth_pct": -95.32054569029359, "cagr_3y_pct": -61.09482199587747 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 25759121.461664706, "yoy_growth_pct": 996.7683586643969, "cagr_3y_pct": 65.72788721132206 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 15837987.684080994, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.51503162617003, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.91893210790647 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 23740993.194421403, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.899050737890406, "cagr_3y_pct": 116.21919682842194 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 7326628.052748566, "yoy_growth_pct": -69.13933636748543, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.235574207831554 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 7440887.73086727, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.5595124700760632, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.260528528765644 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 10154351.198775118, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.466931985164905, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.65557917777955 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 6805077.343342709, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.983632236754026, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.4314972866918527 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 6356453.27658567, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.592490343932978, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.115187794892151 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 10115103.327568967, "yoy_growth_pct": 59.13124642681606, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.12900396200633546 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 13136734.731582783, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.872471947748515, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.51398181821165 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 16281592.030804977, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.939413891501204, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.823491848837264 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 16550782.860505274, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.6533446433922627, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.837288104902772 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 16618143.987298464, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.4069966198029906, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.151287954934627 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 20764411.38122621, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.95024352356563, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.444513644788088 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "071310", "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: peas (pisum sativum), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 148726825.79161683, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8905979970443954, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "720429", "hs_description": "Ferrous waste and scrap: of alloy steel (excluding stainless)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 140334047.40905714, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6754497617163662, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "630900", "hs_description": "Clothing: worn, and other worn articles", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 366727867.5432447, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0294611274335783, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "720449", "hs_description": "Ferrous waste and scrap: n.e.s. in heading no. 7204", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 953590624.4340684, "current_below_peak_pct": 35.21502911911239, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1332574421826587, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "720441", "hs_description": "Ferrous waste and scrap: turnings, shavings, chips, milling waste, sawdust, fillings, trimmings and stampings, whether or not in bundles", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 250942861.44168767, "current_below_peak_pct": 19.29822101019435, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3016112089825023, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "854231", "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25564873.583466005, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9900816104878821, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "901890", "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 91942121.4593711, "current_below_peak_pct": 23.689067291579217, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4803624796524915, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "852691", "hs_description": "Radio navigational aid apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11392459.180520512, "current_below_peak_pct": 74.4815136006644, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1323484065529337, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "760200", "hs_description": "Aluminium: waste and scrap", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 149603477.06851515, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.686457248400496, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "170211", "hs_description": "Sugars: lactose and lactose syrup, containing by weight 99% or more lactose, expressed as anhydrous lactose, calculated on the dry matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20227916.246709377, "current_below_peak_pct": 49.394738648920296, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7059425995196235, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "distance_km": 4755, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 346343.170486, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1537.9363628504764, "importer_population": 225199.936, "importer_biz_entry_days": 16.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 65503.84970499999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23433.3909075201, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 26.83762977662835, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 26.83762977662835, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-PAK/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-PAK/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-PAK/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-PAK/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-PAK/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }