{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:21.717Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Lithuania exports to Gambia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Lithuania to Gambia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "LTU",
    "country_name": "Lithuania"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "GMB",
    "country_name": "Gambia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
    "importer_iso3": "GMB",
    "all_history_lane_count": 5,
    "current_lane_count": 3,
    "current_product_count": 3,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2019,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 7992536.1388500435,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 251557.24212144926,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 230247.24645814663,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 251557.24212144926,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.5055511762651659,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 2.00739885299094,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 8848.907921632835,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 93.97181970516661,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "100199",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 7510731.650270447,
    "top_product_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 5849.02099609375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.006399999838322401,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.625985236781608,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.625985236781608,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2078.070684,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 836,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2486.937,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.805984484850701,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.372331111411797,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.3542599332658787,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 13.280000000000001,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -0.5940000000000001,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2078.070684,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 836,
    "buyer_population_2024": 2486.937
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 35901.75436780467,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 139490.8074869418,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 288.5347943108648,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 150966.1727771333,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.226610410342449,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 172956.45102105825,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.566361350624234,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 68.89120384081203
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 278589.97495275014,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.07521477694435,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.933120626528417
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 495366.14761876344,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 77.81190715953772,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 48.598888081319224
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 680487.2948531575,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.370568845746874,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 57.86811327177042
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 392186.8240822449,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.36676760190284,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.075109426461328
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 311926.835676332,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.464733509018064,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.287899473179454
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 323375.25178939773,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.670224810328615,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.963894665142526
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 499102.518316308,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 54.341594031863295,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.367466629234332
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 115254.17492013937,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -76.90771521070614,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.242388334832125
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 118965.73187477309,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.220323217970611,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.346341930317752
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 235208.99339572113,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 97.71155078784301,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.180568456487848
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 143149.7568544327,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.139335283156385,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.492455274879273
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 211432.77679160092,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.70040930394623,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.129561284556054
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 409489.64363587863,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 93.67368193792053,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.299272155485394
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 1816085.0046465618,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 343.4996178466088,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 133.22862537159108
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 692411.4731063094,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -61.87339957464913,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 48.50143395858944
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 975240.9354214376,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40.84702135946612,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.54357552311677
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 963024.4700954101,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.2526612534725423,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.059282475046135
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 3662135.074192828,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 280.27435313559664,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 74.2301729730263
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 12812062.398776405,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 249.85226211516277,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 135.95854396550297
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "hs_code": "100199",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23458634.545076642,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.47443517016499637,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "hs_code": "020714",
      "hs_description": "Meat and edible offal: of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus, cuts and offal, frozen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 47990786.35243905,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 10.130740870321747,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1922579025203202,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "hs_code": "190190",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: of flour, meal, starch, malt extract or milk products, for uses n.e.s. in heading no. 1901",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29015890.577961594,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 58.614150011493074,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.770301016192728,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "LTU",
    "importer_iso3": "GMB",
    "distance_km": 5841,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": null,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2078.0706840000003,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 835.594421571596,
    "importer_population": 2486.937,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 49.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 65503.84970499999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23433.3909075201,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.625985236781608,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.625985236781608,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-GMB/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-GMB/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-GMB/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-GMB/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LTU-GMB/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}