{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.424Z", "seo": { "title": "Lithuania exports to Luxembourg: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Lithuania to Luxembourg, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "LTU", "country_name": "Lithuania" }, "importer": { "iso3": "LUX", "country_name": "Luxembourg" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "all_history_lane_count": 55, "current_lane_count": 38, "current_product_count": 38, "first_observed_last_year": 2008, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 77230586.23050448, "attention_trade_usd": 71702563.72350797, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 75522627.1882014, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 13094691.967173671, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 60203556.47690473, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 4, "high_volatility_lane_count": 30, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 9, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 22, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2908450947822074, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 11.384909523580061, "product_concentration_hhi": 3253.2755318526224, "top1_product_share_pct": 46.904607834412104, "top3_product_share_pct": 91.25966131783827, "top_product_hs6": "240220", "top_product_trade_usd": 36224703.5996356, "top_product_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco", "top_attention_product_hs6": "240220", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 1420.3526611328125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.592136693939394, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 1.0591900595959596, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.5829155073232324, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.4762745522727272, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 86710.80333699999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 135683, "buyer_population_latest": 639.07, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.9490070751361035, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.101286267407822, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.7749260109831688, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.124, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 54.153999999999996, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 92.84218497254776, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 86710.80333699999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 135683, "buyer_population_2024": 639.07 }, "history": [ { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 302996.428746093, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 201145.84482273334, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.61445029066963, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 456638.60829474847, "yoy_growth_pct": 127.01866334707378, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 913934.6263002869, "yoy_growth_pct": 100.14396717641657, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.48603524325241 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 1727546.7785638464, "yoy_growth_pct": 89.02301421242302, "cagr_3y_pct": 104.78882310144995 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 1258232.9782170714, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.16648869774325, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.19401662586382 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 1273304.2886356707, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.1978155619442932, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.687788073898343 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 4639625.7146772705, "yoy_growth_pct": 264.3768230489957, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.00093137540133 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 26272539.685236696, "yoy_growth_pct": 466.26420536735463, "cagr_3y_pct": 175.36812300232637 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 40844986.99923493, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.46645847179714, "cagr_3y_pct": 217.73777750851636 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 11246157.708972692, "yoy_growth_pct": -72.46624730426932, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.330224601217886 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 7756176.863257599, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.03265075974019, "cagr_3y_pct": -33.41416008367059 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 4651779.872668489, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.02483498403957, "cagr_3y_pct": -51.52771819564769 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 4559548.543109446, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.9827105341107765, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.98736070887583 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 6461348.797899746, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.71027541014711, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.906744661098717 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 7899933.8046865165, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.264469103639485, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.307597117116316 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 5404549.126523695, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.587412500627188, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.830912734368532 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 8973661.81120543, "yoy_growth_pct": 66.03904601709955, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.570360793642354 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 15312385.033922233, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.6369746941168, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.68277595922894 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 17739825.827041596, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.8527935899061, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.61522188212886 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 17617736.962137662, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.688219073255103, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.216090779575296 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 24606323.93052702, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.66790390507335, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.12995200321792 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 61922918.45101896, "yoy_growth_pct": 151.65448778879295, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.69363383766101 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 53905107.4116511, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.948050963893042, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.17547802706283 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 71505813.13091344, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.651276593983944, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.70248553187055 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 85177134.92783928, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.11917534857799, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.213421914674138 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "240220", "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 171904346.9269001, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.414445064225886, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "854320", "hs_description": "Electrical machines and apparatus: signal generators, having individual functions n.e.s. in chapter 85", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22384062.73159978, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0387203142244814, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "390761", "hs_description": "Poly(ethylene terephthalate): in primary forms, having a viscosity of 78ml/g or higher", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 119522560.91655034, "current_below_peak_pct": 65.71160278189161, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2058301263541966, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "851712", "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 139671565.44607595, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.708599019911706, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "180690", "hs_description": "Chocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa: n.e.c. in chapter 18", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 48158523.13938256, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.659769554902947, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "940330", "hs_description": "Furniture: wooden, for office use", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15534222.451291919, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.848330634887565, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "940161", "hs_description": "Seats: with wooden frames, upholstered, (excluding medical, surgical, dental, veterinary or barber furniture)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23600806.80025904, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0969293422197204, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "852691", "hs_description": "Radio navigational aid apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16490068.37555349, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9912503903986547, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "940390", "hs_description": "Furniture: parts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16569436.558485769, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3369813534568022, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "940171", "hs_description": "Seats: with metal frames, upholstered, (excluding medical, surgical, dental, veterinary or barber furniture)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10204844.463443073, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5130111919606617, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "distance_km": 1421, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 86710.803337, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 135682.79427449263, "importer_population": 639.07, "importer_biz_entry_days": 16.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 65503.84970499999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23433.3909075201, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.592136693939394, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 1.0591900595959596, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.5829155073232324, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.4762745522727272 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-LUX/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-LUX/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-LUX/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-LUX/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-LUX/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }