{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.436Z", "seo": { "title": "Lithuania exports to Japan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Lithuania to Japan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "LTU", "country_name": "Lithuania" }, "importer": { "iso3": "JPN", "country_name": "Japan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "all_history_lane_count": 128, "current_lane_count": 91, "current_product_count": 91, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 97979272.71026641, "attention_trade_usd": 49689390.75525336, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 39168056.89484455, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 16469514.119583556, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 2440144.6532312226, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 40611395.41838015, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 97979272.71026641, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 11, "high_volatility_lane_count": 27, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 29, "declining_demand_lane_count": 4, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 40, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0563713435168287, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 21.29701458194531, "product_concentration_hhi": 779.8960956754936, "top1_product_share_pct": 18.68857928186286, "top3_product_share_pct": 38.675629901142294, "top_product_hs6": "382200", "top_product_trade_usd": 18310934.06025076, "top_product_description": "Reagents: diagnostic or laboratory reagents on a backing and prepared diagnostic or laboratory reagents whether or not on a backing, other than those of heading no. 3002 or 3006: certified reference material", "top_attention_product_hs6": "382200", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 8197.2138671875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.03839999809861183, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.009523712385058, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.1693676000306508, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.4889549171530174, "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.6804126828776336, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11.1, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4937421.880462, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 39285, "buyer_population_latest": 125681.595, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -4.67885267787802, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -4.27363742210356, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.4233058113377264, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.977999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.869999999999997, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 50.7141861546466, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4937421.880462, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 39285, "buyer_population_2024": 125681.595 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 26447114.284511235, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 18879043.86403003, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.615864623511868, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 14553467.318499885, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.912053050375093, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 12733422.148502316, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.505921304979939, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.6229436361148 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 11878708.218372503, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.712366245003065, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.310079535240384 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 11785886.402227493, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.7814133863600192, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.789409641892819 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 21411591.122037463, "yoy_growth_pct": 81.67145339183605, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.914441739771593 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 16077238.050479712, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.913389393408846, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.615013290441633 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 32612264.42759207, "yoy_growth_pct": 102.84743141325188, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.39109715530154 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 17440072.513692476, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.52296361568485, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.610127684061096 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 17223700.00339992, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.2406629050577545, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.32262429388177 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 17968427.838106524, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.32385512148723, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.01966129882382 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 19015756.85392944, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.8287181564198765, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.925213473910304 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 24231471.999953907, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.428385764969864, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.051527580174515 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 23766045.13064631, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.9207535939561593, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.769649939048207 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 23610500.426346447, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.6544829122590912, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.480709712066003 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 39765606.470648974, "yoy_growth_pct": 68.42339532234307, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.953076016790703 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 95769449.1192553, "yoy_growth_pct": 140.83487621380252, "cagr_3y_pct": 59.131695691328346 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 75254697.85791853, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.420976574472228, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.16667398205616 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 73704283.52231243, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.0602226568410265, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.83676567170676 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 183273296.02780944, "yoy_growth_pct": 148.66030476007177, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.153052075787194 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 303497201.8457786, "yoy_growth_pct": 65.59815773691693, "cagr_3y_pct": 59.1745723189794 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 298269010.2531437, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.7226490263628658, "cagr_3y_pct": 59.357240766918615 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 430843283.3347399, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.447887150287315, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.96582896816851 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 298213044.2619947, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.783870656212432, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5837643068557496 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 157034658.24727935, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.3414522708414, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.252492241939446 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 113149510.08157355, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.94615447030855, "cagr_3y_pct": -35.961013454726775 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 128842873.77088635, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.869581651744568, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.401834717322423 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 100530299.33670144, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.97449777822519, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.814576371225062 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 129186264.83917038, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.504804712152353, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.517229216876251 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "382200", "hs_description": "Reagents: diagnostic or laboratory reagents on a backing and prepared diagnostic or laboratory reagents whether or not on a backing, other than those of heading no. 3002 or 3006: certified reference material", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1657919402.7055273, "current_below_peak_pct": 4.238458794428318, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4558451871891949, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "854231", "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 8417743430.722703, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.768735434269121, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "901320", "hs_description": "Lasers: other than laser diodes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 489871788.76667935, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.997479585794987, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "240220", "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 683699881.6051499, "current_below_peak_pct": 97.60634852844771, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.491271964845096, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "901920", "hs_description": "Therapeutic respiration apparatus: ozone, oxygen, aerosol therapy apparatus: artificial respiration or other therapeutic respiration apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 455621648.47592914, "current_below_peak_pct": 29.02386267854688, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6420816710083417, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "901890", "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2977057388.3605924, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8513817000656597, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "852691", "hs_description": "Radio navigational aid apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 640314981.9550698, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9824467628315235, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "382499", "hs_description": "Chemical products, mixtures and preparations: n.e.c. heading 3824", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1244307422.5847032, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.891380249792567, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "711299", "hs_description": "Waste and scrap of precious metals: waste and scrap of precious metals including metal clad with precious metals, other than that of gold and platinum and excluding ash which contains precious metal or precious metal compounds", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2407544912.119498, "current_below_peak_pct": 71.96402635441086, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9217769093522464, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "300213", "hs_description": "Blood, human or animal, antisera, other blood fractions and immunological products: immunological products, unmixed, not put up in measured doses or in forms or packings for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 223698470.7600477, "current_below_peak_pct": 20.756535117592914, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5903008043375518, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LTU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "distance_km": 8206, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4937421.880461999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 39285.162481125415, "importer_population": 125681.595, "importer_biz_entry_days": 11.1, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 7.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 65503.84970499999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23433.3909075201, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.009523712385058, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.1693676000306508, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.4889549171530174, "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.6804126828776336 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-JPN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-JPN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-JPN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-JPN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-JPN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }